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All Forums | College Basketball

Lets talk :: Washington @ SDSU -5.5

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Johnny-Keyz
CaseyAffleck
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Johnny-Keyz
Johnny-Keyz
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Joined: Jan, 2008
Posts: 121
Posted: Mar. 21, 2016 - 10:18 PM ET #1

Spotlight game and late.  Not seeing much discussion on the board so I started a thread for info.  

UW is young, athletic, and can score.  However posting 100+ vs Long Beach St is one thing. Will they score the SDSU defense?  

No real tells on betting percentages and/or line movement.  

What other info is out there?  
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Spotlight game and late.  Not seeing much discussion on the board so I started a thread for info.  

UW is young, athletic, and can score.  However posting 100+ vs Long Beach St is one thing. Will they score the SDSU defense?  

No real tells on betting percentages and/or line movement.  

What other info is out there?  
 
CaseyAffleck
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Posted: Mar. 21, 2016 - 10:21 PM ET #2

Im interested to hear people's take on this game as well. Seems like a classic offence vs defence matchup. Line has moved a point and a half in the favour of SDSU. Does washington have a chance to upset tonight? There away record isn't that great and they will have to battle a rowdy crowd which will probably play the 6th man role well.  
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Im interested to hear people's take on this game as well. Seems like a classic offence vs defence matchup. Line has moved a point and a half in the favour of SDSU. Does washington have a chance to upset tonight? There away record isn't that great and they will have to battle a rowdy crowd which will probably play the 6th man role well.  
 
Johnny-Keyz
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Posted: Mar. 21, 2016 - 10:24 PM ET #3

Vegas Insider has the current sides clip at 60% - UW / 40% - SDSU.  Slight line movement towards SDSU.  

Is Washington a trendy dog play?  Hate those!  
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Vegas Insider has the current sides clip at 60% - UW / 40% - SDSU.  Slight line movement towards SDSU.  

Is Washington a trendy dog play?  Hate those!  
 
mattyjay90
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Posted: Mar. 21, 2016 - 10:25 PM ET #4

Went big on 2 dogs tonight, one has clearly paid off (GEORGIA TCH)
and I am waiting on Washington, lets face it, SDST may have been great in THEIR conference, but washington plays in a whole other level.. They hanged tough with the best and can score big, if they score there avg 80 on SDST defence, is SDST going to be able to come anywhere close to matching that. I doubt it.

I feel washington wins by 10+ and if you look at past 4 times these teams have met 3 0f 4 times Was has won and by double digits, even as underdog, including 13 point win last season.

In my opinion, this is the dog of the DAY!
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Went big on 2 dogs tonight, one has clearly paid off (GEORGIA TCH)
and I am waiting on Washington, lets face it, SDST may have been great in THEIR conference, but washington plays in a whole other level.. They hanged tough with the best and can score big, if they score there avg 80 on SDST defence, is SDST going to be able to come anywhere close to matching that. I doubt it.

I feel washington wins by 10+ and if you look at past 4 times these teams have met 3 0f 4 times Was has won and by double digits, even as underdog, including 13 point win last season.

In my opinion, this is the dog of the DAY!
 
lousyjets
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Posted: Mar. 21, 2016 - 10:31 PM ET #5

Washington is the play guys.
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Washington is the play guys.
 
Johnny-Keyz
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Posted: Mar. 21, 2016 - 10:32 PM ET #6

Matty,

Good stuff.  

Definitely seeing your angles - NIT dog trend tonight, scoring avg (80), previous record.  I don't think the Pac 12 has looked great so far in post season.  So hanging tough with anyone besides Oregon doesn't give me much.  

Also SDSU second leading scorer Jeremy Hemsley to come off the bench tonight?  Nursing a foot injury.

Still looking.  


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Matty,

Good stuff.  

Definitely seeing your angles - NIT dog trend tonight, scoring avg (80), previous record.  I don't think the Pac 12 has looked great so far in post season.  So hanging tough with anyone besides Oregon doesn't give me much.  

Also SDSU second leading scorer Jeremy Hemsley to come off the bench tonight?  Nursing a foot injury.

Still looking.  


