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    All Forums | College Basketball

    Bubba's $$$$ Thread SUNDAY - Post Your BEST Play (With Writeup) - 03.20.16

    1234 Next Last»
    Bubbaski27
    nfl_brosuf
    Jeff_Strongman
    Bigleftygolfer
    Gatornation24
    ...
    Participants:
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    Views: 13919
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    1234 Next Last»
     
    Bubbaski27
    Bubbaski27
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    Posted: Mar. 20, 2016 - 4:46 AM ET #1

    $$$$ THREAD CONCEPT - This thread is for all of us to share our expertise with everyone else to benefit the group.

    THIS IS NOT A PICKING CONTEST!

    PLEASE make special note of this! If you have an area of expertise, please make some $$$$ choices from your area of expertise when you have a game you are confident enough in to call it a "$$$$ PLAY". The difference between a PICK and a $$$$ PLAY is that a PICK is a game you like, a $$$$ PLAY is a game that you KNOW. If you are claiming your choice is a $$$$, and you really have NO true knowledge of that game, then you are just cheating us and posting your PICK just for attention and to see your name on the board.

    RULES FOR POSTING - We will not track your $$$$ PLAY if you do not follow these rules. You are welcome to still post your PICK or card, but unless you do the things below, we won't be putting your $$$$ on the spreadsheet.

    Only one $$$$  per day and a MAXIMUM of 4 per week. 

    A week starts on Mon and ends on Sun.

    - No buying points.

    - No other "line-manipulations" like teasers, etc.

    - No parlays

    - No props

    - $$$$ PLAYS need to be -129 or lower.  Anything -130 and over, take the -1.5 goals or runs.

    - Do not try to cheat on lines. We, as a group, are all over the lines and every time someone gives a stinky spread, it is always called out. If the line is off, the $$$$ doesn't go into the spreadsheet.


    AND THE MOST IMPORTANT RULE!

    You must give an ORIGINAL explanation as to why you KNOW this $$$$ PLAY will win. And don't just "stat" us to death. Tell us about the game. DO NOT COPY YOUR WRITE-UPS! People on this thread are all over the internet and will find your plagiarism. I guarantee it. You can use Last 10, ATS, etc., numbers to support your argument, but stats from a gambling website are not an explanation.

    FOLLOW THESE RULES AND YOUR $$$$ PICK WILL GET TRACKED

    Thank you for helping keep this thread positive.  It is for the benefit of everybody, not just a place for you to blather out random picks and toot your own horn.

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    To remove first post, remove entire topic.

    $$$$ THREAD CONCEPT - This thread is for all of us to share our expertise with everyone else to benefit the group.

    THIS IS NOT A PICKING CONTEST!

    PLEASE make special note of this! If you have an area of expertise, please make some $$$$ choices from your area of expertise when you have a game you are confident enough in to call it a "$$$$ PLAY". The difference between a PICK and a $$$$ PLAY is that a PICK is a game you like, a $$$$ PLAY is a game that you KNOW. If you are claiming your choice is a $$$$, and you really have NO true knowledge of that game, then you are just cheating us and posting your PICK just for attention and to see your name on the board.

    RULES FOR POSTING - We will not track your $$$$ PLAY if you do not follow these rules. You are welcome to still post your PICK or card, but unless you do the things below, we won't be putting your $$$$ on the spreadsheet.

    Only one $$$$  per day and a MAXIMUM of 4 per week. 

    A week starts on Mon and ends on Sun.

    - No buying points.

    - No other "line-manipulations" like teasers, etc.

    - No parlays

    - No props

    - $$$$ PLAYS need to be -129 or lower.  Anything -130 and over, take the -1.5 goals or runs.

    - Do not try to cheat on lines. We, as a group, are all over the lines and every time someone gives a stinky spread, it is always called out. If the line is off, the $$$$ doesn't go into the spreadsheet.


    AND THE MOST IMPORTANT RULE!

