Florida Man Friday

39-24

+10.9 Units

New Haven / Mercyhurst - UNDER 124.5 (-120) 1.2 Units

New Haven Adj Tempo of 62.7 (360/365) vs Mercyhurst 63.6 (345/365). Mercyhurst has faced 3 opponents with an Adj Tempo Under 65, and the under is 3-0. New Haven is 4-1 to the Under in that scenario. Both offenses are bottom 30 in D1 in Adj Efficiency. Mercyhurst’s had a nearly identical analytical matchup this year vs. Canisius, game finished with 113.

@Floridaman

@Mark_Bellhorn12

@Floridaman

 Let’s get it Fla!

@HelloAce

bol everyone and Floridaman , im staying away from Unders for a while. I get too angry when i bet the under and these guys shoots like NBA players. 

Staying away too. I predict the score both in the 60s. 

Line movement is tricky, used to follow a poster in another forum, who would 'tail' if the line moved 2 5 off the open , and would fade it if it moved to three , he was using pinny , which no longer allows on public platforms fwiw

@Rip100

 Yesterday, for the game Louisiana / App State. Line opened at like 127 and went all the way down to 122.5. Game ended with 130. I had 129.5 at half-time (goddamn it) Literally, i lost by 1 free throw. Also went big on it. 

Florida ... 

Total on that game opened at 122 1/2. At around 2pm the day before. Not at 127

Best of luck on the play FM  

@rangersmets

@Coloneljim

my bad, it opened at 124.5. Still went down to 122. It never opened at 122. 

FM......

Would you still play it at 121?

Thanks!

@over-dosed

 I’d play it there but not lower. 

@Floridaman

 I got it at 121.5. That's how much I believe in you  Florida man!

@FM

Thanks for weighing in....let's have brickfest!!!

@Docfergie

@over-dosed

Line moved again...got it at 122.5 

@over-dosed

Good luck.  Great start you just need to avoid the teams coming out in the 2nd half and upping the pace and scoring.  But can't complain about that first half 

I'll have to try and tail you the next time you post