Thursday

Penn St +25

Wagner+2

Maine+7.5 -113@ bookmaker 

I use max lines less than -116 juice

Penn St +25-106 Lowvig

Wagner+2.5 Lowvig -106

Maine+7.5 -113@ bookmaker 

I use max lines less than -116 juice

Drex+4.5

Penn St +25

 Wagner+2.5

Maine+7.5 

Drex+4.5

Penn St +25

 Wagner+2.5

Maine+7.5 

Mary+7.5

Maryland is currently +7.5 @lowvig. I think later in the day a better line than+7.5 will be available and if not a better in game should show up. 

See if I can keep my 11-3 ats run going.  

my success probably has a positive impact from the inflated interest in gambling.  The Super Bowl does attract more wagers.  People deposit early and get impatient.  Books have all the data on history.  I bet pre Super Bowl betting is very positive for the house. 

Tourist numbers in Vegas begin to rise starting today.  Let see the favorites dominate on the court? 

BOL 

Good luck Spottie.  

@D-Town

spottie ... 

Good luck spottie 

@rangersmets

@totter

 @PNbeinganSN

 good luck and best wishes tonight gents 

• Goal: To beat the "house" (sportsbook) by finding discrepancies in the odds/lines
• Focus: They look for "value" in point spreads, moneylines, or over/unders
• Methodology: Uses data-driven models, algorithms, or situational analysis
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@spottie2935

@spottie2935

Agree that it would be some good data to look at as far as the closer to SB you get do favs in all sports tend to win more so tourists will think they can make money, lol.  Question though, why are you taking dogs then tonight?

I bet 90, (or closer to 100%) dogs in all sports unless there is significant data favoring a favorite.  Then the indicated favorite can not be a high consensus favorite or public type of team.  

@jpot34

@stevex01

 If the favorite dominate this week in hoops there will be some push back by the dogs in and including the Super Bowl.

Also likely is the dogs hitting before the big game and that provides less money in action for the favorite covering the SB because undisciplined better got crushed before the game. 

since your on the topic of SB there are only 2 categories I consider when betting the SB. Against the favorites in the superbowl if the favorite previous games were favorites and covered both games

those teams are 3-15 ATS Against the Seahawks this year.  The other indicator is betting on the favorite if the favorite is the higher seed say .6 seed vs 1 seed and the 1 seed is A dog (happened a few times bears colts) I think 2005 Steelers Seahawks as well.  

Last year in the bowl bracket same thing.  Ohio state was the 8 seed and were favorites all the way thru beating lower seeds. 

@Jaserz

When I say let the favorite dominate it is possible but if that happens there will be a regression and balance back to the house winning eventually. 

This is too huge of the weekend big money betting wise to let the patrons win. 

I’m tracking NBA NHL and college BB and see if the bettors make money.