ANALYSIS: CANISIUS GOLDEN GRIFFINS @ NIAGARA PURPLE EAGLES – TOTAL POINTS PICK: Over/Under 126.5
Two of the conference's lowest-scoring and most struggling teams meet for the second time this season. Niagara (5-17, 2-10 MAAC) secured a narrow 59-54 road victory on January 15th. Both teams enter on significant losing streaks—Canisius has dropped seven straight, while Niagara has lost five in a row. With both offenses mired in inefficiency, this game hinges on which team's defense can capitalize on the other's mistakes and whether either can find a spark of offensive rhythm. The low line of 126.5 reflects their season-long scoring woes, but does it still offer value for an under?
Canisius Golden Griffins:
Current Identity: OFFENSIVELY LOST & DEFEATED.
Biggest Strength (Tonight): Rebounding. Led by Mike Evbagharu (6.7 RPG) and Myles Wilmoth (5.1 RPG), they can compete on the glass, especially offensively. Second-chance points might be their only reliable source of offense.
Fatal Flaw: Scoring Ineptitude. They shoot 40.1% from the field and 33.9% from three. They lack a true go-to scorer; while Kahlil Singleton (14.0 PPG) can get hot, he's inefficient (40.9% FG). Ball movement is stagnant (12.2 APG, 348th), leading to contested jumpers late in the shot clock.
Recent Form: In their 7-game losing streak, they have failed to reach 70 points in any game and have been held under 60 four times. The offense is broken.
Niagara Purple Eagles:
Current Identity: SLIGHTLY MORE COMPETENT BUT EQUALLY INEFFECTIVE.
Biggest Strength: Slightly Better Ball Security & Shot Selection. They turn it over less and shoot a marginally better percentage from the field (43.0%). Justin Page (12.8 PPG) is their most capable scorer.
Fatal Flaw: Lack of Firepower & Closing Ability. They rank 361st in scoring. They have lost multiple close games recently (by 1, 1, and 3 points) because they cannot generate quality shots in crunch time. They attempt very few free throws and don't convert them well (70.5%).
Recent Form: While competitive, their last five losses have seen them score 70, 61, 70, 79, and 46 points. The 46-point output against Marist last game is a glaring red flag for their offensive ceiling.
Game Flow & Key Matchups
The First Half Crawl: Expect an incredibly low-scoring first half as both teams feel each other out. Missed shots and long rebounds will be the theme.
Turnovers vs. Empty Possessions: Canisius's turnover problem (12.8 per game) will give Niagara extra possessions. However, Niagara's inability to capitalize (63.1 PPG) means many of these will result in zero points.
Fatigue & Frustration Factor: As misses pile up, offensive execution typically worsens. Players press, take worse shots, and defensive effort can wane, leading to some easier baskets—but the baseline is so low it may not matter.
Prediction & Pick:
The full analysis for this game and others is on my website:
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ANALYSIS: CANISIUS GOLDEN GRIFFINS @ NIAGARA PURPLE EAGLES – TOTAL POINTS PICK: Over/Under 126.5
Two of the conference's lowest-scoring and most struggling teams meet for the second time this season. Niagara (5-17, 2-10 MAAC) secured a narrow 59-54 road victory on January 15th. Both teams enter on significant losing streaks—Canisius has dropped seven straight, while Niagara has lost five in a row. With both offenses mired in inefficiency, this game hinges on which team's defense can capitalize on the other's mistakes and whether either can find a spark of offensive rhythm. The low line of 126.5 reflects their season-long scoring woes, but does it still offer value for an under?
Canisius Golden Griffins:
Current Identity: OFFENSIVELY LOST & DEFEATED.
Biggest Strength (Tonight): Rebounding. Led by Mike Evbagharu (6.7 RPG) and Myles Wilmoth (5.1 RPG), they can compete on the glass, especially offensively. Second-chance points might be their only reliable source of offense.
Fatal Flaw: Scoring Ineptitude. They shoot 40.1% from the field and 33.9% from three. They lack a true go-to scorer; while Kahlil Singleton (14.0 PPG) can get hot, he's inefficient (40.9% FG). Ball movement is stagnant (12.2 APG, 348th), leading to contested jumpers late in the shot clock.
Recent Form: In their 7-game losing streak, they have failed to reach 70 points in any game and have been held under 60 four times. The offense is broken.
Niagara Purple Eagles:
Current Identity: SLIGHTLY MORE COMPETENT BUT EQUALLY INEFFECTIVE.
Biggest Strength: Slightly Better Ball Security & Shot Selection. They turn it over less and shoot a marginally better percentage from the field (43.0%). Justin Page (12.8 PPG) is their most capable scorer.
Fatal Flaw: Lack of Firepower & Closing Ability. They rank 361st in scoring. They have lost multiple close games recently (by 1, 1, and 3 points) because they cannot generate quality shots in crunch time. They attempt very few free throws and don't convert them well (70.5%).
Recent Form: While competitive, their last five losses have seen them score 70, 61, 70, 79, and 46 points. The 46-point output against Marist last game is a glaring red flag for their offensive ceiling.
Game Flow & Key Matchups
The First Half Crawl: Expect an incredibly low-scoring first half as both teams feel each other out. Missed shots and long rebounds will be the theme.
Turnovers vs. Empty Possessions: Canisius's turnover problem (12.8 per game) will give Niagara extra possessions. However, Niagara's inability to capitalize (63.1 PPG) means many of these will result in zero points.
Fatigue & Frustration Factor: As misses pile up, offensive execution typically worsens. Players press, take worse shots, and defensive effort can wane, leading to some easier baskets—but the baseline is so low it may not matter.
Prediction & Pick:
The full analysis for this game and others is on my website:
I dont see it. They are only 6-5 at home. Maybe if they were undefeated. They lost their last 3 home games and two of those were by double digits. But its sports so who knows. BOL
Second mouse gets the cheese.
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I dont see it. They are only 6-5 at home. Maybe if they were undefeated. They lost their last 3 home games and two of those were by double digits. But its sports so who knows. BOL
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