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    All Forums | College Basketball

    LOCK Thread - 02.01.16 - Post Your LOCK!

    123 Next Last»
    USC_Holmey
    MikeyBotz
    bk1374
    forty9ersfan80
    Redbandit
    ...
    Participants:
    Search model icon
    Views: 3324
    Posts: 56
    123 Next Last»
     
    USC_Holmey
    USC_Holmey
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    Posted: Feb. 1, 2016 - 5:15 PM ET #1

    LOCK THREAD CONCEPT - This thread has been created for all of us to share our expertise with everyone else to benefit the group.

    THIS IS NOT A PICKING CONTEST! PLEASE make special note of this!!! If you have an area of expertise, please make some LOCK choices from your area of expertise when you have a game you are confident enough in to call it a "LOCK". The difference between a PICK and a LOCK is that a PICK is a game you like, a LOCK is a game that you KNOW. If you are claiming your choice is a LOCK, and you really have NO true knowledge of that game, then you are just cheating us and posting your PICK just for attention and to see your name on the board.

    RULES FOR POSTING - We will not track your LOCK if you do not follow these rules. You are welcome to still post your PICK or card, but unless you do the things below, we won't be putting your LOCK on the spreadsheet.

    - Post only 1 LOCK per day.  You may post a MAXIMUM of 4 LOCKS per week.  A week starts on Monday, and ends on Sunday.  Choose NCAA, NBA, NFL, or NHL.  You do not have to stay in one sport.

    - No buying points for LOCKS.

    - No other "line-manipulations: like teasers, etc.

    - No parlays.

    - No props

    - LOCKS need to be -129 or better.  Anything -130 and over, take the -1.5 goals or runs if you feel like it is still a LOCK.

    - Do not try to cheat on lines. We, as a group, are all over the lines and every time someone gives a stinky spread, it is always called out. If the line is off, the LOCK doesn't go into the spreadsheet.

    - LOCKS MUST be posted 30 min. before the game is set to go off, anything less than 30 minutes the LOCK will not count.

    MOST IMPORTANT RULE! - You must give an original explanation as to why you KNOW this LOCK will win. And don't just "stat" us to death. Tell us about the game. DO NOT COPY YOUR WRITE-UPS! People on this thread are all over the internet and will find your plagiarism. I guarantee it. You can use Last 10, ATS, etc., numbers to support your argument, but stats from a gambling website are not an explanation.  Also, how about if you have actually SEEN the team play that you pick. I'd say that if you haven't seen a team play at least a few times, you can't really be an expert on the said team.

    FOLLOW THESE RULES AND YOUR LOCK WILL GET TRACKED

    Thank you for your understanding and your help in keeping this thread for the benefit of everybody, not just a place for you to blather out random picks and toot your own horn.

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    To remove first post, remove entire topic.

    LOCK THREAD CONCEPT - This thread has been created for all of us to share our expertise with everyone else to benefit the group.

    THIS IS NOT A PICKING CONTEST! PLEASE make special note of this!!! If you have an area of expertise, please make some LOCK choices from your area of expertise when you have a game you are confident enough in to call it a "LOCK". The difference between a PICK and a LOCK is that a PICK is a game you like, a LOCK is a game that you KNOW. If you are claiming your choice is a LOCK, and you really have NO true knowledge of that game, then you are just cheating us and posting your PICK just for attention and to see your name on the board.

    RULES FOR POSTING - We will not track your LOCK if you do not follow these rules. You are welcome to still post your PICK or card, but unless you do the things below, we won't be putting your LOCK on the spreadsheet.

    - Post only 1 LOCK per day.  You may post a MAXIMUM of 4 LOCKS per week.  A week starts on Monday, and ends on Sunday.  Choose NCAA, NBA, NFL, or NHL.  You do not have to stay in one sport.

    - No buying points for LOCKS.

    - No other "line-manipulations: like teasers, etc.

    - No parlays.

    - No props

    - LOCKS need to be -129 or better.  Anything -130 and over, take the -1.5 goals or runs if you feel like it is still a LOCK.

    - Do not try to cheat on lines. We, as a group, are all over the lines and every time someone gives a stinky spread, it is always called out. If the line is off, the LOCK doesn't go into the spreadsheet.