 
Wess_Tijuana
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Posted: Mar. 21, 2016 - 10:32 PM ET #7

Washington slugged it out with heavyweight Oregon in the Conference Tourney

I truly felt coming out of the tourney that Oregon-Washington were the 2 best teams in the Conference

One week later they are in fact the last 2 teams standing

Romar's teams can play with anyone when they are on their game, and they are leveraging this NIT as a final hurrah  for revered Senior Andrew Andrews

Washington wins outright tonight


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Washington slugged it out with heavyweight Oregon in the Conference Tourney

I truly felt coming out of the tourney that Oregon-Washington were the 2 best teams in the Conference

One week later they are in fact the last 2 teams standing

Romar's teams can play with anyone when they are on their game, and they are leveraging this NIT as a final hurrah  for revered Senior Andrew Andrews

Washington wins outright tonight


 
mattyjay90
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Posted: Mar. 21, 2016 - 10:32 PM ET #8

Quote Originally Posted by lousyjets:

Washington is the play guys.
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Quote Originally Posted by lousyjets:

Washington is the play guys.
 
donnybrasco
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Posted: Mar. 21, 2016 - 10:33 PM ET #9

This is a hard game to call.  I think UW is more talented, but they are young.  I don't trust UW's coach, Lorenzo Romar, and SD St's coach is a great Xs and Os coach.
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This is a hard game to call.  I think UW is more talented, but they are young.  I don't trust UW's coach, Lorenzo Romar, and SD St's coach is a great Xs and Os coach.
 
jrgumpert
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Posted: Mar. 21, 2016 - 10:38 PM ET #10

Quote Originally Posted by CaseyAffleck:

Im interested to hear people's take on this game as well. Seems like a classic offence vs defence matchup. Line has moved a point and a half in the favour of SDSU. Does washington have a chance to upset tonight? There away record isn't that great and they will have to battle a rowdy crowd which will probably play the 6th man role well.  


I pay $100 a month for Donbest and the line has barely moved, with all the public and covers experts on SDST.
The line opened at -5 every single place and now is -5.5 -115
That means it's a hair away from going right back to where it started.

I am leaning Wash but want to see what the line does. Wash plays in a MUCH tougher conference and gave Oregon and few others some real tough games. They crunched these guys 12 months ago as well. I'm leaning towards taking a bought up 6 or 7 just for insurance. I'm 7-0 on the night though and hate to finish it up with a clunker. Just feeling the public is going to try and get even with the home favorite and I want to be on the other side of that. GL all, I'll be back about 15 before game time for my final answer.
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Quote Originally Posted by CaseyAffleck:

Im interested to hear people's take on this game as well. Seems like a classic offence vs defence matchup. Line has moved a point and a half in the favour of SDSU. Does washington have a chance to upset tonight? There away record isn't that great and they will have to battle a rowdy crowd which will probably play the 6th man role well.  


I pay $100 a month for Donbest and the line has barely moved, with all the public and covers experts on SDST.
The line opened at -5 every single place and now is -5.5 -115
That means it's a hair away from going right back to where it started.

I am leaning Wash but want to see what the line does. Wash plays in a MUCH tougher conference and gave Oregon and few others some real tough games. They crunched these guys 12 months ago as well. I'm leaning towards taking a bought up 6 or 7 just for insurance. I'm 7-0 on the night though and hate to finish it up with a clunker. Just feeling the public is going to try and get even with the home favorite and I want to be on the other side of that. GL all, I'll be back about 15 before game time for my final answer.
 
jrgumpert
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Posted: Mar. 21, 2016 - 10:40 PM ET #11

Quote Originally Posted by mattyjay90:

Went big on 2 dogs tonight, one has clearly paid off (GEORGIA TCH)
and I am waiting on Washington, lets face it, SDST may have been great in THEIR conference, but washington plays in a whole other level.. They hanged tough with the best and can score big, if they score there avg 80 on SDST defence, is SDST going to be able to come anywhere close to matching that. I doubt it.

I feel washington wins by 10+ and if you look at past 4 times these teams have met 3 0f 4 times Was has won and by double digits, even as underdog, including 13 point win last season.

In my opinion, this is the dog of the DAY!



Wow, wish I had read the whole thread before posting, think you've nailed it every which way but Sunday.
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Quote Originally Posted by mattyjay90:

Went big on 2 dogs tonight, one has clearly paid off (GEORGIA TCH)
and I am waiting on Washington, lets face it, SDST may have been great in THEIR conference, but washington plays in a whole other level.. They hanged tough with the best and can score big, if they score there avg 80 on SDST defence, is SDST going to be able to come anywhere close to matching that. I doubt it.

I feel washington wins by 10+ and if you look at past 4 times these teams have met 3 0f 4 times Was has won and by double digits, even as underdog, including 13 point win last season.

In my opinion, this is the dog of the DAY!



Wow, wish I had read the whole thread before posting, think you've nailed it every which way but Sunday.
 
