Florida Man Friday

39-24

+10.9 Units

New Haven / Mercyhurst - UNDER 124.5 (-120) 1.2 Units

New Haven Adj Tempo of 62.7 (360/365) vs Mercyhurst 63.6 (345/365). Mercyhurst has faced 3 opponents with an Adj Tempo Under 65, and the under is 3-0. New Haven is 4-1 to the Under in that scenario. Both offenses are bottom 30 in D1 in Adj Efficiency. Mercyhurst’s had a nearly identical analytical matchup this year vs. Canisius, game finished with 113.

Analysis: No. 24 Saint Louis Billikens vs. St. Bonaventure Bonnies (Friday Showdown)

The Stakes: A classic Atlantic 10 clash with wildly divergent storylines. The No. 24 Saint Louis Billikens (18-1, 6-0) are one of the nation's hottest teams, riding a 12-game win streak and vying for the top spot in the conference. The St. Bonaventure Bonnies (12-7, 1-5) are desperately trying to salvage their season after a disastrous 0-5 start in A-10 play, finally snapping that skid last game. For Saint Louis, it's about maintaining perfection and momentum. For St. Bonaventure, it's a statement opportunity at home to turn their season around against a ranked foe.

No. 24 Saint Louis Billikens: An offensive juggernaut with incredible balance, depth, and efficiency.

• Biggest Strength: Unparalleled Offensive Efficiency and Depth. They are the nation's best-shooting team (51.7% FG) and have six players averaging double-figures: Robbie Avila (12.8), Dion Brown (11.6), Trey Green (10.9), Amari McCottry (10.8), Kellen Thames (10.6), Quentin Jones (10.0). There is no single star to stop.

• Potential Flaw: Complacency & Road Test. Their only loss was a close one to Stanford. They nearly blew a 17-point lead at Duquesne last game. This is their first true road test as a ranked team.

• The X-Factor: Kellen Thames. Coming off the bench (10.6 PPG, 5.7 RPG, 71.2% FG), he provides a massive spark of energy and interior scoring. His performance can demoralize opposing second units.

• Identity: A deep, unselfish, and brutally efficient offensive machine that overwhelms teams with constant scoring threats. 

St. Bonaventure Bonnies: A team reliant on its star frontcourt, struggling with consistency, especially defensively in conference play.

• Biggest Strength: Star Power in the Frontcourt. Frank Mitchell is a force (17.3 PPG, 10.4 RPG, 1.5 SPG). He's a double-double machine. Combined with guard Darryl Simmons II (15.6 PPG, 41.3% 3PT), they have a potent inside-out duo.

• Fatal Flaws: Defensive Inconsistency & Lack of Depth. They've allowed 89, 89, 81, 78, and 68 points in their five A-10 losses. They don't have the bench to match Saint Louis's waves of talent.

• I've posted the complete game analysis and prediction on my website if you want to check it out: victorypicks.eu

• Up until now, I've been running trivia contests about American sports. Today, for a change, I want to test your soccer knowledge.
• The first 10 people to email the correct answer to contact@victorypicks.eu will be able to purchase... a lifetime subscription to my Premium Zone for just... $1,500 (just a reminder: the price for 12 months is $6,000).
• Is it worth it? I think so. Here's the question: Which club has won the most UEFA Champions League titles?

@Floridaman

@Mark_Bellhorn12

@Floridaman

 Let’s get it Fla!

@HelloAce

bol everyone and Floridaman , im staying away from Unders for a while. I get too angry when i bet the under and these guys shoots like NBA players. 

Staying away too. I predict the score both in the 60s. 

Line movement is tricky, used to follow a poster in another forum, who would 'tail' if the line moved 2 5 off the open , and would fade it if it moved to three , he was using pinny , which no longer allows on public platforms fwiw