I like VaTech a lot here. They should be playing in a better bowl game. -3 10 units
Frank Beamer routinely fields stingy defenses at Virginia Tech, and 2007 has been no exception. In fact, they rank #2 nationally in scoring defense, giving up a mere 15.5 points per game. More surprisingly, however, the Jayhawks’ defense allows an almost identical 16.0 points per game, ranking #5 nationally in scoring defense.
While both defenses are top notch, only Kansas also boasts a high performing offense. Virginia Tech’s offense ranks #99 in total offense, with just 332.4 yds/game. Kansas’ prolific offense, on the other hand, ranks #6 in the country in total offense(491.1 yds/game), and #2 in the country in scoring offense(44.3 pts/game).
A look at net first downs reveals another significant difference. Virginia Tech’s defense appears to do just enough to overcome their offense’s ineptitude, as the Hokies are merely +11 in net first downs. Kansas, conversely, excels at both earning first downs and stopping their opponents from moving the ball. The Jayhawks have a net first down differential of +111.
Of course, these stats are raw, and not adjusted for the relatively large strength of schedule disparity. In fact, Kansas ranks #106 SOS, while Virginia Tech ranks #52. Adjusted scoring margin helps to account for strength of schedule by measuring a team’s performance against the season-to-date averages of their opponents. The two defenses rate similarly in adjusted scoring margin, with Kansas having an edge of 0.7. The offenses, though, differ greatly. Virginia Tech scores 4.2 more points per game than their opponents typically give up, while Kansas scores 9.1 more than the average points yielded by their opponents.
Adjusted scoring margin and power ratings based on NCAA bowl predictions both favor Kansas to cover the spread. The power ratings based predictions have Virginia Tech winning by just 1.4, with win odds of 55.4%, and adjusted scoring margin favors Kansas by 5.6.
The Orange Bowl should be a fantastic, tight football game. Based on my analysis, however, I believe that Kansas will not only cover the spread, but also pull off a slight upset and win the game outright.
Kansas +3'Frank Beamer routinely fields stingy defenses at Virginia Tech, and 2007 has been no exception. In fact, they rank #2 nationally in scoring defense, giving up a mere 15.5 points per game. More surprisingly, however, the Jayhawks’ defense allows an almost identical 16.0 points per game, ranking #5 nationally in scoring defense.
While both defenses are top notch, only Kansas also boasts a high performing offense. Virginia Tech’s offense ranks #99 in total offense, with just 332.4 yds/game. Kansas’ prolific offense, on the other hand, ranks #6 in the country in total offense(491.1 yds/game), and #2 in the country in scoring offense(44.3 pts/game).
A look at net first downs reveals another significant difference. Virginia Tech’s defense appears to do just enough to overcome their offense’s ineptitude, as the Hokies are merely +11 in net first downs. Kansas, conversely, excels at both earning first downs and stopping their opponents from moving the ball. The Jayhawks have a net first down differential of +111.
Of course, these stats are raw, and not adjusted for the relatively large strength of schedule disparity. In fact, Kansas ranks #106 SOS, while Virginia Tech ranks #52. Adjusted scoring margin helps to account for strength of schedule by measuring a team’s performance against the season-to-date averages of their opponents. The two defenses rate similarly in adjusted scoring margin, with Kansas having an edge of 0.7. The offenses, though, differ greatly. Virginia Tech scores 4.2 more points per game than their opponents typically give up, while Kansas scores 9.1 more than the average points yielded by their opponents.
Adjusted scoring margin and power ratings based on NCAA bowl predictions both favor Kansas to cover the spread. The power ratings based predictions have Virginia Tech winning by just 1.4, with win odds of 55.4%, and adjusted scoring margin favors Kansas by 5.6.
The Orange Bowl should be a fantastic, tight football game. Based on my analysis, however, I believe that Kansas will not only cover the spread, but also pull off a slight upset and win the game outright.
Kansas +3'That is a big loss for an offense that wasn't that potent anyway. May make the under the best play for this game, but I am still leaning to VT for a one unit play at least. The local has the game @-4 now.
Since when does a LB play on offense?
That is a big loss for an offense that wasn't that potent anyway. May make the under the best play for this game, but I am still leaning to VT for a one unit play at least. The local has the game @-4 now.
Since when does a LB play on offense?
Hey ZigZag[ what happen to that BOS Play, Seemed like you already had that $$Spent?
Best To Stay Away From BIG square Plays, or go the otherway, I Wanted To Put My 2cents in before but didn'twant to seem like a "Hater"friendlyy advice......
Hey ZigZag[ what happen to that BOS Play, Seemed like you already had that $$Spent?
Best To Stay Away From BIG square Plays, or go the otherway, I Wanted To Put My 2cents in before but didn'twant to seem like a "Hater"friendlyy advice......
