Only bright spot yesterday was a lean on AZ - SMU sucked it as I did - we are still in the black overall for Bowl season, let's see if we can get them today. Let's look at some numbers:
Memphis 19 113 61 108
-6 Iwst 88 42 23 9
The line opened at 6 for Iwst, currently 10 -10.5. This is a home game for Memphis - so I analyzed it as such. Memphis is better in total off at 19 vice 88. Iwst is better in total def at 42 vs 113. Memphis sagarin rank is 61 and their sched strength is 108. Iws sagarin rank is 23 and sched strength is 9.
Looking at home and away data with an opening line of 6 and this scenario - the data indicates take the away team or in this case Iowa St. I don't like that the line has jumped to 10 as it is 4 pts away from the opening and I hate buying points. These are my plays:
1. Iowast -8 -130
2. 6 pt Teaser Org st +11 to Iowst -4
3. Mizzou +5.5
Good luck all
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