look Kent St is a cover machine but this is a terrible line for them. Ohio has only a little bit of difficulty handling them at home and this is the most points Ke St has ever laid at OHU!
why is this the highest line because ke st is on fire.
why do I like the home team and points? Because OHU is a top notch home team.
Nothing is ever in the bank until it is in the bank
0
OHIO U +3
look Kent St is a cover machine but this is a terrible line for them. Ohio has only a little bit of difficulty handling them at home and this is the most points Ke St has ever laid at OHU!
why is this the highest line because ke st is on fire.
why do I like the home team and points? Because OHU is a top notch home team.
I’d stay clear of Yale…lost their top two scorers from last year and are already showing kinks in the armor this year. Losing to Columbia and Dartmouth (bottom feeders) in IVY play last week. Cornell is the more balanced team and they’re not playing bad. I honestly think this line is based on last years play. Just my opinion. BOL!
1
@spottie2935
I’d stay clear of Yale…lost their top two scorers from last year and are already showing kinks in the armor this year. Losing to Columbia and Dartmouth (bottom feeders) in IVY play last week. Cornell is the more balanced team and they’re not playing bad. I honestly think this line is based on last years play. Just my opinion. BOL!
Can you put the Nebraska one into english? I am confused it mentions Sunday and Thursday but it is Friday
season > 2015 and HF and rank<14 and o:ats streak<-1 and day!= Thursday and day != Sunday and o:wins<15 and o:wins>7 and month=1 and line<-5
! exclamation point means not ! ex:
Day of game not Thursday and day of game not Sunday.
My data loves to fade ranked teams in January because their is still time for these ranked teams to lose. By March these losses add up and the rankings are more clear. That doesn't mean I am predicting Neb +15 to win, but the data is saying its not a good spot or a top ranked team. Why do they play on Fridays ? They do terribly ATS. Maybe since its such a rarity it might mess up their schedules. Hard to really understand it, but it works.
In this case the data for teams ranked 1 thru 13 are 6-24 ATS
If I move this to the top 5 ranked teams its 5-8 ATS since 2013.
I didnt filter it this tight because the less games the more volatile the outcome.
I filtered this further to benefit the dog here. Again the data is so limited its much more volatile.
A lot of other people that trust the SDQL rely on hundreds of results so I am even way off of those guys.
My ways are trying to balance a shorter list with about 65%-70% winning results. The others are betting 100's of data results with a win % from 55% to 60%.
I made a few mistakes so far taking the higher consensus dogs. Going forward I should eliminate these games.
Nothing is ever in the bank until it is in the bank
1
Quote Originally Posted by smellybunty:
Can you put the Nebraska one into english? I am confused it mentions Sunday and Thursday but it is Friday
season > 2015 and HF and rank<14 and o:ats streak<-1 and day!= Thursday and day != Sunday and o:wins<15 and o:wins>7 and month=1 and line<-5
! exclamation point means not ! ex:
Day of game not Thursday and day of game not Sunday.
My data loves to fade ranked teams in January because their is still time for these ranked teams to lose. By March these losses add up and the rankings are more clear. That doesn't mean I am predicting Neb +15 to win, but the data is saying its not a good spot or a top ranked team. Why do they play on Fridays ? They do terribly ATS. Maybe since its such a rarity it might mess up their schedules. Hard to really understand it, but it works.
In this case the data for teams ranked 1 thru 13 are 6-24 ATS
If I move this to the top 5 ranked teams its 5-8 ATS since 2013.
I didnt filter it this tight because the less games the more volatile the outcome.
I filtered this further to benefit the dog here. Again the data is so limited its much more volatile.
A lot of other people that trust the SDQL rely on hundreds of results so I am even way off of those guys.
My ways are trying to balance a shorter list with about 65%-70% winning results. The others are betting 100's of data results with a win % from 55% to 60%.
I made a few mistakes so far taking the higher consensus dogs. Going forward I should eliminate these games.
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