Quotable |
"You guys talk about them offensively, but it looks to me like they're very good defensively also. Certainly, they've had a great year and we'll try to uphold our end of the deal to have a great game for the Orange Bowl. It has the makings of that." -- Virginia Tech coach Frank Beamer "It was a relief. It was awesome. ... Since we lost last week, I didn’t know if we were going to make it. But I’m really glad that we did. We earned it." -- Kansas linebacker Joe Mortensen |
Quotable |
"You guys talk about them offensively, but it looks to me like they're very good defensively also. Certainly, they've had a great year and we'll try to uphold our end of the deal to have a great game for the Orange Bowl. It has the makings of that." -- Virginia Tech coach Frank Beamer "It was a relief. It was awesome. ... Since we lost last week, I didn’t know if we were going to make it. But I’m really glad that we did. We earned it." -- Kansas linebacker Joe Mortensen |
Expert Opinion: Christian Alexander
One glance at the Jayhawks’ schedule and it's obvious they were fortunate to avoid Oklahoma, Texas Tech and Texas. Those three teams along with the Jayhawks represent the best defenses in the Big 12. The next best defense in the Big 12 is Missouri, and like I said, they handled KU.
So not only did Kansas avoid a lot of solid Big 12 teams this season but they avoided some pretty solid defenses. This brings me to my main point. The Jayhawks will not have seen a defense like Virginia Tech this season or in quite a while. The Hokies finished the season fifth in total defense and second in scoring D. The best defense that Kansas beat all year was the Buffaloes, the 64th ranked defense in the land and it just so happened the Jayhawks scored a season low in points (19) in that game as well.
VegasIsider Prediction:
I picked Virginia Tech to win this game a while back and I’m not straying from the selection. Although, the more I look at the Jayhawks, the more I think they’ve got a shot to win this game. Reesing will have a quality outing against the Hokie defense, but he’ll make one mistake. And that mistake will translate into the margin of victory for Virginia Tech.
Final Score: Virginia Tech 31, Kansas 24
Expert Opinion: Christian Alexander
One glance at the Jayhawks’ schedule and it's obvious they were fortunate to avoid Oklahoma, Texas Tech and Texas. Those three teams along with the Jayhawks represent the best defenses in the Big 12. The next best defense in the Big 12 is Missouri, and like I said, they handled KU.
So not only did Kansas avoid a lot of solid Big 12 teams this season but they avoided some pretty solid defenses. This brings me to my main point. The Jayhawks will not have seen a defense like Virginia Tech this season or in quite a while. The Hokies finished the season fifth in total defense and second in scoring D. The best defense that Kansas beat all year was the Buffaloes, the 64th ranked defense in the land and it just so happened the Jayhawks scored a season low in points (19) in that game as well.
VegasIsider Prediction:
I picked Virginia Tech to win this game a while back and I’m not straying from the selection. Although, the more I look at the Jayhawks, the more I think they’ve got a shot to win this game. Reesing will have a quality outing against the Hokie defense, but he’ll make one mistake. And that mistake will translate into the margin of victory for Virginia Tech.
Final Score: Virginia Tech 31, Kansas 24
This should be one of the most enjoyable games of the bowl season. Virginia Tech will do what it does best and try to control the tempo with its stingy defense. However, Kansas can move the ball in a number of ways. If the Jayhawks can continue to play mistake-free football, they should be able to score enough to secure the win.
Sports Network Predicted Outcome: Kansas 24, Virginia Tech 17
This should be one of the most enjoyable games of the bowl season. Virginia Tech will do what it does best and try to control the tempo with its stingy defense. However, Kansas can move the ball in a number of ways. If the Jayhawks can continue to play mistake-free football, they should be able to score enough to secure the win.
Sports Network Predicted Outcome: Kansas 24, Virginia Tech 17
Kansas gets a second chance to impress on a national stage after its disappointing performance against Missouri. Unfortunately for the Jayhawks, they may be up against a better team this time around. Virginia Tech was ranked No. 1 by the various computer polls in the final BCS standings, and put together a near-perfect run after its early season flop at LSU. Since November started, the Hokies are 5-0 and have won each game by at least 12 points, with four of those five opponents headed to bowls. Virginia Tech's special teams and defense are always strong, and the offense is hitting its stride with Glennon and Taylor understanding their roles. Kansas will move the ball, but the Hokies will be too much to handle in Miami.
Virginia Tech 31, Kansas 23
si.com
Kansas gets a second chance to impress on a national stage after its disappointing performance against Missouri. Unfortunately for the Jayhawks, they may be up against a better team this time around. Virginia Tech was ranked No. 1 by the various computer polls in the final BCS standings, and put together a near-perfect run after its early season flop at LSU. Since November started, the Hokies are 5-0 and have won each game by at least 12 points, with four of those five opponents headed to bowls. Virginia Tech's special teams and defense are always strong, and the offense is hitting its stride with Glennon and Taylor understanding their roles. Kansas will move the ball, but the Hokies will be too much to handle in Miami.
Virginia Tech 31, Kansas 23
si.com
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