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***GWarner27's Week Ten NCAAF Picks (7-6 53.8% YTD)***

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Posts: 10
 
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Posts: 20963
Posted: #1
+0.52

Dogs 3-3 -0.23
Faves 3-2 +0.85
Over 0-0 +0.00
Under 1-1 -0.10
1st Half 0-0 +0.00
Halftimes 0-0 +0.00
Buybacks: 0

September 4-3 +0.70
October 3-3 -0.18
November 0-0 +0.00
December 0-0 +0.00
Bowls 0-0 +0.00

Posted History
2007: 56-41-8 (57.7%) +22.127
2008: 45-42-3 (51.7%) -5.112
2009: 23-39-0 (37.1%) -15.303
2010: 36-46-2 (43.9%) -12.52
2011: 20-25-1 (44.4%) -6.288

Futures
2007-08: 0-0 (0%) +0.00
2008-09: 0-1 (0%) -2.826
2009-10: 0-0 (0%) +0.00
2010-11: 2-2 (50%) -0.35
2011-12: 0-2 (0%) -2.174

Dog wins SU: 1
OT record: 0-1
Beating the line 2010: +36.0
Beating the line 2011: +10.5 
Beating the line 2012: +0.5

Notes:
-Disappointed in Week 9 because I let Tennessee go and I had circled it pre-season only looking for 11 when I got a full two scores. Feel bad for Lattimore and I don't know what effect that had on the game
-My Georgia call was great, especially seeing them take it SU for my first of the year, but the turnovers were the reason they won and I may go against them this week
-Under in the BYU-GT game lost, but two non-offensive TDs got me and they always seem to happen when I'm on an under. BYU dominated the game, but the GT defense is far too inept to back
-Have been looking to buy Auburn low for a while and I finally do after a huge line move and they didn't even cover for two drives. Poor effort by me adding that one
 
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Posted: #2
Good luck on your plays this week.
 
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Posted: #3
What do you think about the UT/Tech game?  What's the line?  What's the result?
 
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Posted: #4
grabbed at the open:
Louisiana State +8 (-110) vs. Alabama

...will have guesses up at some point tonight or tomorrow, wasn't gonna be prepared for openers so I grabbed what I could
 
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Posted: #5
Quote Originally Posted by mws:

What do you think about the UT/Tech game?  What's the line?  What's the result?


hard to like our chances in Lubbock, that place is hell for UT.

Case isn't the answer, but he may get the start after leading us on the game-winning drive.

After seeing the line i'm surprised TTU isn't a bigger favorite, though UT has the athlete advantage. I wasn't quick enough to see 2.5, but I probably would have grabbed it if I had. What do you think?

perogi
 
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Posted: #6
leans:
Miss St +7
Ok St +9.5

on the radar:
USC +8
Ole Miss +14
TCU +6.5
UMD +8.5

...shocked to see Indiana favored over a B1G team as well
 
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Posted: #7
updated leans:
OkSt +9

on the radar:
UK +7
UMD +8.5
Sparty +1.5
Ole Miss +14
USC +8.5
Miss St +7

...Cal is probably a winner tonight, but I can't lay points with them
 
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Posted: #8
 
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Posted: #9
I like what your onto here GW! GL!
 
 
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Posted: #10
Mike, phi-- thanks bros

Updated leans:
Ok State +7.5

add
Mississippi +14 (-110) @ Georgia
-Hugh Freese might be a COY candidate based on what he's done in Oxford. He may not win today, but he's in a great scheduling spot catching the Dawgs off a huge win in Jacksonville. UGA never trailed, but they were fortunate to turn Florida over so much and that's why they won the game. Aaron Murray has looked terrible and I hope Freese loads the box to force Murray to beat him because he can't. On offense the Rebs need to account for Jarvis Jones or they will get smoked, after him it's an underachieving defense with a lot of talent. I like Jeff Scott and his speed if he can get to the perimeter, Bo Wallace also has impressed me since I saw him in Oxford in September. Number is high enough for me to take a stab.
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