1* 192-197
2* 29-31
3* 7-8
4* 1-1
5* 1-1
0-3 yesterday. I fucking hate Mondays.
1* Rutgers Knights +4.5
Last year when Washington made the East Coast trip, they got blown out at Ohio St, and then beat Penn St by two on the second leg (That Penn St team was bad). The second leg is tough when you have to travel across four time zones. Washington lost the first leg @ Maryland (bad basketball team) and I was on it, and I'm fading the travel again. It's like 3 degrees in Piscataway, they probably got two feet of snow. Washington can't wait to get the fuck out of there, and get back home to host Wisconsin. I'll be on this ML at +185.
1* Toledo Rockets -11.5
Again, not a fan of laying double digits, but according to Action Network, Northern Illinois is getting 97% of the bets in this one so far. Fading the public is always a good betting strategy. Also UNI is dogshit. They have the worst offense in the MAC. I have no idea where their points come from to keep this thing under 20. Toledo doesn't hurt themselves with turnovers, they turn it over the least in the conference, and UNI turns it over more than anyone in the league. This has blowout city written all over it.
1* Marshall Thundering Herd -6.5
The Herd is one game back of Appy St for the league lead, and they swept them this year, so they hold the tie breaker. This offense can score, and do it in bunches, especially on this floor. They snuck out of Norfolk with a 2 point win a couple weeks back, so the Monarchs won't be sneaking up on anyone this time around. ODU doesn't have much offensive firepower, and I think that will be exploited in a game I don't think is close.
1* N.C. State/Virginia Over 150.5
The Cavs went into Raleigh and took it to the Pack back on Jan 3, winning by 15 in a game that only got to 137. But a lot can change in 6 weeks. That was the lowest scoring output all year by the Pack (61) and I'm sure they were reminded of it time and time again over the last week. They haven't played since they beat the brakes off Carolina, so I'm sure they will be amped up and ready to run. Virginia doesn't have a problem scoring, averaging 90/game over the last two. Their defense is where they hang their hat, but they go to Cameron Indoor next, and they are certainly atleast thinking about that a little bit, and that only hurts defensive things like assignments and communication. I think this gets to 160 at least.
1* Kentucky Wildcats -6.5
This is the last game on the Cats schedule that I would deem "should win", and they should know that too. They have dropped 3 straight. Mark Pope just got fined for shit he said about the refs, so I can't imagine they get a terrible whistle tonight. South Carolina is a very bad basketball team, coming off their 3rd conference win. They shot 50% from 3, and 60% from 2 in that game. That, mathematically, isn't possible to happen again. It will be a pro Kentucky crowd. Kentucky by double digits, just due to their athleticism.
1* Notre Dame Fighting Irish +17.5
A ton of points in a conference game to be giving on the road. ND has covered in 4 of the last 6 in this series. Duke just became the number one team in the country, off the huge win vs Michigan. They host Virginia next too. Shrewsbury is a good enough coach to keep this within that number. Irish give the number one team in the land their best shot. It won't be enough, but they will lose by a dozen or so.
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