well another thing i hate about this site is you cannot have one long post always have to break it down
144 games today????
1st off taking Belmont -2 at S Illinois , this is a revenge game for belmont, they lost at home a few games back to s.ill 68-67, belmont had the lead in 2nd half by 9, were up 9 64-55 with 2:44 left in the game , s.illinois made a 3 right away to make it 64-58 2:37 left Belmont made 1of 2 ft to go up 65-58 with 2:05 left the next 5 poss's belmont missed 2 ft's and then turned it over on bad passes the next 4 times , that is crazy you can read it in the play by play missed 2 ft's then 4 to's then they scored with 6 sec's left to take the lead 67-66 and s.ill hit a short jumper at the buzzer now that has to be fresh in their minds , i think they bounce back here and get the 6+ point win
belmont -2
also going to go over 161 -120 florida/Vandy just think this is going to be a game where both get in the 80's
over 161 fla/vandy
then i am going to maybe go against most here, and take Miami fl +5.5 at Clemson both teams are playing really well, but the line seems about right here, and Miami is 3-0 str up away and ats away....clemson is 4-4-1 at home ats i think ill take a shot here, miami is just as good as clemson is this year, they have won at N Dame, at wake forest and at Ole Miss
Miami fl +5.5
and i have 1 teaser in taking Hofstra at home -pk and App st at home -pk
teaser app st-pk/Hofstra -pk
i also do Favor texas am +6 at Texas texas am off the loss at Tennessee after winning the whole game from start to the end when it was tied, and they lost in OT they are playing well, but so is Texas who have won their last 2 and beating 2 really good teams, alabama on the road 92-88 and then beating Vandy 80-64 the total at 164.5 maybe an over play because they both are scoring, no play yet
was liking w.carolina at home over chattanooga but chattanooga has won their last 2 games , both teams are coming off of wins where they were a dog of between 5 and 7 points , w.carolina is at home again after beating E Tenn st and Chatt is on their 2nd road game after winning at Wofford by 9 tuff call
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
well another thing i hate about this site is you cannot have one long post always have to break it down
144 games today????
1st off taking Belmont -2 at S Illinois , this is a revenge game for belmont, they lost at home a few games back to s.ill 68-67, belmont had the lead in 2nd half by 9, were up 9 64-55 with 2:44 left in the game , s.illinois made a 3 right away to make it 64-58 2:37 left Belmont made 1of 2 ft to go up 65-58 with 2:05 left the next 5 poss's belmont missed 2 ft's and then turned it over on bad passes the next 4 times , that is crazy you can read it in the play by play missed 2 ft's then 4 to's then they scored with 6 sec's left to take the lead 67-66 and s.ill hit a short jumper at the buzzer now that has to be fresh in their minds , i think they bounce back here and get the 6+ point win
belmont -2
also going to go over 161 -120 florida/Vandy just think this is going to be a game where both get in the 80's
over 161 fla/vandy
then i am going to maybe go against most here, and take Miami fl +5.5 at Clemson both teams are playing really well, but the line seems about right here, and Miami is 3-0 str up away and ats away....clemson is 4-4-1 at home ats i think ill take a shot here, miami is just as good as clemson is this year, they have won at N Dame, at wake forest and at Ole Miss
Miami fl +5.5
and i have 1 teaser in taking Hofstra at home -pk and App st at home -pk
teaser app st-pk/Hofstra -pk
i also do Favor texas am +6 at Texas texas am off the loss at Tennessee after winning the whole game from start to the end when it was tied, and they lost in OT they are playing well, but so is Texas who have won their last 2 and beating 2 really good teams, alabama on the road 92-88 and then beating Vandy 80-64 the total at 164.5 maybe an over play because they both are scoring, no play yet
was liking w.carolina at home over chattanooga but chattanooga has won their last 2 games , both teams are coming off of wins where they were a dog of between 5 and 7 points , w.carolina is at home again after beating E Tenn st and Chatt is on their 2nd road game after winning at Wofford by 9 tuff call
also Michigan st on the road out west at washington , laying 3 Michigan st is a solid team, Michigan beat these guys by 10 , would have covered the 12.5 if not for a last second 3 at the end, Washington is a ok team, they are not in the same league as Michigan st, personally i think Michigan will win this game and should cover the 2.5 or 3 pts anything can happen but michigan st is at full strength , now washington did come back and beat Ohio st at home, then lost to michigan i have no problem laying a small number here, i think they win by at least 6+ maybe more, wondering where this line goes , i doubt it goes down if it does that means they are thinking a washington win here Ohio st is the best team they beat at home this year, and its not like Michigan st has not already lost , they lost by just 2 at Nebraska
