CBB Friday, 27-18 ATS

Or maybe Sunday and Thursday games fit their schedules perfect and everything is more in rhythm. 

Guys you may not like certain picks lines teams whatever.  Its data.  It has holes. It misses injury updates.  It misses late line moves.  It far from perfect.  

I am posting to be transparent.  I post the available line at the time.  It either works long term, juices out or gets smoked. 

I am just hunting opportunities and trying to meander winning methods.  Been here a long time and only a few can stay hot many seasons.  Most don't.  

Why have you not seen me post many seasons?  Because the data language takes time. Then it takes time to develop winning data strategies. 

What I am doing now? Winning and developing and finding my ways. 

In sports some thing keep changing.  The points scored in all sports are elevating.  The owners and commissioners are trying to make more scoring (NHL,NBA,NFL).  Tinkering with rules for player safety (NHL,NFL)

Even the world cup soccer single elimination used to have 1-0 scores.  Not many if any this year. 

I use the year 2015 because like a ladder some of the rungs have fallen off.  Its stale info (data), unless it keeps happening. 

I use the year like 2015 because like a ladder some of the rungs have fallen off.  Its stale info (data), unless it keeps happening. 

Yale +2 

It a game of now you see it now you don't with linesmakers. 

Yale is/was a trusted team from history.  Lots of wins lots of covers in Conference. All conference games from 2014 list >>>

https://killersports.com/ncaabb/query?output=default&sdql=t%3Ateam%3DYALE+and+season%3E2013+and+season+and+C&submit=++S+D+Q+L+%21++

Some of us get used to their excellence without meandering lines or appalling failures.  The bottom line is its still an IVY league team laying so many points and LOSING the game. 

Yale laying big points in conference. >>>

https://killersports.com/ncaabb/query?output=default&sdql=t%3Ateam+%3D+YALE+++and+conference+%3D+o%3Aconference+and+line%3C-14&submit=++S+D+Q+L+%21++

Terrible!

In post #2 that found Yale and Nova I started to search 

season>2015 and H and rank = None

and day = Friday

and o:ats streak< -1

and line>-13

and month<4

and line>-3

and line<2

one by one and tested each of the data points to fin the best results.

Sometimes its a waste of time.  Sometimes it bears fruit.   Then I post it here and we start winning.  

There are many better cappers that have the talent and a keep eye to spot games from observing certain games.  I dont.  I watch mostly for the thrill.  There are certain things I do pick up on from watching but mostly I try to find an edge.

I feel like and especially the Yale and Ohio games tonight the book has over-reacted to recent history.  Sometimes the over reaction comes from Kent St being so awesome.  Some times its from Yale laying too many points and failing to win.  Bettors dont trust those teams and when these teams lose laying big points and now they are dogs that really establishes a lack of trust. 

Yale is not trusted tonight. The books have to trust them. From the data they will win.  So will Ohio U  

We are going to find out about how Purdue doesn't on a strange night as big chalk.  Nebraska has a big man that can score but not a lot of speed or depth.  I hope Purdue has an off night.

Villanova :how do they respond after losing by 10 to crappy DePaul? Is the line good enough, because in this case they have to win. Maybe I need more points in this case.  Villanova motivated after back to back losses.  Are they good enough to win here even if their motivation is high ?

Motivated Ohio on home court getting points?  I figure in this day in age someone within their organization has brought up that they are home dogs.  Disrespect? Motivation?  Kent. State isn't a big scoring team on the road. 

Kent State has won 7 away conference games in a row dating back to last year. Last year they beat TOLEDO as 9 point dogs.

They can cover tonight, but the line is premium.  I think the bar is too high. 

okay rant done.  Enjoy the games tonight fellas. It going to be a fun weekend.

Best wishes to all 

Thank you for write ups. My book has Ohio + 5. Any new info surface?

I have +3 so congrats 

I think people ride certain teams until the wheels fall off. Also good teams laying small points are very attractive. They are good but before this 7 game road winning streak less than .500 in road conference games.  

Kent is good but I get a great conference home team +3.  hope I win +3, money for you 

posting this redundant query for personal use

https://killersports.com/ncaabb/query?output=default&sdql=season%3E2015+and+H+and+rank+%3D+None+and+day+%3D+Friday+and+o%3Aats+streak%3C+-1+and+line%3E-13+and+month%3C4+and+line%3E-3+and+line%3C2&submit=++S+D+Q+L+%21++

Riding with you on Ohio my man.

You been around since 2001. Nice bro, GK on your picks

@spottie2935

 Good luck, like your analysis 

Best wishes Wizerguy 

Thanks Young and Best Wishes 

I want none of the excitement or pressure of needing one big bet.  My data has off nights and sometimes completely misses.  I post to share ideas.  Some guys stop in and give me heads up on injuries and such.  Its helpful.

No one likes to see an "all in" or "max bet" lose. 

Sometimes one needs a little extra cash o a wager.  I get it.  I have some across teams that have qualified in multiple angles.  Its tempting to trust those more than others.  

I am not needing one play. I am trying to find multiple days where my data shows advantage situations and stack the money slow and easy.  

Even -2000 moneyline games lose, it happens.  

If people follow great thats cool.  I want to win.  I want followers and I want to stack money.  Slow, easy with methods that win.

Best wishes let's cash it

Thank Shakey much appreciate as always

good luck, buddy!

0-4 tonight  27-22 overall  1-6 on Fridays. Now knowing this time to adjust and take a day off.  Listen to the words being said and trust what is happening.  Maybe the queries are too good and regressing now.  Who knows.  To me maybe Fridays short list makes it more volatile.

26-16 ATS no Fridays, so keep the record and avoid Fridays.  Still winning, meandering and making adjustments. 

On to Saturday

Keep grinding you’re a positive to this community 

Thanks for the kind words 

so far if I eliminate Friday's 1-6 and High consensus dogs 1-3 

from 27-22  that is 25-13

I am not living a fantasy or trying to pump my record.  I am trying to get my ATS record and ROI as high as can be.  Some things don't work.  These ytd are not in rhythm so I adjust. 

I am not flip flopping around trying to find my way.  I am building what I know and making my ways better and stronger. 

I have been watching YouTube and IG on all stuff Deion Sanders.  One of the things in his mind is if you dont have talent you have very little and can't build a brand and win.  You can only get what one needs in life from winning.  

He needs strong team members, good vibes and the right conditions to be successful.  

I am working towards all of this.  "I am Commin'"

Spottie. Keep doing what your doing bro! Let's kick the man in the balls today!

@jroc1247