    - LOCKS MUST be posted 30 min. before the game is set to go off, anything less than 30 minutes the LOCK will not count.

    MOST IMPORTANT RULE! - You must give an original explanation as to why you KNOW this LOCK will win. And don't just "stat" us to death. Tell us about the game. DO NOT COPY YOUR WRITE-UPS! People on this thread are all over the internet and will find your plagiarism. I guarantee it. You can use Last 10, ATS, etc., numbers to support your argument, but stats from a gambling website are not an explanation.  Also, how about if you have actually SEEN the team play that you pick. I'd say that if you haven't seen a team play at least a few times, you can't really be an expert on the said team.

    FOLLOW THESE RULES AND YOUR LOCK WILL GET TRACKED

    Thank you for your understanding and your help in keeping this thread for the benefit of everybody, not just a place for you to blather out random picks and toot your own horn.

     
    USC_Holmey
    USC_Holmey
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    Posted: Feb. 1, 2016 - 5:21 PM ET #2

    So here is the first thread guys.  Post a LOCK for today, but ONLY if you have a LOCK as described above.  Please give us a writeup as to why you know your LOCK will win.  I will track any LOCKS that subscribe to the rules above and results will be posted daily.  Thanks for contributing and remember to only post a LOCK if you know it is a LOCK!  Thanks!
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    So here is the first thread guys.  Post a LOCK for today, but ONLY if you have a LOCK as described above.  Please give us a writeup as to why you know your LOCK will win.  I will track any LOCKS that subscribe to the rules above and results will be posted daily.  Thanks for contributing and remember to only post a LOCK if you know it is a LOCK!  Thanks!
     
    USC_Holmey
    USC_Holmey
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    Posted: Feb. 1, 2016 - 5:32 PM ET #3

    I expect to start slowly here, but that's actually good.  The last thing we want is 50 people throwing out whatever pops in their head.  I only track 4 LCOKS per week, and the week starts on Monday, and a max of one LOCK per day.  If there is nothing LOCK-able today, please save your LOCK for another day.  Not forcing a LOCK is one of the ideals here.  The more seriously everyone takes this, the better the results will be.  Heading out for a while.  Contribute whatever you can, even if its not a LOCK!

    GL today all!

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    I expect to start slowly here, but that's actually good.  The last thing we want is 50 people throwing out whatever pops in their head.  I only track 4 LCOKS per week, and the week starts on Monday, and a max of one LOCK per day.  If there is nothing LOCK-able today, please save your LOCK for another day.  Not forcing a LOCK is one of the ideals here.  The more seriously everyone takes this, the better the results will be.  Heading out for a while.  Contribute whatever you can, even if its not a LOCK!

    GL today all!

     
    MikeyBotz
    MikeyBotz
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    Posted: Feb. 1, 2016 - 5:49 PM ET #4

    Long time no see, man.  BOL tonight! Miss this thread.
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    Long time no see, man.  BOL tonight! Miss this thread.
     
    USC_Holmey
    USC_Holmey
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    Posted: Feb. 1, 2016 - 5:54 PM ET #5

    When I get back home I will see if I can find some old LOCK writeups from the past to show examples. There are several old LOCK Threaders hovering around Covers, so they can help with posts as welll.
    GL tonight.
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    When I get back home I will see if I can find some old LOCK writeups from the past to show examples. There are several old LOCK Threaders hovering around Covers, so they can help with posts as welll.
    GL tonight.
     
    USC_Holmey
    USC_Holmey
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    Posted: Feb. 1, 2016 - 5:54 PM ET #6

    When I get back home I will see if I can find some old LOCK writeups from the past to show examples. There are several old LOCK Threaders hovering around Covers, so they can help with posts as welll.
    GL tonight.
    Reply
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    When I get back home I will see if I can find some old LOCK writeups from the past to show examples. There are several old LOCK Threaders hovering around Covers, so they can help with posts as welll.
    GL tonight.
     
    USC_Holmey
    USC_Holmey
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    Posted: Feb. 1, 2016 - 5:59 PM ET #7

    Quote Originally Posted by MikeyBotz:

    Long time no see, man.  BOL tonight! Miss this thread.

    Hey mikey!  What was your CBS ID?
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    Quote Originally Posted by MikeyBotz:

    Long time no see, man.  BOL tonight! Miss this thread.