    You must give an ORIGINAL explanation as to why you KNOW this $$$$ PLAY will win. And don't just "stat" us to death. Tell us about the game. DO NOT COPY YOUR WRITE-UPS! People on this thread are all over the internet and will find your plagiarism. I guarantee it. You can use Last 10, ATS, etc., numbers to support your argument, but stats from a gambling website are not an explanation.

    FOLLOW THESE RULES AND YOUR $$$$ PICK WILL GET TRACKED

    Thank you for helping keep this thread positive.  It is for the benefit of everybody, not just a place for you to blather out random picks and toot your own horn.

     
    Bubbaski27
    Bubbaski27
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    Posted: Mar. 20, 2016 - 4:57 AM ET #2

    From MaxWagner:

    $$$$  Villanova -6.5 $$$$

    I had listed and elaborated on 7 reasons why I like NOVA and then lost what I typed when I clicked on another Covers heading.  This time I'll just sum it up.

    1. Game site much closer to home.
    2. Much better overall record.
    3. Iowa has lost 5 of last 7, incl losses to Penn St and Illinois.
    4. Nova has #20 defense, giving up only 63 ppg.
    5. Last 5 games, Iowa shooting under 40% and Nova shooting 50% against equal or better competition.
    6. Friday, Nova coasted with 30 point win and Iowa squeaked by with a 2 point OT win.
    7. Except for Indiana, Big Ten has been a major disappointment.

    I expect Nova to win the game handily, 77-64.  There are 6.5's out there.  I bought it down to 6, but would have played it at 7.  I also played the under for a lesser amount. I realize this is not an "in-depth" analysis, but sometimes the obvious just jumps out at you.  There is no reason to believe that Iowa is going to all of a sudden revert back to some allegedly "good Iowa."  Iowa is not good.  I'll take my chances with the #2 seed against a mediocre Big Ten team.

    $$$$ Villanova -6.5 $$$$ 
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    From MaxWagner:

    $$$$  Villanova -6.5 $$$$

    I had listed and elaborated on 7 reasons why I like NOVA and then lost what I typed when I clicked on another Covers heading.  This time I'll just sum it up.

    1. Game site much closer to home.
    2. Much better overall record.
    3. Iowa has lost 5 of last 7, incl losses to Penn St and Illinois.
    4. Nova has #20 defense, giving up only 63 ppg.
    5. Last 5 games, Iowa shooting under 40% and Nova shooting 50% against equal or better competition.
    6. Friday, Nova coasted with 30 point win and Iowa squeaked by with a 2 point OT win.
    7. Except for Indiana, Big Ten has been a major disappointment.

    I expect Nova to win the game handily, 77-64.  There are 6.5's out there.  I bought it down to 6, but would have played it at 7.  I also played the under for a lesser amount. I realize this is not an "in-depth" analysis, but sometimes the obvious just jumps out at you.  There is no reason to believe that Iowa is going to all of a sudden revert back to some allegedly "good Iowa."  Iowa is not good.  I'll take my chances with the #2 seed against a mediocre Big Ten team.

    $$$$ Villanova -6.5 $$$$ 
     
    Bubbaski27
    Bubbaski27
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    Posted: Mar. 20, 2016 - 5:00 AM ET #3

    From forcemajeure:

    SUNDAY  I am split between the Sooners and the Tx  AM Aggies..
    I am taking the Aggies as my best play!

    #1  Biggest variance in ranking from 3 sources of the 8 games.A&M is top 20 , while NIowa is still in the mid 60's.
    #2  N Iowa mid court shot.....all luck....back in their minds they know they had lost. And now so have the Shockers.
    #3. Only SEC team left  now that KY is gone. NIowa is no Indiana! and KY only won tourney due to OT!
     #4.  4 Seniors starters no in experience disadvantage 
    #5. Size advantage front and back court....
    #6 Off versus NI's def. looks like +3  
    #7 Def vs NI Off  looks 6 better
    #8 A&M had only 3 losses when their 6-10 forward was charged with DUI by campus security, they then lost 4 in early Feb over this.
    ( so I think they are better than their record with Morrales in the line-up.
     
