I’m 2-0 to start the season and up 3,325.00. With all the hype on Texas @ OSU, I’m on something else. This line opened up @ - 7 to - 7.5 in favor of Tulane, but with 48 % to 49 % of the $ coming in on NW , the line has pummeled all the way down to 4.5 as of today. Like I said a few days ago, I like to wait until the line settles before I place my bets. NW is only getting around 34 to 35% of tickets but, the line goes the other way, which is a clear sign of RLM in a huge way. That’s a big dip in price. One hotel in Vegas that I follow has over 90 % of $ on NW to cover the spread. NW loves to play in the dog role. In their last 32 games, they are 22 / 10 ATS when 7 pts or less dogs . Tulane brought in Retzlaff from BYU, and he’s an okay QB, but his wide outs are at the very best , average. NW’s secondary are elite and they bring back a lot of players in the secondary and in the middle. Their LB Anto Saka is a stud , and a game changer. Tulane has a really good front 7 as well, but the secondary lost 6 DB’s so you’ll see Stone going to Wilde more often than not today. NW does have a revamped O line but, Stone is a smart player and should have enough time to make the right reads and adjustments. The weather down in Louisiana is concerning to me with the humidity and all, but in a low scoring, physical game you have to take the pts with the team that has more continuity on D to at least cover the spread. I believe whoever wins , wins by a FG @ most. I’m going NW + 4.5 2200/2000 & ML 150/247.
On another note I capped TX @ OSU today but, don’t like the line movement on that game , but the continuity for TX should get them the win. GL
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
I’m 2-0 to start the season and up 3,325.00. With all the hype on Texas @ OSU, I’m on something else. This line opened up @ - 7 to - 7.5 in favor of Tulane, but with 48 % to 49 % of the $ coming in on NW , the line has pummeled all the way down to 4.5 as of today. Like I said a few days ago, I like to wait until the line settles before I place my bets. NW is only getting around 34 to 35% of tickets but, the line goes the other way, which is a clear sign of RLM in a huge way. That’s a big dip in price. One hotel in Vegas that I follow has over 90 % of $ on NW to cover the spread. NW loves to play in the dog role. In their last 32 games, they are 22 / 10 ATS when 7 pts or less dogs . Tulane brought in Retzlaff from BYU, and he’s an okay QB, but his wide outs are at the very best , average. NW’s secondary are elite and they bring back a lot of players in the secondary and in the middle. Their LB Anto Saka is a stud , and a game changer. Tulane has a really good front 7 as well, but the secondary lost 6 DB’s so you’ll see Stone going to Wilde more often than not today. NW does have a revamped O line but, Stone is a smart player and should have enough time to make the right reads and adjustments. The weather down in Louisiana is concerning to me with the humidity and all, but in a low scoring, physical game you have to take the pts with the team that has more continuity on D to at least cover the spread. I believe whoever wins , wins by a FG @ most. I’m going NW + 4.5 2200/2000 & ML 150/247.
On another note I capped TX @ OSU today but, don’t like the line movement on that game , but the continuity for TX should get them the win. GL
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