    Hey mikey!  What was your CBS ID?
     
    bk1374
    bk1374
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    Posted: Feb. 1, 2016 - 6:08 PM ET #8

    Thanks for trying to set up something that could benefit everyone. 

    On CBS, Holmey did a great job of keeping track of everyone's "locks".  Probably a thankless job too, for the most part.

    The key is that it's not a picking contest.  It's about sharing info and expertise in certain areas.  Which is why I'll be observing for the most part.  LOL.



    bk
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    Thanks for trying to set up something that could benefit everyone. 

    On CBS, Holmey did a great job of keeping track of everyone's "locks".  Probably a thankless job too, for the most part.

    The key is that it's not a picking contest.  It's about sharing info and expertise in certain areas.  Which is why I'll be observing for the most part.  LOL.



    bk
     
    forty9ersfan80
    forty9ersfan80
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    Posted: Feb. 1, 2016 - 6:27 PM ET #9

    Lock: North Carolina +1

    In my opinion the wrong team is favored here. Louisville is a very good home and defensive team but they don't have to firepower to keep up with unc. The tarheels are deep and win games with balanced scoring and dominate rebounding. They are one of the few teams to be able to beat you even shooting in the 30 percent range. Marcus Paige seems to have found his stroke after a long slump and that just adds another dimension to this beast of a team. Simply put when Paige has it going this team is very hard to beat. Louisville is coming off a embarrassing home loss to Virginia and will come out strong in this one but k expect the heels to make a few runs and put this one away in the second half behind Brice Johnson who has been phenomenal this season. Tar Heels win 78-71
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    Lock: North Carolina +1

    In my opinion the wrong team is favored here. Louisville is a very good home and defensive team but they don't have to firepower to keep up with unc. The tarheels are deep and win games with balanced scoring and dominate rebounding. They are one of the few teams to be able to beat you even shooting in the 30 percent range. Marcus Paige seems to have found his stroke after a long slump and that just adds another dimension to this beast of a team. Simply put when Paige has it going this team is very hard to beat. Louisville is coming off a embarrassing home loss to Virginia and will come out strong in this one but k expect the heels to make a few runs and put this one away in the second half behind Brice Johnson who has been phenomenal this season. Tar Heels win 78-71
     
    Redbandit
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    Posted: Feb. 1, 2016 - 6:28 PM ET #10

    Hey holmey. Posted when killtee took over for you . Maybe some others will post hereby. My name is the same . You inspired me to sign . Been following covers since lock thread shut. 
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    Hey holmey. Posted when killtee took over for you . Maybe some others will post hereby. My name is the same . You inspired me to sign . Been following covers since lock thread shut. 
     
    magiccarpetride
    magiccarpetride
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    Posted: Feb. 1, 2016 - 6:29 PM ET #11

    I guess, I can start this thing today by picking Mercer at -150


    Mercer led 36-15 at half of 69-50 home win over Samford Jan 2, its third straight series win- they won 62-61 (-4.5) here LY. Bears lost last two road games, both in OT; they won last two games by 15-15, after going OT three games in row before that. SoCon home underdogs of 6 or less points are 3-5 vs spread. Samford lost six of last seven games, splitting four SoCon home games, beating Citadel, Western Carolina.

    So I'm taking Mercer, the better team.  
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    I guess, I can start this thing today by picking Mercer at -150


    Mercer led 36-15 at half of 69-50 home win over Samford Jan 2, its third straight series win- they won 62-61 (-4.5) here LY. Bears lost last two road games, both in OT; they won last two games by 15-15, after going OT three games in row before that. SoCon home underdogs of 6 or less points are 3-5 vs spread. Samford lost six of last seven games, splitting four SoCon home games, beating Citadel, Western Carolina.

