!!!! CFB Week 4 !!!! 18-8-2 ytd +113 units

18-8-2ytd +113units...

3-1 POD's +36 units...

Here's last week's thread below as I went 8-3-1... https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=33&sub=101130267&page=1

Been reading and studying this week's card all morning and should have something up very shortly....

Best of Luck this week 

keep it up! 

BOL this week Odds always look forward to your picks.

Ok heres the lean list. As usuall looking over a college football card on any week makes the brain go  as a football bettor...

Maryland -9... I can really see Temple hitting a brick wall @ Maryland after they cashed their first 3 tickets against Akron, Nova and Penn St. Maryland is an offense they have not yet seen this year and I can't see Temple hanging around if they fall behind...

Georgia Tech -6.5... Paul Johnson has his systematic offense clicking on all cylinders. At this price of laying less than a TD at home is so very hard to pass up on...

Bowling Green/Miami (ohio) under 50... Miami of Ohio was an absolute under machine last season @ 11-2 during the regular season. Both of these teams have challenged offenses that should help keep another one under the total in a Miami game...

Ohio State/Colorado under 45... This was a lean but i have already scratched it from any chance of wagering on it...

Duke/Tulane under 55... I just cashed a ticket on Duke +7 last week but I also watched Duke's offense struggle in the red zone turning the ball over twice as there was pressure on Sean Renfree all day from a bad defense in Boston College IMO. I can really see these teams trying to speed this game up with the run to try and minimize mistakes. Really starting to like this one...

Virginia -3... Southern Miss looked very bad in there first 2 games against La Tech and Marshall. The chances of them continuing to struggle this week on the road in Virginia seem to be pretty good IMO...

UCLA +4... The QB switch has finally been made from Kevin Prince to Richard Brehaut. It's about damn time as I believe he is the much better QB and things should come a lot easier for this team against a bad Beaver squad this week...

Clemson/Florida St over 50.5... Love the style of play from Clemson as it should put there games almost every week in a good position to go over totals. Especially when your allowing 224 yards per game on the ground...

Texas Tech -19.5... This defense looks like it has possibly improved from last season thus far. It still remains to be seen due to the opponents they have played thus far. However if it has improved as I believed it has this one could get really ugly as nothing seems to change on offense fron year to year as they just continue to throw points on the board at an alarming rate...

BOL Oddsbuster...nice looking card...liking the UCLA, GT and VA leans....

Nropp likes UNC....

I like your totals plays a lot.  I agree that tOSU/CU is an under waiting to happen, but that number just doesn't give you any margin for error.  Pass.

I actually think the safer bet in the Duke game is the Duke team total under.  Given the numbers, it should be around 32.5, so Duke needs 5 tds to beat you.  Tulane is freaking capable of anything, as ususal. 

Sounds like you have your head screwed on straight. Good luck this week. I will keep that Duke TT in mind...

1st play is:

Tar heels @ Yellow Jackets over 58 for 10 units... Paul Johnson's squad is set up nicely to consistently gain yards on every play no matter who they play and the long play's are coming in bunches right now. It's also a bit alarming that the Yellow Jackets have allowed points scored of 21, 21 & 24 to the likes of Western Carolina, MTSU & Kansas. Reallly starting to feel this is the correct play in this game...

 

2nd play is:

Colorado @ Ohio State under 44.5 for 20 units... I just cannot ignore this play any longer. The Buffalos have averaged just 298 yards per game on the road in their last 6 contests. Not a very good sign for points to be scored IMO against the Buckeyes at home who are currently struggling on offense with all the new changes. Sign me up for a wager here on a hunch we should see a 20-10 type of game at best IMO....POD

 

I have found the will to not only unscratch this play but however make it my favorite play this weekend. Oh the brain of a sports bettor...

nice card buster, only comment I have is the fsu clem over, i don't see how either offense will score much on these two defenses...

3rd play is:

Georgia Tech -6 (-120) for 10 units... For almost the same reasons as I like the over in this game I also like the Yellow Jacket's to win this one in the DD range...

like the card so far ob. u know miller is starting at qb for osu?

4th play is:

Maryland -8.5 for 20 units... I have already cashed 2 tickets betting on Temple vs Penn St and the week prior I had Temple laying the points against Akron as my best play in week 2. This week I have the Temple Owls not being able to keep up with a very talented offense lead by a very smart QB in Danny O'Brien . It's been just over 3 years now since the Terps have played a game vs a MAC school as their last game was on 9/20/08 when they trasehd the EMU Eagles by the score of 51-24. The Terps have turned a 2 win season just 2 years ago into a 9 win season last year including a 51-20 win over the defensless ECU Pirates in last years bowl game. Only fitting that Danny O'Brien was a major reason for this teams quick turnaround last year. I see no reason that they can't win this game with ease in the DD range at home with only Towson on deck....

Well if they don't start him after Joe Bauserman's 2 for 14 performance last week then their coaching staff would be making a big mistake. I just feel there can't be much done to push this game over the total. The Buffalo's aren't exactly Akron on Defense and 8 for 12 throwing for 130 yards in the 4th qtr after being up large makes for an easy situation to look good. This QB controversy actually is one of the additional reasons I like the under as they are looking for help on offense and i'm not quite sure they will find it all this week. GL though...

wrong quoute

I'm assuming your talking about Danny Obrien. You do realize he threw 22td's and 8int's last season winning 9 games, right? He is a very smart and talented young QB IMO (and thats my opinion). His completion % is already up 10% from last season. The TD's will come just as they did last season. So my logic is and was not based on just his performance from this year. I can only see his number's getting better and he has already had 2 tough opponents this year in his first 2 games against Miami and West Virgina. Not to mention he almost lead his team to a comeback win over West Virgina but fell just short throwing a INT late in that game. Iv'e been keeping a close eye on him and I really do like the progression he is making as a player.

 

I like the Maryland play odds...GL