Mich st -2.5 -120
also i am going to go with TCU on the road at Utah, TCU has played really well even their losses except for one have all been very close games and against very good teams, these guys lost their 1st game of the year to New Orleans, that was their bad loss, then they lost by 4 at Michigan , lost by 2 at home to N Dame , then won 6 straight , they have lost their last 3 games , an overtime game they should have won at Kansas my 1st big play win where they were +7.5 , then they played well most the game at home vs Arizona but that was right after the OT loss at Kansas, then last game they lost by just 6 at BYU, now they go to UTAH a team that is struggling, and have a lot of injuries but have been playing ok last few , i just think TCU is hungry for a win again and after the last 3 games vs top 20 teams they should get this by 8+ i think ....line is -4.5 i do not see this going down but i am buying to 3.5
TCU-3.5 -130
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also Michigan st on the road out west at washington , laying 3 Michigan st is a solid team, Michigan beat these guys by 10 , would have covered the 12.5 if not for a last second 3 at the end, Washington is a ok team, they are not in the same league as Michigan st, personally i think Michigan will win this game and should cover the 2.5 or 3 pts anything can happen but michigan st is at full strength , now washington did come back and beat Ohio st at home, then lost to michigan i have no problem laying a small number here, i think they win by at least 6+ maybe more, wondering where this line goes , i doubt it goes down if it does that means they are thinking a washington win here Ohio st is the best team they beat at home this year, and its not like Michigan st has not already lost , they lost by just 2 at Nebraska
Mich st -2.5 -120
also i am going to go with TCU on the road at Utah, TCU has played really well even their losses except for one have all been very close games and against very good teams, these guys lost their 1st game of the year to New Orleans, that was their bad loss, then they lost by 4 at Michigan , lost by 2 at home to N Dame , then won 6 straight , they have lost their last 3 games , an overtime game they should have won at Kansas my 1st big play win where they were +7.5 , then they played well most the game at home vs Arizona but that was right after the OT loss at Kansas, then last game they lost by just 6 at BYU, now they go to UTAH a team that is struggling, and have a lot of injuries but have been playing ok last few , i just think TCU is hungry for a win again and after the last 3 games vs top 20 teams they should get this by 8+ i think ....line is -4.5 i do not see this going down but i am buying to 3.5
Buffalo at Miami oh interesting game Miami is -9.5 total is 159 this looks like an OVER for sure, Buffalo has been scoring points, and we know Miami can score and they are at home where they should score a lot, Buffalo has lost their last 2 games but they have been higher scoring games, they lost 80-91 at Ohio U, and then at home last game they lost to Kent st 81-87, they have scored over 80 pts in their last 6 games , and Miami oh is avg 90 pts at home , just by how Buffalo has been scoring i do not know if i would lay 9.5-10 but i think Over is a play here and thats how i am going in this one , Hardrock has 158.5 -120
OVER 158.5 Buff/Miami oh
and we are finally getting to where we are having teams play that have already played this year, to where we get the revenge games, or at least i can go and see what happened in those games and find out why teams won or lost , as in my belmont play well Arkansas st is at TROY and these 2 just played a few games ago at Ark st and arkansas st won the game 86-74 at home, looking back at that game, troy took 65 shots to 58 for ark st, ark st did get a lot more rebounds but maybe because troy took many more shots, ark st had 4 more offensive boards, but they had 16 to's to just 11 for troy, Troy made 1 more shot than ark st did, they made 27 to 26 for ark st but ark st was 12/30 from 3 and Troy was 9/28 but the real reason they won was because of made ft's Troy was 11/18 only 61% Ark st was 22/29 76% now ark st took 11 more ft's and made 11 more and won by 12 , so can Troy at home maybe turn that around, so hard to win when a team makes 10+ ft's unless you shoot over 52% its hard , and the total here is 164 and both these teams can score ...Troy has won 7 of their last 8 and the loss at Ark st was the only loss, ark st is coming off a road loss at S alabama i was on ark st, now they are on the road again, Troy is 6-1 at home str up and 4-1 ats this year, 4-1 ats as a home favorite....ark st is 7-3 OVER away and are 3-1 Over as an away dog i do like Troy here at home to bounce back and cover in this game also when these 2 played i looked at the box score, one of Troy's main players Victor Valdez 15 pts a game 30 mins he was only 1/10 in the game 0/3 from 3 so he had an off night also which did not help , and Ark st got 35 pts from their bench , Troy goes 8 deep usually they had 16 from their bench ...i went off shore and took them at -3 -116
