i've seen enough ..... time to get serious
Posted:
#351
717 (New Mexico / Utah Valley) Over 164 -110 for Game
164 -110
RISK $
440.00
WIN $
400
scary high # but that's for a reason. Track meet. 3's left and right. No Defense as both teams are distraught to not be in the big dance. offensive showcase
717 (New Mexico / Utah Valley) Over 164 -110 for Game
164 -110
RISK $
440.00
WIN $
400
scary high # but that's for a reason. Track meet. 3's left and right. No Defense as both teams are distraught to not be in the big dance. offensive showcase
Posted:
#353
704 Nevada +2½ -110 for Game
+3 -120
RISK $
960.00
WIN $ 800.00
.............................
704 Nevada +120 for Game
RISK $
400
WIN $
480.00
......
i'm shocked NV isn't favored. They have advantages in every single catogory possible except DEF EFF, but barely as they are 48th and AZ St is 28th. Literally they are statistically better in eveything else and have massive height advantage and depth on the frontline. AZ st has a better PG/SG combo and better defense barely..... NV should weare them down inside and win
704 Nevada +2½ -110 for Game
+3 -120
RISK $
960.00
WIN $ 800.00
.............................
704 Nevada +120 for Game
RISK $
400
WIN $
480.00
......
i'm shocked NV isn't favored. They have advantages in every single catogory possible except DEF EFF, but barely as they are 48th and AZ St is 28th. Literally they are statistically better in eveything else and have massive height advantage and depth on the frontline. AZ st has a better PG/SG combo and better defense barely..... NV should weare them down inside and win
Posted:
#354
707 Alcorn St (North Texas / Alcorn St) Under 53½ -115 for Game
RISK $
460.00
WIN $
400
north texas D is for real. Plus, they don't allow 3s at a top 10 clip in the nation. Their tempo is also slowest 10 in nation. I don't know how they cover the -17 even against a garbage alcorn st, but i'll bet on them to not allow this many points. Alcorn state is a bottom 10 shooting team in nation and I just don't see them scoring over 50 here unless the pace is fast uncharacteristically for NT due to not being in the dance.
707 Alcorn St (North Texas / Alcorn St) Under 53½ -115 for Game
RISK $
460.00
WIN $
400
north texas D is for real. Plus, they don't allow 3s at a top 10 clip in the nation. Their tempo is also slowest 10 in nation. I don't know how they cover the -17 even against a garbage alcorn st, but i'll bet on them to not allow this many points. Alcorn state is a bottom 10 shooting team in nation and I just don't see them scoring over 50 here unless the pace is fast uncharacteristically for NT due to not being in the dance.
Posted:
#357
Up by 15 and miss 10 straight shots. Won’t happen again. Brownell getting in their asses at home looking all nonchalant in 1H. Look for 20 pt 2half win
Up by 15 and miss 10 straight shots. Won’t happen again. Brownell getting in their asses at home looking all nonchalant in 1H. Look for 20 pt 2half win
Posted:
#361
Clemson doesn’t give a shit about the NIT, that’s obvious. Hate when a bunch of dumbass kids decide to throw away a tournament because they’re not satisfied with being there.
Clemson doesn’t give a shit about the NIT, that’s obvious. Hate when a bunch of dumbass kids decide to throw away a tournament because they’re not satisfied with being there.
Posted:
#363
from betonline right now:
...................................
Creighton -10 -112
Princeton @ Creighton
Spread - Game
Risk $5600.00
Win $5000.00
................................
I'm not going to list off or quote any analytics or statistics. If I did so, you'd see that Creighton is better than Princeton in every single statistical category and analytic that I can find, except Princeton is a little 'deeper' on the bench aka they play more bench guys for more minutes, slightly.
