***GWarner27's 11/23 NCAAB Picks (14-9 60.9% YTD)***

+4.20

Dogs 5-3 +1.80
Faves 9-6 +2.40
Over 0-0 +0.00
Under 0-0 +0.00
1st Half 0-0 +0.00
Halftimes 0-0 +0.00
Buybacks: 0-0 +0.00

Posted records:
2006-07: 68-70 (49.3%) -1.979
2007-08: 153-142-4 (51.9%) -4.141
2008-09: 144-142-2 (50.3%) -7.657
2009-10: 141-136-4 (50.9%) +1.294
2010-11: 114-79-4 (59.1%) +31.085

November 14-9 +4.20
December 0-0 +0.00
January 0-0 +0.00
February 0-0 +0.00
March 0-0 +0.00
April 0-0 +0.00

Notes:
-Bradley and Notre Dame got absolutely destroyed beyond the arc, definitely didn't expect UGA to do that and didn't think Wofford could do that on the road after shooting so poorly to start the year
-Mizzou ran Cal out of the gym
-Ucla got off to a bad start because of bad defense and spent a ton of energy to recover to trail by only 5 in the 2H, but fell on their face towards the end with terrible offense

Wednesday thoughts:
-Penn State is awful, YSU is worse
-UW-Mil looks okay in the backcourt with their PG and off guard returning, plus a good scorer inside. Lost a bunch of scoring on the wing with 2 guys gone, Michigan State is going to use their size to rebound and push Meier out of the paint. Guards aren't great but they should have better matchups even with Wood coming from Horizon's Valpo.
-VCU not very good at scoring, will press and use their athletes while WKU is young with a lot of new players. WKU is a tough place to play if their fans aren't staging a boycott
-UIC with a new coach returning only a PG and needing a lot out of newcomers while Evansville is experienced with good backcourt play and new bigs besides one returner
-Nebraska off a big win against URI, Jabari Brown just left the Oregon program and that limits their backcourt on a team that needs to gel in order to win on the road. 'Huskers with a ton of height, Oregon with a ton of pace.
 
guesses:
PSU 13-14
Sparty 13-14
VCU 3
EVAN 6-7
NEB 5-6
 
already saw lines:
-Arizona with no post player, but SDSU doesn't really have one either. UA with plenty more guards and they'll want to play at pace while SDSU is thinner. SDSU with decent guards but not enough to hold UA back. The 7 looks like a decent number for an Arizona play, the problem is I'm not sure they're a team I want to back right now until they figure out what they're doing inside.
-Okie State with inside questions and Stanford has a good big guy. Ok State with better guards and a shorter trip to the Garden and the line looks appetizing to play them after watching the Tree struggle with a bad Fresno team at home about a week ago.
-Syracuse in their 2nd home at MSG with a ton of length and on a court where it's tough to shoot from deep. VT doesn't have the shooting and they are suffering from the injury bug as always. Cuse should win this one but 7 is a lot to lay against a feisty defense when SU doesn't have an amazing offense
-Siena is awful, but GT isn't very good and laying that many points with them is dangerous
-Iona with a ton of offense and zero defense. St. Joe's with not a lot of offense but good defense especially in the interior. Unfortunately for the Hawks, Iona doesn't go inside to score much considering they are a jump-shooting team. Not sure the Hawks can keep up but that's a ton of points for such a bad defensive team to lay
-Purdue will play tough defense and kill people on screens, WMU with a big guy who the Boilers may be able to defend with bulk. Shooting advantage majorly on the Boiler side, WMU can't keep up with them scoring so that's why the line is 15
-St. Mary's is a very good team, questions about them on the road considering how they rely on the 3pt shot. Playing at altitude may be a bit tougher for them while Denver returns a lot of experience. DU hasn't been very good, but they can play a really slow pace that will make it very tough for the Gaels to cover if they can't break it to get out in transition and find open shots

leans:
ARI -7
St. Joe's +10
SMC -7

...will work on Maui in the morning, even though the tournament has absolutely owned me so far to the tune of 0-4

1-5 in Maui for me 

Thanks for the insight, enjoy the read,it's very informative and much appreciated!!  BOL

va tech now that it is double digits?

More guesses because like an idiot I took a sleeping pill and my alarm didn't go off


Maui:
-GTown with length and two scorers plus they're going to annoy the crap out of you with the backcuts (even if they're not as good at them) while Memphis is more athletic and more talented. No real post threat from the Hoyas as that is what the Tigers struggled with yesterday against Tennessee. Depth is an advantage for the Tigers which should play a factor on day three of the tournament, but 2OTs can be rough
-Ucla tried to get back in last night after playing a terrible 1H, but couldn't do it. Michigan lost to a good team that may be a bit better than they are at their own game so that's tough to beat. Ucla with big guys but their posts haven't been great, plus they've allowed teams to shoot crazy percentages from the 3pt line. Michigan playing on a 3rd day probably won't shoot as well as they normally would, but they still will take advantage of the defenses lapses and Ucla can't zone this team.
-Duke not outstanding by any means, but they do have tough bigs who can limit Thomas Robinson. KU has hurt me bad as I lost on them on Monday and then against them yesterday, but this team is going to struggle to keep up with teams that score and Duke is one of those teams. KU has played great defense and made some talented teams look bad, but I'm not sure they can do that to Duke. Third day will be tough on KU's lack of depth, but Duke has shown some chinks in their armor not being able to hit end-of-game FTs like they should be

guesses:
MEM 2.5
MICH 7-8
Duke 7

lines I've already seen (cont.)
-I wanted to back Rutgers a bunch this year, but they don't have the team for it. Richmond is way down, but I'm not sure Rutgers can win
-Don't think Illinois State is very good, but I don't like Bruce Weber and I don't like the Illini this year

updated leans:
MEM +1.5
Duke 4.5
Arizona 6.5
St. Joes +9.5

It's basically a home game for the 'Cuse, so probably not

on a bit of a slide, 2-5 L7

add
St. Joseph's +9.5 (-108) @ Iona
-St. Joe's isn't a very good team, but they have a solid scorer at the point and they have a lot of length throughout their roster. Iona will play at a fast pace and they can score with the best teams in the nation, but SJU will grab a bunch of rebounds and they should have the defense to limit Glover. A lot of pressure on Carl Jones to score like he did in Charleston, but Iona doesn't have lengthy guards to defend him as it will probably be Machado then MoMo Jones. Should be high-scoring but SJU can win.

St Joe's...

for tomorrow

add
Fairfield -3 (-110) vs. Arizona State