Troy -3
when teams have already played in the same year there is so much to look back at and handicap
good luck everyone big FB day tomorrow
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Belmont -2
Over 161 fla/Vandy
Miami fl +5.5
Michigan st -2.5
TCU -3.5
Over 158.5 Buff/Miami oh
Troy -3
teaser App st pk/Hofstra pk
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Buffalo at Miami oh interesting game Miami is -9.5 total is 159 this looks like an OVER for sure, Buffalo has been scoring points, and we know Miami can score and they are at home where they should score a lot, Buffalo has lost their last 2 games but they have been higher scoring games, they lost 80-91 at Ohio U, and then at home last game they lost to Kent st 81-87, they have scored over 80 pts in their last 6 games , and Miami oh is avg 90 pts at home , just by how Buffalo has been scoring i do not know if i would lay 9.5-10 but i think Over is a play here and thats how i am going in this one , Hardrock has 158.5 -120
OVER 158.5 Buff/Miami oh
and we are finally getting to where we are having teams play that have already played this year, to where we get the revenge games, or at least i can go and see what happened in those games and find out why teams won or lost , as in my belmont play well Arkansas st is at TROY and these 2 just played a few games ago at Ark st and arkansas st won the game 86-74 at home, looking back at that game, troy took 65 shots to 58 for ark st, ark st did get a lot more rebounds but maybe because troy took many more shots, ark st had 4 more offensive boards, but they had 16 to's to just 11 for troy, Troy made 1 more shot than ark st did, they made 27 to 26 for ark st but ark st was 12/30 from 3 and Troy was 9/28 but the real reason they won was because of made ft's Troy was 11/18 only 61% Ark st was 22/29 76% now ark st took 11 more ft's and made 11 more and won by 12 , so can Troy at home maybe turn that around, so hard to win when a team makes 10+ ft's unless you shoot over 52% its hard , and the total here is 164 and both these teams can score ...Troy has won 7 of their last 8 and the loss at Ark st was the only loss, ark st is coming off a road loss at S alabama i was on ark st, now they are on the road again, Troy is 6-1 at home str up and 4-1 ats this year, 4-1 ats as a home favorite....ark st is 7-3 OVER away and are 3-1 Over as an away dog i do like Troy here at home to bounce back and cover in this game also when these 2 played i looked at the box score, one of Troy's main players Victor Valdez 15 pts a game 30 mins he was only 1/10 in the game 0/3 from 3 so he had an off night also which did not help , and Ark st got 35 pts from their bench , Troy goes 8 deep usually they had 16 from their bench ...i went off shore and took them at -3 -116
Troy -3
when teams have already played in the same year there is so much to look back at and handicap
all 3 post were suppose to be in one and they were not spread apart like they are now i had to post at the RX then repost here didnt want to erase and have to do all over again that has happened and it sucks ..lol
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all 3 post were suppose to be in one and they were not spread apart like they are now i had to post at the RX then repost here didnt want to erase and have to do all over again that has happened and it sucks ..lol
well col st is down 6 but the game did go over thank god didnt post but happy as hell 40sec's left can they cover 6.5??? if i had boise they wouldnt score and col st would win
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well col st is down 6 but the game did go over thank god didnt post but happy as hell 40sec's left can they cover 6.5??? if i had boise they wouldnt score and col st would win
I've posted my full breakdown of today's game Iowa Hawkeyes - Indiana Hoosiers, for you to read. Let me be clear – this is not a "lock" or a "guarantee", but a well-researched pick backed by a deep dive into current form, team stats, and the key matchups that will decide this game.
The Stakes: A pivotal Big Ten clash between two proud programs heading in opposite directions. The #19 Iowa Hawkeyes (12-5, 2-4) are reeling, having lost three straight and four of their last five, their once-promising season threatening to spiral. The Indiana Hoosiers (12-5, 3-3) have also lost two in a row, but after a strong start under new coach Darian DeVries, they are fighting to stay in the upper half of a brutal conference. This is a battle for momentum and Big Ten survival.
Deep Dive: Play Styles & Key Players
Iowa Hawkeyes: An efficient, defense-first team searching for its edge.
Biggest Strength:Offensive Efficiency & Guard Play. They lead the Big Ten in field goal percentage (51%). The backcourt of Bennett Stirtz (17.7 PPG, 5.0 APG) and the versatile Tavion Banks (9.6 PPG, 54.8% FG, 52.9% 3PT) is a handful. When they're hitting, the offense hums.