    So I'm taking Mercer, the better team.  
     
    forty9ersfan80
    forty9ersfan80
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    Posted: Feb. 1, 2016 - 6:34 PM ET #12

    I miss the cbs thread we used to kill it on there
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    I miss the cbs thread we used to kill it on there
     
    USC_Holmey
    USC_Holmey
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    Posted: Feb. 1, 2016 - 6:40 PM ET #13

    Quote Originally Posted by forty9ersfan80:

    Lock: North Carolina +1

    In my opinion the wrong team is favored here. Louisville is a very good home and defensive team but they don't have to firepower to keep up with unc. The tarheels are deep and win games with balanced scoring and dominate rebounding. They are one of the few teams to be able to beat you even shooting in the 30 percent range. Marcus Paige seems to have found his stroke after a long slump and that just adds another dimension to this beast of a team. Simply put when Paige has it going this team is very hard to beat. Louisville is coming off a embarrassing home loss to Virginia and will come out strong in this one but k expect the heels to make a few runs and put this one away in the second half behind Brice Johnson who has been phenomenal this season. Tar Heels win 78-71

     

    BOOM! First official LOCK posted on Covers!  Good writeup too!  Who were you over on CBS, forty9?

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    Quote Originally Posted by forty9ersfan80:

    Lock: North Carolina +1

    In my opinion the wrong team is favored here. Louisville is a very good home and defensive team but they don't have to firepower to keep up with unc. The tarheels are deep and win games with balanced scoring and dominate rebounding. They are one of the few teams to be able to beat you even shooting in the 30 percent range. Marcus Paige seems to have found his stroke after a long slump and that just adds another dimension to this beast of a team. Simply put when Paige has it going this team is very hard to beat. Louisville is coming off a embarrassing home loss to Virginia and will come out strong in this one but k expect the heels to make a few runs and put this one away in the second half behind Brice Johnson who has been phenomenal this season. Tar Heels win 78-71

     

    BOOM! First official LOCK posted on Covers!  Good writeup too!  Who were you over on CBS, forty9?

     
    USC_Holmey
    USC_Holmey
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    Posted: Feb. 1, 2016 - 6:42 PM ET #14

    Quote Originally Posted by magiccarpetride:

    I guess, I can start this thing today by picking Mercer at -150


    Mercer led 36-15 at half of 69-50 home win over Samford Jan 2, its third straight series win- they won 62-61 (-4.5) here LY. Bears lost last two road games, both in OT; they won last two games by 15-15, after going OT three games in row before that. SoCon home underdogs of 6 or less points are 3-5 vs spread. Samford lost six of last seven games, splitting four SoCon home games, beating Citadel, Western Carolina.

    So I'm taking Mercer, the better team.  

    Thanks, magiccarpet, but check the LOCK rules.  For basketbal, you have to take the spread, no M/L's.  If you want to repost your LOCK with the spread, I will track it, but as is, this one won't count in the official LOCK tracking.  Thanks for contributing and please repost with the spread number if you want it to count in the tracking.  Thanks!

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    Quote Originally Posted by magiccarpetride:

    I guess, I can start this thing today by picking Mercer at -150


    Mercer led 36-15 at half of 69-50 home win over Samford Jan 2, its third straight series win- they won 62-61 (-4.5) here LY. Bears lost last two road games, both in OT; they won last two games by 15-15, after going OT three games in row before that. SoCon home underdogs of 6 or less points are 3-5 vs spread. Samford lost six of last seven games, splitting four SoCon home games, beating Citadel, Western Carolina.

    So I'm taking Mercer, the better team.  

    Thanks, magiccarpet, but check the LOCK rules.  For basketbal, you have to take the spread, no M/L's.  If you want to repost your LOCK with the spread, I will track it, but as is, this one won't count in the official LOCK tracking.  Thanks for contributing and please repost with the spread number if you want it to count in the tracking.  Thanks!

     
    USC_Holmey
    USC_Holmey
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    Posted: Feb. 1, 2016 - 6:44 PM ET #15

    Quote Originally Posted by Redbandit:

    Hey holmey. Posted when killtee took over for you . Maybe some others will post hereby. My name is the same . You inspired me to sign . Been following covers since lock thread shut. 

    I remember you, redbandit!  Great to have you back on board!

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    Quote Originally Posted by Redbandit:

    Hey holmey. Posted when killtee took over for you . Maybe some others will post hereby. My name is the same . You inspired me to sign . Been following covers since lock thread shut. 

    I remember you, redbandit!  Great to have you back on board!