Eddy_Winslow
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Posted: Mar. 21, 2016 - 10:40 PM ET #12

State for me, ill never back this Wash team on road, they play no D
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State for me, ill never back this Wash team on road, they play no D
 
Bahamas914
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Posted: Mar. 21, 2016 - 10:42 PM ET #13

How much would you guys wager on it. Or I should say how much have u wagered?  
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How much would you guys wager on it. Or I should say how much have u wagered?  
 
Johnny-Keyz
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Posted: Mar. 21, 2016 - 10:43 PM ET #14

Quote Originally Posted by jrgumpert:



I pay $100 a month for Donbest and the line has barely moved, with all the public and covers experts on SDST.
The line opened at -5 every single place and now is -5.5 -115
That means it's a hair away from going right back to where it started.

I am leaning Wash but want to see what the line does. Wash plays in a MUCH tougher conference and gave Oregon and few others some real tough games. They crunched these guys 12 months ago as well. I'm leaning towards taking a bought up 6 or 7 just for insurance. I'm 7-0 on the night though and hate to finish it up with a clunker. Just feeling the public is going to try and get even with the home favorite and I want to be on the other side of that. GL all, I'll be back about 15 before game time for my final answer.

Thanks for the line info.  Where are you getting that the public and covers experts are saying SDSU.  I'm seeing most of the "sides" love on Washington.  
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Quote Originally Posted by jrgumpert:



I pay $100 a month for Donbest and the line has barely moved, with all the public and covers experts on SDST.
The line opened at -5 every single place and now is -5.5 -115
That means it's a hair away from going right back to where it started.

I am leaning Wash but want to see what the line does. Wash plays in a MUCH tougher conference and gave Oregon and few others some real tough games. They crunched these guys 12 months ago as well. I'm leaning towards taking a bought up 6 or 7 just for insurance. I'm 7-0 on the night though and hate to finish it up with a clunker. Just feeling the public is going to try and get even with the home favorite and I want to be on the other side of that. GL all, I'll be back about 15 before game time for my final answer.

Thanks for the line info.  Where are you getting that the public and covers experts are saying SDSU.  I'm seeing most of the "sides" love on Washington.  
 
Johnny-Keyz
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Posted: Mar. 21, 2016 - 10:44 PM ET #15

[Quote: Originally Posted by Eddy_Winslow] State for me, ill never back this Wash team on road, they play no D [/Quote

AND how in the hell do you let LBSU score 100 on you?  
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[Quote: Originally Posted by Eddy_Winslow] State for me, ill never back this Wash team on road, they play no D [/Quote

AND how in the hell do you let LBSU score 100 on you?  
 
Eddy_Winslow
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Posted: Mar. 21, 2016 - 10:47 PM ET #16

If you think "the public" is on SDST you are crazy, I dont care what site you are getting info from. With their recent form, catching 5.5, being  from a major conference, trust me the avg gambler is on Wash here more often than SDST

To an entertaining game
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If you think "the public" is on SDST you are crazy, I dont care what site you are getting info from. With their recent form, catching 5.5, being  from a major conference, trust me the avg gambler is on Wash here more often than SDST

To an entertaining game
 
jrgumpert
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Posted: Mar. 21, 2016 - 10:48 PM ET #17

Quote Originally Posted by Johnny-Keyz:


Thanks for the line info.  Where are you getting that the public and covers experts are saying SDSU.  I'm seeing most of the "sides" love on Washington.  



Well, it's closer than I thought, but it's right here at Covers. It's not exact but it gets me close enough for what I'm looking for.

56% experts for the fav and 52% of covers public. Random sample of about 1000 players.


PUBLIC EXPERT
Washington 48 % ( 538-586 ) 44 % ( 14-18 )
San Diego St. 52 % ( 586-538 ) 56 % ( 18-14 )

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Quote Originally Posted by Johnny-Keyz:


Thanks for the line info.  Where are you getting that the public and covers experts are saying SDSU.  I'm seeing most of the "sides" love on Washington.  



Well, it's closer than I thought, but it's right here at Covers. It's not exact but it gets me close enough for what I'm looking for.

56% experts for the fav and 52% of covers public. Random sample of about 1000 players.


PUBLIC EXPERT
Washington 48 % ( 538-586 ) 44 % ( 14-18 )
San Diego St. 52 % ( 586-538 ) 56 % ( 18-14 )

 
MclatchyHostage
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Posted: Mar. 21, 2016 - 10:48 PM ET #18

san diego state is a tough team and even tougher to play at home. Washington awful on the road and plays zero defense. Also, San Diego State starting to play better and better as the season went on, I really think they could have been a tournament team this year as far as talent goes. A team that plays tough defense and can score enough to win. 

