SUNDAY NCAA 151

Well coming off a decent day  10-3 on str u plays  and 5-1 on str up plays talked about but not posted as plays   1st off the losers  we lost Presbyterian +6 at home , they were close till the end losing by 10, Arkansas -10.5  a game where LSU played well, i also said the game would go over, and that Ark should go over their TT and both those did happen, and the over 156.5 Kansas man i did think we would get this, but kansas st just could not score....also really liked Vandy -7.5, American -4.5 , Xavier +8.5 all 3 i said they should cover their spreads, along with over ark, over tt ark, loser was cinncy i did think Cinncy would get that game at ariz st ...even Xaviers TT i thought should win based on their recent play, this team has found a way to score points 

winners Txas am -7.5 Troy-4, will Mary -1.5 all posted night before...over 161 Xavier game, over 151.5 NKY game i called for 160 they got 171, over TT NC st 75.5 , Tex Tech +2, Auburn +11.5 , Stephen F Austin -4 another solid win on the road, and finally Cal Baptist over Utah Valley 

10-3    YTD 299-240 

looking at this FAU @ USF game, its really hard to go against FAU here as a dog, they have been finding ways to win , but i do not see this as an easy cover, i could see USF winning and covering , but they have lost 2 games at home in conf, and that is what lets me think FAU could get this....USF at home is avg 90 pts a game and they give up 73 , FAU away is avg 76 and giving up 76  USF is really moving the ball well avg almost 19 assist a game at home compared to 11 away for FAU, also i think USF may have an edge on the boards today also, but this total of 167, i do favor the UNDER in this game and that is why i like FAU + the points here, i have been doing ok on unders i come up with, handicapping is handicapping, just never looked for Unders before, and i do not like that Hardrock is offering FAU +4.5 -110 and FAU +5.5 -120  just seems they are eager to give ya 5.5 so that worries me also, just saying i am on FAU with everyone else but i do not see it as being a HUGE play i could understand taking USF -4.5 also 

FAU +5.5  -120  

lean to the UNDER 167 

also i am taking MercyHurst -9 this team is quietly 12-6 ats this year, and yes they are really good away, but at home still ok, and with just one day off they are 3-0 ats this year, and are 11-5 ats with equal rest, and another thing about this team is that they have kept all their best players from last year, all the players on this team who play the most minutes and score the most points were all together last year also, and that always helps, and at home they avg 74 pts a game and give up 65, last 3 games they avg 65 and give up only 60, and then Chicago st in their last 3 they are averaging just 57 pts a game while giving up 72, -15 score margin and away they avg 65 and are giving up 85 for a -20 score margin away, so thats a huge diff of -20 and Mercyhurst having a +9 , i do think this will be a 75-60 type of game  i dont like laying higher numbers but this seems to be one i would , mercy avg 17 assist at home to just 9 away for chicago st,  mercy should have about a +5 in turnovers today also, and they shoot well at home, much better than chicago st does away from home ...and Chicago st is just 1-6 ats in conf so far   ...ill lay the points here  

Mercy hurst -9   

 BOL 

@RUM151

 Bacardi151 

Taking wisconsin -7 -130  i do like them to -10 to be honest, i just think wisconsin is hitting a stride right now where they are winning and scoring a lot of points while doing so, they have scored over 91 pts in 3 of their last 4 games, and USC i think will have to keep them under 82 in order to cover here, but i do not see it, i also think Wisconsin could win a really high scoring game too if USC were to score 80 pts  , the team totals here are 76.5 for USC and 84.5 for wisconsin , i have this as a 89-77 type of game and that would also go over the 160 total  so i do favor the over also here , and over TT for wisconsin  ....at home wisc is averaging 88 pts a game while giving up 70 and away USC is avg 76.5 and giving up 77  maybe thats where i get the 89-77 final  wisconsin avg just 9 to's a game at home and USC is avg 15 away  if that happens wisconsin will cover easily unless USC shoots like 40% from 3   

wisconsin -7 

Leans to Over 160  and over 84.5 TT wisc  

also got the rams +3 600 to win 500 today   and i am favoring denver yes i know how when their qb is out  well just something about it , i just think this is going to be one of those storys where the backup plays well and Denver ends up with a real chance to win this game, i had NE picked here but the way i see Denver showing confidence in their backup has got me thinking  i love the over 4 pts here , they are not suppose to get snow until late in the game if then, and only about an inch total, right now its sunny and 20 degrees with wind gust of 3 mph  lol  so i expect passing to be good and running also, i am not betting the same on denver this is a GUT instinct play for me here, i want to see how this team rallys around their starting qb being out of the game, both teams have solid defenses, i give a edge to NE on offense because of the missing qb, i could still see an OVER 43 happening here today  

Denver +5  2 units  

Rams +3 5 units 

will have some prop parlays here and some total plays  been doing really well in playoffs in both college and pro's this year, for one i have been betting a lot more thanks to Miami being in it and they covered all 4 games and i hit both last week and the over in denver 

had bears vs rams, had pats over houston, had denver over buffalo, over denver, and seattle over sf  

Good luck RUM ... I got Denver +4 as well, though going with Seattle ML. I just think Seahawks will make life very miserable for Stafford, and he is not exactly a guy who likes to scramble out of the pocket. Think he either gets sacked and picked a ton, or just has to lean on the running game. Darnold doesn't fill me with confidence either so not gonna lay the 2.5. 

GL Rum 

Good luck Rum, stay hot 

BOL RUM! 

Good luck Rummer

Ok.  50 on Florida atl under 161.5.   Let the games begin.   

@rangersmets

 oh i can see betting seattle  it makes sense   its no easy play for me for sure   

@Mskeets

 it has dropped that much???  wow maybe i shoulkd have posted it as a play damnit  i did play under 167  but did not post it  live total is 149 so i am feeling good about the under 

Was live play…. Been shoveling… lost tack of time.    And now…   Energy.   Oh Jesus… as soon as I turn it on… guy makes a 3.  And is fouled.   4 points in 2 seconds.   

also lowered mercyhurst to -8  not 9  line going against me   thats ok 

when it got to 149.5 i almost bet the over and wanted to try and middle it  hell when you can get 18 middled numbers its worth a shot i think but it went to 153.5 right the then , now aat 156.5  so i wish i had bet the over at 149.5 damnit  i think its a middle 

Over 130 in the Mercy game.  Just an opinion.

Confused on mercyhurst line . Chicago state is 7-12 ats where mercy 12- 6

Chicago state sucks too . Best of luck Rum 

@beats723

 hey its just people betting that is moving the line  its just opinions   i just like mercyhurst this team has been together for last 2 years their top 6 players   anything can happen as we know  the line moved 1 pt thats nothing  

posted my NFL stuff on my NFL thread  one little special i did today  is that i bet that all 4 teams would score at least 1 td and 1 fg each  +125  seemed fair 

@beats723

 Mercyhurst / Chicago St - game got PPD an hour. Big money coming in on Chi St. Something up w/ the Mercyhurst team, maybe missing Blunt or Lemelman. Chicago St to cover for sure, likely win SU.

GL today.