That's literally the only stat that is favorable. Princeton is a good team and clearly anyone can beat anyone, as evidenced by this tourney thus far. I've sat out most of it and just was patiently waiting for a spot. I think this is it. Creighton is playing their best basketball of the year and hitting on all cylinders. Kalkbrenner is a man possessed and should have a huge night tonight off the pick n roll game and with the huge height advantage. Princeton has acquiesced to all opponents' styles of play this year....see all their games with Yale or Cornell or Mizzou, etc. They do not impose their will or pace or style on anyone. Creighton will dictate pace and absolutely open this game up to fast tempo, transition off boards, and based on that they will get unlimited open looks from 3-pt distance where they shoot 36% and are deadly. Princeton has consistently allowed 30+ 3 pt attempts to teams and has been fortunate that teams have shot poorly. Creighton will absolutely crush them on the O-D matchup with the inside out game, pick n roll, and transition all opening up Scheinerman, Alexander, Kaluma, and Nembhard from 3. Their length and athleticism should give Princeton absolute fits on both ends. On the Princeton O-Creighton D side of things, Princeton just is an avg to below avg shooting team. THey are ranked 201st from 3, 51st from 2, and 199th from FT line with 33%, 53% and 71%. Princeton, despite their shooting woes, looks for 3s on O. Creighton does NOT give up 3s. THey are top 50 in nation at disallowing opponent 3s. I believe creighton will run Pton off the 3 and make them settle for midrange, which is not a quality shot for most ball players nowadays as the midrange is a lost art and Princeton especially is not a good shooting team. Look for Creighton to jump on Princeton early and for this game to get out of hand. Princeton had a nice little 2 game run and should be proud but Creighton is a different and much better beast than Arizona and Missouri (short and solely reliant on 3) and the rest of the Tigers schedule this year. Good luck and play within yourself. This is a large play for me, largest 'posted' play this year.
from betonline right now:
...................................
Creighton -10 -112
Princeton @ Creighton
Spread - Game
Risk $5600.00
Win $5000.00
................................
I'm not going to list off or quote any analytics or statistics. If I did so, you'd see that Creighton is better than Princeton in every single statistical category and analytic that I can find, except Princeton is a little 'deeper' on the bench aka they play more bench guys for more minutes, slightly.
That's literally the only stat that is favorable. Princeton is a good team and clearly anyone can beat anyone, as evidenced by this tourney thus far. I've sat out most of it and just was patiently waiting for a spot. I think this is it. Creighton is playing their best basketball of the year and hitting on all cylinders. Kalkbrenner is a man possessed and should have a huge night tonight off the pick n roll game and with the huge height advantage. Princeton has acquiesced to all opponents' styles of play this year....see all their games with Yale or Cornell or Mizzou, etc. They do not impose their will or pace or style on anyone. Creighton will dictate pace and absolutely open this game up to fast tempo, transition off boards, and based on that they will get unlimited open looks from 3-pt distance where they shoot 36% and are deadly. Princeton has consistently allowed 30+ 3 pt attempts to teams and has been fortunate that teams have shot poorly. Creighton will absolutely crush them on the O-D matchup with the inside out game, pick n roll, and transition all opening up Scheinerman, Alexander, Kaluma, and Nembhard from 3. Their length and athleticism should give Princeton absolute fits on both ends. On the Princeton O-Creighton D side of things, Princeton just is an avg to below avg shooting team. THey are ranked 201st from 3, 51st from 2, and 199th from FT line with 33%, 53% and 71%. Princeton, despite their shooting woes, looks for 3s on O. Creighton does NOT give up 3s. THey are top 50 in nation at disallowing opponent 3s. I believe creighton will run Pton off the 3 and make them settle for midrange, which is not a quality shot for most ball players nowadays as the midrange is a lost art and Princeton especially is not a good shooting team. Look for Creighton to jump on Princeton early and for this game to get out of hand. Princeton had a nice little 2 game run and should be proud but Creighton is a different and much better beast than Arizona and Missouri (short and solely reliant on 3) and the rest of the Tigers schedule this year. Good luck and play within yourself. This is a large play for me, largest 'posted' play this year.
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