-5 for me GL
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san diego state is a tough team and even tougher to play at home. Washington awful on the road and plays zero defense. Also, San Diego State starting to play better and better as the season went on, I really think they could have been a tournament team this year as far as talent goes. A team that plays tough defense and can score enough to win. 

-5 for me GL
 
CaseyAffleck
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Posted: Mar. 21, 2016 - 10:49 PM ET #19

Quote Originally Posted by Johnny-Keyz:

Quote Originally Posted by Eddy_Winslow:

State for me, ill never back this Wash team on road, they play no D [/Quote

AND how in the hell do you let LBSU score 100 on you?  
Ide take the "solid defence" approach over the "outscore our opponent" approach personally. 
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Quote Originally Posted by Johnny-Keyz:

Quote Originally Posted by Eddy_Winslow:

State for me, ill never back this Wash team on road, they play no D [/Quote

AND how in the hell do you let LBSU score 100 on you?  
Ide take the "solid defence" approach over the "outscore our opponent" approach personally. 
 
Eddy_Winslow
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Posted: Mar. 21, 2016 - 10:54 PM ET #20

In true road games this year (tonight is a true road game) Washington has allowed, 95, 99, 85, 84, 98, 90, 81, 82, 86. Anything can happen here, its sports but ill never back a team with defensive numbers like that
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In true road games this year (tonight is a true road game) Washington has allowed, 95, 99, 85, 84, 98, 90, 81, 82, 86. Anything can happen here, its sports but ill never back a team with defensive numbers like that
 
Eddy_Winslow
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Posted: Mar. 21, 2016 - 10:55 PM ET #21

Oh ya and 2 of those games were Wash st and Zona st
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Oh ya and 2 of those games were Wash st and Zona st
 
MBDAN
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Posted: Mar. 21, 2016 - 11:00 PM ET #22

Where the you go, Eddy. You answered the question. I'm going to take over 149.5. GL fellas.
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Where the you go, Eddy. You answered the question. I'm going to take over 149.5. GL fellas.
 
mattyjay90
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Posted: Mar. 21, 2016 - 11:02 PM ET #23

Quote Originally Posted by Eddy_Winslow:

Oh ya and 2 of those games were Wash st and Zona st

TBH Zona st is a better team then SDST when at home IMO
Secondly, Wash st is a rivalry game, all lines get thrown out the window their... these examples are terrible examples
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Quote Originally Posted by Eddy_Winslow:

Oh ya and 2 of those games were Wash st and Zona st

TBH Zona st is a better team then SDST when at home IMO
Secondly, Wash st is a rivalry game, all lines get thrown out the window their... these examples are terrible examples
 
abcpohl
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Posted: Mar. 21, 2016 - 11:04 PM ET #24

Both teams beat Long Beach State by 4 and 5 points.
But SDSU was playing very weak ball at the beginning of the year.

SDSU is playing better ball now so I expect them to beat Washington but probably by 5 or 6, so the line seems fair.

Tough call because SDSU tends to keep games close. Normally free throws might push them over the edge but SDSU doesn't shoot free throws well. Good luck.
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Both teams beat Long Beach State by 4 and 5 points.
But SDSU was playing very weak ball at the beginning of the year.

SDSU is playing better ball now so I expect them to beat Washington but probably by 5 or 6, so the line seems fair.

Tough call because SDSU tends to keep games close. Normally free throws might push them over the edge but SDSU doesn't shoot free throws well. Good luck.
 
 
mattyjay90
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Posted: Mar. 21, 2016 - 11:05 PM ET #25

Look at Was last 5 and look at SDST last 5... we really going to see these teams are on the same planet?
Played oregon twice and played him hard, which IMO Oregon is the NCAA toruney winner this year.. so really.. SDST hasnt proved anything to me and Washington has.

Plus are we forgetting the meltdown SDST has every end of every year.. you say they should be in the ncaa tourny... cmon now, i can think of 5 more teams off top of my head more deserving..

rude awakening for favorite backers as it has been ALL NIGHT
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Look at Was last 5 and look at SDST last 5... we really going to see these teams are on the same planet?
Played oregon twice and played him hard, which IMO Oregon is the NCAA toruney winner this year.. so really.. SDST hasnt proved anything to me and Washington has.

Plus are we forgetting the meltdown SDST has every end of every year.. you say they should be in the ncaa tourny... cmon now, i can think of 5 more teams off top of my head more deserving..

rude awakening for favorite backers as it has been ALL NIGHT
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