Thursday 151

well coming off a Huge 8-2 night again losing 1 game by 1 point , believe me I wanted 9-1 big-time, those are the types of nights I love   looking at the Jax st at SH game, Jax st is -1 and I do favor them slightly here, but they are missing their 2nd leading scorer Franklin, as he will be out this game and that leaves them with just one person who is avging double digits, and yes SH has lost about 6-7 in a row but they have been real competitive the last few games losing their last 3 games by just 3 pts each so they have been in every game, so with the injury it makes this a little tougher to handicap...

also the very 1st play I put in this NCAA season was on Towson st +12 and it did cover, and in my write up I said that Towson st was a team that could win their conf this year or that they were favored too, and all of a sudden they have now won their last 10 conf games in a row and should be at the top of their conf or real close, they are at home Vs Delaware, laying 8 pts  ...Towson did beat Delaware just 3-4 games ago by 10 on the road, I expect a very hard faught game here, , yes Towson has won 10 STR but Delaware is not a bad team and they can score points, 8 looks like it could be worth a shot here, Delaware is avg 74 pts a game last 3 and giving up 77 and Towson last 3 they are avg 64 and giving up 60  and away Del is avg 74 and giving up 80 and at home Towson is avg 68 pts a game and giving up 64, the total on this game is 142 ...Delaware is the better shooting team the last 3 game and when away Delaware is shooting better than what Towson shoots at home so there are a couple of things pointing in Delawares favor as the are shooting 45% away to 40% for Towson at home and shooting the 3 at 36,5% from 3 away and Towson is shooting the 3 at 31% at home and Del is shooting the 2 at 51 % away to 46% for Towson from 2 .....

also Kansas City at S Dakota  SD-2  157   SD at home is a scoring machine, these guys can light it up, and when they played Kansas City last game they only scored 54 points losing 54-68 on the road ,so I do think SD will be scoring some points here tonight and also having revenge on their minds should help, and the fact they they have lost the last 3 to KC , I do favor SD here laying 1 pt, but it does worry me a little, their TT is 78.5 , now KC is avg just 64 pts a game on the road and they give up 72 and SD at home is avg 88 pts a game and I would think SD should be able to get to 80+ tonight , so I am Favoring SD in this game to win by 6+ and the OVER could be in play also, but can KC get 70+

just some out loud thinking here    maybe tomorrow I wont be on any of these  ..lol     

bed time have an early ride in the AM   

BOL

@RUM151

 Really appreciate the way you break these down. Any insight on Hawaii vs Long Beach by chance? I’ll be in attendance right behind LBSU’s bench. 
Mahalo!!

Great work Rum 

well done

Good pick yesterday with g tech… I liked them anyway… long travel now for these pac 12 teams….  And my chicken ass only played a dollar on em….    Shame on me… once again….  That was one of those ya like… box to wire.   Could you imagine flying from frisco to Atlanta… to play a 2 hr hoop game… your plane ride is longer than your activity….     I hated bus rides over an hour … back in the day.      Keep on keepn on sir.    

@Mskeets

 I was more proud of my Chattanooga play and saying they could win outright and they did by 14 pts, and even though I lost the over in WF game I did call for both teams to hit 70 , and really could have had a few more wins with Bradley, and I looked at Troy a lot  had a whole write up and just scratched it for some reason  kick myself for that one 

Burning the midnight oil 

@RUM151

  Great Job Man 

Stay hot b7ddy

How the H E double hockey sticks did wake lose last night.   Goodness.    You are on it Rum… keep on keep n on. 

 I followed. Thx 

@RUM151

 there will plenty of possessions for them get 70. SD fastest paced team in the country and their D is subsect

[Quote: Originally Posted by capper4ever]@RUM151  there will plenty of possessions for them get 70. SD fastest paced team in the country and their D is subsect[/Quote

the Sumit plays no defense in a whole

@RUM151

  Appreciate your posts

Solid my friend 

Nice capping Rum. Thanks.

Monmouth @ Stony Brook Monmouth -2  142   I am going to go with Monmouth in this one on the road, Monmouth does do well when they are favored as they are 5-1 STR up and 5-1 ats when favored, and are 1-1 ats as an away favorite , and they are 9-6-1 ats after a loss, Monmouth did win at home earlier this year Vs SB in a game where they jumped out to a 12 pt halftime lead and then won 2nd half by 10 also, winning 78-56 as a 6.5 pt favorite also these schools are just 60 miles apart, so maybe Monmouth can have some fans there for them today, Monmouth did have a little 3 game win streak going before losing to Towson st last game, I do think they are the better team here, 

Monmouth -2 1 unit  

also I notice Jax st has went from -1 to +2 now a 3 point move, yes they have an injury, But Jax st is 7-3 ats away this year, and 5-3 ats as an away dog, and 9-4 ats as a dog  I may go against this line move I just do not like moves like this when the line opens at -1 or +1 and it moves that much Jax st has a decent team , Sam Houston is just 1-4 ats at home and 3-6 ats as a favorite this year, and Jax st has won 8 straight , Jax st did beat SH at home earlier 70-62 and in that game SH took a 6 pt lead into halftime and lost by 8 , and also Franklin did not play in that game either , and in that game SH made 11 3's to just 5 for Jax st and they still lost   also Jax st is 10-2 STR up on 4+ days rest and 10-5 STR up on equal rest and SH is 4-9 STR up on 4+ days rest and 3-13 STR up and ats on equal rest    I am going to go with Jax st in this spot getting 2.5 pts at -120  

Jax st +2.5  1 unit    going against the big line move 

Tennessee st has won 6 of their last 7 games and they have been scoring really well in their last 8 games averaging about 82 pts a game, I do like them -3 in this spot as EIU is only 3-14 STR up as a dog this year, and Tenn st is 7-3 ats after a win and are 6-2 ats as a favorite and 6-4 ats away and 9-5 ats in conf and EIU is 5-9 ats in conf  ...last 3 games Tenn st is avg 86 pts a game and giving up 78 and EIU in the last 3 games are only averaging 57 pts a game and giving up 65  that's a huge diff, last 3 games Tenn st is shooting 47% and 55.5% from 2 and 28% from 3  EIU last 3 games are shooting 34% and 36.7% from 2 and 28% from 3  ....the over in this game is 142 now with the way Tenn st has been scoring ya almost have to like the Over but can EIU score enough to help??  Tenn st is 16-6 OVER this year , I am playing 2 bets in this game   I am taking Tenn st -3  and I also am going to go OVER 72.5 TT for Tenn st in this game  ..Tenn st won at home earlier 84-65  as a 5.5 pt favorite in that game Tenn st shot 52% and 37% from 3 and EIU shot 39% and 25% from 3 and EIU took 9 more shots in that game 

Tenn st -3  1 unit 

OVER 72,5 Tenn st TT  1 unit 

What do you think about FCGU TT o73?

Nice input 151 

@RUM151

 TSU - Good Fortune 151! 

Something ya might want to look at… G st/ ODU… over/under 150… nine of last 10 been under that…opinions.  I’m not lucky in this is why I don’t post pics… so any opinions welcome.  The o/u has not moved that I see.   So it’s not much of a find if any at all.