    I must lay 6.5 with TX A&M  or OK  ( but won't know till after 7 am PDT....if its more I will go with the home team Sooners.as my back-up..against a small and overrated east coast bias team VCU.) 
    best wins out of conference Buffy and @ Mid Tenn
     ranked 128 & 106 at the time respectively..... I am unimpressed.
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    From forcemajeure:

    SUNDAY  I am split between the Sooners and the Tx  AM Aggies..
    I am taking the Aggies as my best play!

    #1  Biggest variance in ranking from 3 sources of the 8 games.A&M is top 20 , while NIowa is still in the mid 60's.
    #2  N Iowa mid court shot.....all luck....back in their minds they know they had lost. And now so have the Shockers.
    #3. Only SEC team left  now that KY is gone. NIowa is no Indiana! and KY only won tourney due to OT!
     #4.  4 Seniors starters no in experience disadvantage 
    #5. Size advantage front and back court....
    #6 Off versus NI's def. looks like +3  
    #7 Def vs NI Off  looks 6 better
    #8 A&M had only 3 losses when their 6-10 forward was charged with DUI by campus security, they then lost 4 in early Feb over this.
    ( so I think they are better than their record with Morrales in the line-up.
     
    I must lay 6.5 with TX A&M  or OK  ( but won't know till after 7 am PDT....if its more I will go with the home team Sooners.as my back-up..against a small and overrated east coast bias team VCU.) 
    best wins out of conference Buffy and @ Mid Tenn
     ranked 128 & 106 at the time respectively..... I am unimpressed.
     
    Bubbaski27
    Bubbaski27
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    Posted: Mar. 20, 2016 - 5:02 AM ET #4

    From barnone:

    Stephen F Austin v Notre Dame

    This is a classic 1st round upset followed by a 2nd round dud from SFA.

    ND plays in the ACC. SFA comes out of the Southland Conference. During the regular season, ND had 5 impressive wins beating Duke (twice), N. Carolina, Iowa, and Louisville. While SFA didn't beat any good teams, they did finish 18-0 in the Southland.

    Round of 64

    How did SFA upset WVU?

    SFA's senior forward Thomas Walkup scored 33 of SFA's 70 points. The bulk of his points came from the foul line where he made 19-20. He also went 2-3 from beyond the arc. This was a surprising performance. His only other breakout game against a decent team this year was scoring 30 in a loss to N. Iowa.

    Walkup averaged 18 pts per game this year and shot 27% from 3.

    SFA's other four starters combined for 14 points against WVU.

    How did ND upset Michigan?

    ND fought it's way back from an 11 pt halftime deficit. The starters combined for 53 of the team's 70 points. ND has won with balanced scoring this year with 4 of 5 of their starters averaging double digits. Their 6thman Colson also averages double digits.

    In their wins over ranked opponents, they have had balanced scoring. What's more impressive is their ability to hang in tough games. They rallied from halftime deficits this year to defeat Duke twice, N. Carolina, and Louisville. I like that kind of grittiness.

    For SFA to win this game, they would need another unbelievable performance from Walkup. And they would need to pile up points from the foul line, which they don't normally do. Against WVU, the Lumberjacks got to the free throw line 39 times and made 29. I don't see that happening again. Also, WVU shot the ball poorly---31 % from the field and 19% from three. As a team this season WVU averaged 45% FG and 33% from three.

    SFA made it to the dance and scored a big upset. Good for them. But I think they're done now. A lot of things went right for them against WVU. However, against this battle tested ND team, the stars won't align for them again.


    $$$ ND -1.5 $$$


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    From barnone:

    Stephen F Austin v Notre Dame

    This is a classic 1st round upset followed by a 2nd round dud from SFA.