Fatal Flaw:Crunch-Time Collapses & Foul Trouble. In their last three losses, they've blown a 9-point lead at Purdue, a 17-point deficit to Illinois, and a 14-point lead at Minnesota. Star Bennett Stirtz fouling out or being limited has been a recurring nightmare, exposing a lack of secondary shot creation late in games.
The Bottom Line: Iowa can control a game with defense and smart offense for 35 minutes, but their recent inability to close is a massive red flag.
Indiana Hoosiers: A high-powered offense that can be derailed.
Biggest Strength:Explosive Scoring Trio. They have three legitimate weapons: dynamic guard Lamar Wilkerson (20.2 PPG), transfer wing Tucker DeVries (14.6 PPG, 4.9 RPG), and playmaker Tayton Conerway (11.9 PPG, 4.5 APG). They can score in bunches, as shown in their 113-point outburst vs. Penn State.
Fatal Flaw:Inconsistent Defense & Scoring Droughs. While their offense can be elite, their defense (68.8 PPG allowed) is middle-of-the-pack. More alarmingly, they are prone to long, game-killing scoring droughts, like the 19-0 run they surrendered at Michigan State.
The Bottom Line: Indiana lives and dies by its offensive flow. When their stars are clicking, they can beat anyone. When they're cold or turnover-prone, they can lose to anyone.
Game Flow & X-Factors
Momentum & Psychology: Both teams are desperate, but Iowa's mental state is more fragile. Losing three straight heartbreakers can create doubt, while Indiana's losses were to Top 15 teams.
I've posted the complete game analysis and winner prediction on my website if you want to check it out: victorypicks.eu
On Saturday, I'm handing out a 100%, locked-in guaranteed winner for the Buffalo Bills vs. Denver Broncos game. Who wants it?
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I've posted my full breakdown of today's game Iowa Hawkeyes - Indiana Hoosiers, for you to read. Let me be clear – this is not a "lock" or a "guarantee", but a well-researched pick backed by a deep dive into current form, team stats, and the key matchups that will decide this game.
The Stakes: A pivotal Big Ten clash between two proud programs heading in opposite directions. The #19 Iowa Hawkeyes (12-5, 2-4) are reeling, having lost three straight and four of their last five, their once-promising season threatening to spiral. The Indiana Hoosiers (12-5, 3-3) have also lost two in a row, but after a strong start under new coach Darian DeVries, they are fighting to stay in the upper half of a brutal conference. This is a battle for momentum and Big Ten survival.
Deep Dive: Play Styles & Key Players
Iowa Hawkeyes: An efficient, defense-first team searching for its edge.
Biggest Strength:Offensive Efficiency & Guard Play. They lead the Big Ten in field goal percentage (51%). The backcourt of Bennett Stirtz (17.7 PPG, 5.0 APG) and the versatile Tavion Banks (9.6 PPG, 54.8% FG, 52.9% 3PT) is a handful. When they're hitting, the offense hums.
Fatal Flaw:Crunch-Time Collapses & Foul Trouble. In their last three losses, they've blown a 9-point lead at Purdue, a 17-point deficit to Illinois, and a 14-point lead at Minnesota. Star Bennett Stirtz fouling out or being limited has been a recurring nightmare, exposing a lack of secondary shot creation late in games.
The Bottom Line: Iowa can control a game with defense and smart offense for 35 minutes, but their recent inability to close is a massive red flag.
Indiana Hoosiers: A high-powered offense that can be derailed.
Biggest Strength:Explosive Scoring Trio. They have three legitimate weapons: dynamic guard Lamar Wilkerson (20.2 PPG), transfer wing Tucker DeVries (14.6 PPG, 4.9 RPG), and playmaker Tayton Conerway (11.9 PPG, 4.5 APG). They can score in bunches, as shown in their 113-point outburst vs. Penn State.
Fatal Flaw:Inconsistent Defense & Scoring Droughs. While their offense can be elite, their defense (68.8 PPG allowed) is middle-of-the-pack. More alarmingly, they are prone to long, game-killing scoring droughts, like the 19-0 run they surrendered at Michigan State.
The Bottom Line: Indiana lives and dies by its offensive flow. When their stars are clicking, they can beat anyone. When they're cold or turnover-prone, they can lose to anyone.
Game Flow & X-Factors
Momentum & Psychology: Both teams are desperate, but Iowa's mental state is more fragile. Losing three straight heartbreakers can create doubt, while Indiana's losses were to Top 15 teams.
I've posted the complete game analysis and winner prediction on my website if you want to check it out: victorypicks.eu
On Saturday, I'm handing out a 100%, locked-in guaranteed winner for the Buffalo Bills vs. Denver Broncos game. Who wants it?
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