Pac 10 Thursday

Thinking opposite of everyone else... going to take UCLA +25 and the Under 61.5.  I'll wait until tomorrow to see if I can get another 1/2 point on each as 70% of bettors are on Oregon and 80%+ are on the over.

I understand everyone's reasoning for backing the Ducks, but 25 points is a ton to be laying in conference game.  Rick the slick seems to love playing the role of spoiler and even with a backup quarterback, I think UCLA can keep the game within 3 TDs.  Heck, I think Brehaut might be more effective than Prince could be in this game.

Could I see Oregon winning by 35+ and the total score being in the 70's or even 80's?  Sure, but I like the "odds" that some drives may stall or eat up 5-6 minutes of the clock.  Lastly, there's a 60% chance of precipitation in Eugene tomorrow, so that could play a factor.

I know neither are popular plays, but here are some things to consider:
UCLA is 6-2 in its past eight road games as a dog of at least 10.5
Oregon is 0-5 ATS in its past five Thursday games
The past three games between the teams at Autzen Stadium have been decided by 10 points or less.
While the Bruins have 4-10 record against top-ranked teams and have lost the last six, their four wins have come with extra time to prepare – they had 11 days to get ready for this one.

good write up...GL

Oregon has also had extra time to prepare as well....  i will not trust a struggling program thats changing its offensive philosophy and doesnt yet have the players in postition to run it... i jus dnt c how UCLA will b able to score enough to keep it in the number the OREGON team is jus too fast on both sides of the ball

Well, most would argue that UCLA does better against speed teams then power teams.  I agree that they haven't faced a team like Oregon before, but UCLA has the ability to eat up some clock with the run.  Other than the Cal game, they've actually run the ball quite well.  Let's not forget that Az St and Wash St both covered against this same Oregon team and 31 and 23 in the process.  If UCLA can score around 20, I say they have a decent chance at covering.

likin the points as well, see oregon at some point pullin away but not in the 1st half.  got the over as well, just like the numbers on this on.  if ucla gets 17 almost impossible to lose em both and i see that happening with a good chance at hitttin em both.  gl