    ND plays in the ACC. SFA comes out of the Southland Conference. During the regular season, ND had 5 impressive wins beating Duke (twice), N. Carolina, Iowa, and Louisville. While SFA didn't beat any good teams, they did finish 18-0 in the Southland.

    Round of 64

    How did SFA upset WVU?

    SFA's senior forward Thomas Walkup scored 33 of SFA's 70 points. The bulk of his points came from the foul line where he made 19-20. He also went 2-3 from beyond the arc. This was a surprising performance. His only other breakout game against a decent team this year was scoring 30 in a loss to N. Iowa.

    Walkup averaged 18 pts per game this year and shot 27% from 3.

    SFA's other four starters combined for 14 points against WVU.

    How did ND upset Michigan?

    ND fought it's way back from an 11 pt halftime deficit. The starters combined for 53 of the team's 70 points. ND has won with balanced scoring this year with 4 of 5 of their starters averaging double digits. Their 6thman Colson also averages double digits.

    In their wins over ranked opponents, they have had balanced scoring. What's more impressive is their ability to hang in tough games. They rallied from halftime deficits this year to defeat Duke twice, N. Carolina, and Louisville. I like that kind of grittiness.

    For SFA to win this game, they would need another unbelievable performance from Walkup. And they would need to pile up points from the foul line, which they don't normally do. Against WVU, the Lumberjacks got to the free throw line 39 times and made 29. I don't see that happening again. Also, WVU shot the ball poorly---31 % from the field and 19% from three. As a team this season WVU averaged 45% FG and 33% from three.

    SFA made it to the dance and scored a big upset. Good for them. But I think they're done now. A lot of things went right for them against WVU. However, against this battle tested ND team, the stars won't align for them again.


    $$$ ND -1.5 $$$


     
    Bubbaski27
    Bubbaski27
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    Posted: Mar. 20, 2016 - 5:03 AM ET #5

    From gambleholic63:

    SUNDAY $$$$ NOTRE DAME -1.5

    Something strange is happening in Vegas with the lack of respect that some of the ACC contingent is getting in these NCAA playoffs. Amazingly, earlier today Miami was actually a 1.5 dog to Wichita State and now the Irish are just a 1.5 favorite to S.F. Austin. SFA shocked me with their upset of West Va. yesterday and I will admit to not knowing much about their team. I'm simply playing the odds that Notre Dame's 20-ish strength of schedule will persevere vs. the 200-ish strength of schedule that SFA is used to seeing. The ACC record in this tournament is far and away the best in the business with just a single loss. I look for that to continue here.

    Notre Dame should be a 4 point favorite here, so I'll gladly take the short line.

    Notre Dame is 5-5 vs. the top 25 with a 21st SOS (strength of schedule) while SFA won their first game yesterday vs. a top 25 opponent to even that record at 1-1 (the loss was a 42 point loss to Baylor) with a 303 SOS.

    NOTRE DAME -1.5 $$$$

     



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    From gambleholic63:

    SUNDAY $$$$ NOTRE DAME -1.5

    Something strange is happening in Vegas with the lack of respect that some of the ACC contingent is getting in these NCAA playoffs. Amazingly, earlier today Miami was actually a 1.5 dog to Wichita State and now the Irish are just a 1.5 favorite to S.F. Austin. SFA shocked me with their upset of West Va. yesterday and I will admit to not knowing much about their team. I'm simply playing the odds that Notre Dame's 20-ish strength of schedule will persevere vs. the 200-ish strength of schedule that SFA is used to seeing. The ACC record in this tournament is far and away the best in the business with just a single loss. I look for that to continue here.

    Notre Dame should be a 4 point favorite here, so I'll gladly take the short line.

    Notre Dame is 5-5 vs. the top 25 with a 21st SOS (strength of schedule) while SFA won their first game yesterday vs. a top 25 opponent to even that record at 1-1 (the loss was a 42 point loss to Baylor) with a 303 SOS.

