Some of my week 1 thoughts and plays

@JJWoods

may you spend your time with positive humans. 

I pray this for you. 

Youre going to kill it per usual.  

@spottie2935

 Honestly spottie….i don’t like you  

Best of luck tho…no hurt feelings 

JJ in Marin county 

@JJWoods

 I appreciate your honesty.  May you find your peace.    

Wish you nothing but success.  You’re a great capper.  

Bless you. 

Alright back to the reason I’m here, beating spreads in college football. 

Colorado +4.5 also +158 ML

Cincy +7

Cal+3 

N.Car +3

N.Wesrn +6

Temple -1

Purdue-16.5 

Texas AM -21.5

Unders: 

Washington 52.5

Arizona 56

Lou Laf 49

Purdue 50.5

Wake F 52

Minny 45

C.Fla 53.5

W.Ky 61

Kansas 51

Virginia 57.5

Mary 60.5

Mich State 49.5

SJose St 51

Rutgers 46.5

Iowa St 49.5

Syracuse 50.5

Miami F 50.5

Clemson 57.5

Colorado +4.5 also +158 ML

Cincy +7

Cal+3 

N.Car +3

N.Wesrn +6

Temple -1

Purdue-16.5 

Texas AM -21.5

Miami FL +112

Unders: 

Washington 52.5

Arizona 56

Lou Laf 49

Purdue 50.5

Wake F 52

Minny 45

C.Fla 53.5

W.Ky 61

Kansas 51

Virginia 57.5

Mary 60.5

Mich State 49.5

SJose St 51

Rutgers 46.5

Iowa St 49.5

Syracuse 50.5

Miami F 50.5

Clemson 57.5

2 best bets.  I have the money lines listed as my plays but if I am on record for wins and losses here it makes no sense to post unfavorable situations. I like the odds more on these money lines though 

Colorado +4 

Miami FL +2.5 

BOL Spottie. Been traveling this month so I haven't looked in depth much. Nothing in Week 0 grabs me, but the ECU-NC State Week One game pops. Huge revenge for the Wolf pack off a bowl loss and a brawl towards the end of the game. Strong lean at this point. Cheers brother! 

@Boisestateand8

 I understand that revenge angle but not much of a NCST favorite team and or ECU as dogs.  

ECU was one of the worst teams a few years back and NC St had a great season 2 years ago.  

No data on this game so I pass.  I stick with what I have the unders are dominate and the Miami night dog

NCST us 3-14 ATS as a favorite last 17

maybe ECU is the team they need. 

Colorado +4.5 also +158 ML

Kansas St-3.5  

I think zip St lost too much production on offense and their D might continue to have issues 

Cincy +7

Cal+3 

N.Car +3

N.Wesrn +6

Temple -1

Purdue-16.5 

Texas AM -21.5

Miami FL +112

Unders: 

Washington 52.5

Arizona 56

Lou Laf 49

Purdue 50.5

Wake F 52

Minny 45

C.Fla 53.5

W.Ky 61

Kansas 51

Virginia 57.5

Mary 60.5

Mich State 49.5

SJose St 51

Rutgers 46.5

Iowa St 49.5

Syracuse 50.5

Miami F 50.5

Clemson 57.5

I saw that, but Dave Doeren is 10-0 SU, 6-1 ATS at home in season openers, and he's off a losing season thanks to the bowl loss. The brawl I mentioned was initiated by an ECU player. Big advantage in returning production for the Wolfpack, and although Pirates HC Blake Harrell led the Pirates to a 5-1 finish a year ago after taking over for Mike Houston, none of those wins came against a team that finished with a winning record. Like I said previously, it's just a lean at this point. I tend to tread lightly in Week One.

@Boisestateand8

 Thx for the extra info on this 

ECU can be a good dog but had some terrible seasons too.  

With NIL I can’t follow all these teams but starting week 5, I will have the data that makes me successful.

 My data from previous scores.  

Top 25 rankings and non ranked favorites 

next opponent and next line

Ats streaks 

over streaks

ive got a bunch of stuff to plug in and get outputs on them I can analyze and watch consensus and line moves.  

Before week 5 it’s a combo of current season and previous season regression.  

I hope to see your games early so I can dig in.  We do different a lot because I get a lot of data from dogs.  

Best wishes on your season.  You deserve a nice following on here.  

ATS: 17-6 (5.0,73.9%)

week=1 and HD and n:H and line<16 and line>3 and total<60 and total>44 and o:division=FBS and season>2008 and 10>tppS(W)>1

S.Miss+12 

Colorado +4

I'm on board with your Colorado pick. Deion is 4-0 as a home dog, and Ga. Tech is no bargain as chalk, home or away. Also a long road trip for the Yellowjackets, who will be playing in unaccustomed to altitude.

spottie are you narrowing these down as you go or playing them all?

look forward to your picks and analysis always

thank you RK

Hello RK.

I listed my top bets.  Hope you noticed those.  

I am playing them all and submitted my action.  

The totals: none are better than the other.  These have hit at a very nice level the past seasons.  The unders are extremely dominate in week one and I have a couple of groups that excel. 

Don’t play em if it’s too much or if you like any of them select those. 

Just to restate best bets 

Colorado +4 

Miami FL +2.5 (current line) the lines I got are stale and expired so I try to stay current without wasting my time looking up any moves. You see all the plays so that would be annoying to update.  

Anyways best wishes