     
    USC_Holmey
    USC_Holmey
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    Posted: Feb. 1, 2016 - 6:45 PM ET #16

    Also, redbandit, found your lifetime LOCK record from when I tracked on CBS and it was 11-12, in case you were wondering.......
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    Also, redbandit, found your lifetime LOCK record from when I tracked on CBS and it was 11-12, in case you were wondering.......
     
    USC_Holmey
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    Posted: Feb. 1, 2016 - 6:52 PM ET #17

    Quote Originally Posted by bk1374:

    Thanks for trying to set up something that could benefit everyone. 

    On CBS, Holmey did a great job of keeping track of everyone's "locks".  Probably a thankless job too, for the most part.

    The key is that it's not a picking contest.  It's about sharing info and expertise in certain areas.  Which is why I'll be observing for the most part.  LOL.



    bk

    Thanks, bk!  I will stop calling you kenealy from now on if you want!

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    Quote Originally Posted by bk1374:

    Thanks for trying to set up something that could benefit everyone. 

    On CBS, Holmey did a great job of keeping track of everyone's "locks".  Probably a thankless job too, for the most part.

    The key is that it's not a picking contest.  It's about sharing info and expertise in certain areas.  Which is why I'll be observing for the most part.  LOL.



    bk

    Thanks, bk!  I will stop calling you kenealy from now on if you want!

     
    USC_Holmey
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    Posted: Feb. 1, 2016 - 7:13 PM ET #18

    I will remove the "30 Minute Before Tip" rule for tomorrow's thread.  That was not my rule and I don't think its necessary.  Obviously, though, LOCKS need to be in before the game starts and the earlier you get your LOCK in, the better for everyone.
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    I will remove the "30 Minute Before Tip" rule for tomorrow's thread.  That was not my rule and I don't think its necessary.  Obviously, though, LOCKS need to be in before the game starts and the earlier you get your LOCK in, the better for everyone.
     
    billywaddy
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    Posted: Feb. 1, 2016 - 7:27 PM ET #19

    Good to hear from you Holmey. Let's roll the books!

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    Good to hear from you Holmey. Let's roll the books!

     
    billywaddy
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    Posted: Feb. 1, 2016 - 7:45 PM ET #20

    My name on cbs was Vince Ferragamo. I think ... 
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    My name on cbs was Vince Ferragamo. I think ... 
     
    soxfann1
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    Posted: Feb. 1, 2016 - 7:51 PM ET #21

    I was bearfan#one seems like a long time ago now.
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    I was bearfan#one seems like a long time ago now.
     
    Eagles2377
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    Posted: Feb. 1, 2016 - 7:52 PM ET #22

    Great thread bro. Good luck to you. My lock tonight is smu/Houston under 142. The public is all on the over yet the line has gone down 4 points. I know its too late for me to be in for tonight since game tips in ten mins but I figured I would share anyway. Gl to all
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    Great thread bro. Good luck to you. My lock tonight is smu/Houston under 142. The public is all on the over yet the line has gone down 4 points. I know its too late for me to be in for tonight since game tips in ten mins but I figured I would share anyway. Gl to all
     
    USC_Holmey
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    Posted: Feb. 1, 2016 - 7:55 PM ET #23

    Quote Originally Posted by billywaddy:

    My name on cbs was Vince Ferragamo. I think ... 

    I remember you Vince!  Good to see you!  Now Billy Waddy?  Where's Preston Dennard?
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    Quote Originally Posted by billywaddy:

    My name on cbs was Vince Ferragamo. I think ... 

    I remember you Vince!  Good to see you!  Now Billy Waddy?  Where's Preston Dennard?
     
    Wander Bread
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    Posted: Feb. 1, 2016 - 7:57 PM ET #24

    Quote Originally Posted by billywaddy:

    My name on cbs was Vince Ferragamo. I think ... 

    I remember you too Vince

    -PennState2011
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    Quote Originally Posted by billywaddy:

    My name on cbs was Vince Ferragamo. I think ... 

    I remember you too Vince

    -PennState2011
     
     
    USC_Holmey
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    Posted: Feb. 1, 2016 - 8:00 PM ET #25

    Quote Originally Posted by soxfann1:

    I was bearfan#one seems like a long time ago now.

    Hey bearfan I remember you also!
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    Quote Originally Posted by soxfann1:

    I was bearfan#one seems like a long time ago now.

    Hey bearfan I remember you also!
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