Sunday Big Game of the night that everyone can't stop talking about!

Quote Originally Posted by AtlFader:

I've known KGC for long time; I respect his opinion as I do many others that I think are good cappers....  His opinions carry weight with me; but I never follow anyone blindly....  but I will bet that if you followed EVERY one of his picks; you would be a winner

EXACTLY!!  

What all the jabronis don't understand is that an excellent capper will pick around 60% ATS over the course of 100 picks and 65% is extremely lucky.  Last year, Kindergartencappers's record on totals was 186-103, a percentage of 63.3%.  Now what that means is for every 100 picks, there will be 37 LOSERS.  There will be streaks of 3,4,5,6 losers.  Yes it is possible. 

IF you are tailing a capper, then you need to tail everyone of his picks for the exact same amount.  If you vary the unit size, you will invariably bet bigger on the losers and smaller on the winners.

The problem with tailing any particular poster on this site is that everyone has erratic positing times, so you often miss the posts.  Then you come up later and see that he had a great day, so by the nature of human psyhcology, you intently wait for the next post, which, by law of averages, will tend to be a loser.  This is why you should not tail anyone sporadically, you will tend to get more of their losers.  You have to tail everyone of their picks, but the nature of erratic posting times (not just KindergartenCapper) makes this impossible unless you are a degenerate with no life.

KindergartenCapper, keep up the good work, thanks for your posts, ignore the uninteligible idiots.