    NOTRE DAME -1.5 $$$$

     



     
    nfl_brosuf
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    Posted: Mar. 20, 2016 - 5:09 AM ET #6

    Shoot just one more day till i get my $$$$ ball back.

    Ez money last night with iowa state eh?

    Today, i am playing xavier -4.5

    Wis beat pitts n scored under 50 points. Not that impressive right? You think xavier is going to lose with 50 points scored? Absolutely not as xavier averages about 80+ points per game. What else the x have? Nasty 3 balls from down town.

    Xavier is no pitts so this match up will give Wisconsin the struggle. Want to know why wisky struggles?

    Wis 0-5 ats against big east schools

    Professor xavier n the X-Men all the way to the final 4. Handshake and 4 leaf clover goes here.
    X_____________________________
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    Shoot just one more day till i get my $$$$ ball back.

    Ez money last night with iowa state eh?

    Today, i am playing xavier -4.5

    Wis beat pitts n scored under 50 points. Not that impressive right? You think xavier is going to lose with 50 points scored? Absolutely not as xavier averages about 80+ points per game. What else the x have? Nasty 3 balls from down town.

    Xavier is no pitts so this match up will give Wisconsin the struggle. Want to know why wisky struggles?

    Wis 0-5 ats against big east schools

    Professor xavier n the X-Men all the way to the final 4. Handshake and 4 leaf clover goes here.
     
    Jeff_Strongman
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    Posted: Mar. 20, 2016 - 6:29 AM ET #7

    Nice winner yesterday with Indiana, it's a good thing I stayed away from Memphis-Clippers games since ZBo came back and destroyed Clippers
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    Nice winner yesterday with Indiana, it's a good thing I stayed away from Memphis-Clippers games since ZBo came back and destroyed Clippers
     
    Bigleftygolfer
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    Posted: Mar. 20, 2016 - 8:04 AM ET #8

     I like Xavier $$$$ to cover -4

    Xavier averages 13 more points per game then the Badgers. 
    Defensive superiority is a coin flip however I think Xavier gets out to defend the three ball and Wisconsin does not do a great job of moving the ball inside out like Xavier can do so I give the edge to Xavier.
    Finally Wisconsin has not looked good as of late and the Pittsburgh victory was unimpressive at best. I believe this will be a low scoring game with Xavier covering by four points as I have this capped as Xavier -8


    Like for Like Teams Results
    Against the following teams similar to Xavier Wisconsin was outplayed.
    Purdue 67-48 rebounding differential 
    Michigan State Wisconsin won but only by a small margin Michigan state missed a bunch of foul shots they normally make. Michigan State dominated every other stat that game

    Key ATS Trends
    Wisconsin Badgers:
    0-5 ATS in their last 5 games against Big East teams.
    0-5 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 50 points in their previous game.
    1-4 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games.

    Xavier Musketeers:
    13-3 ATS in their last 16 games against Big Ten teams.
    8-1 ATS in their last 9 neutral site games.


    Pick $$$$$ Xavier -4

    I also like the under 146 Iowa vs Villanova 
    Leaning on VCU +8 waiting to see if line keeps going up locally



    On another note Just curious how many of you got killed by the garbage time three pointer last night tossed up with 4,8 seconds left on the clock down by 26? I couldn't believe my eyes Iowa stopped playing with 34 seconds left when I needed the over missed it by a point and Utah played like it was a tie game with 4.8 seconds left wtf! Ok just had to get that off my chest as I lost $8k in less than twenty minutes by a total of 1.5 points ugh that hurt!

    Still up 4 units for the week but that was painful! To lose 8 units that way just needed to vent to my fellow cappers we all get bad beats but two in succession is like a kick to the groin and a knockout punch all tied together.


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     I like Xavier $$$$ to cover -4

    Xavier averages 13 more points per game then the Badgers. 
    Defensive superiority is a coin flip however I think Xavier gets out to defend the three ball and Wisconsin does not do a great job of moving the ball inside out like Xavier can do so I give the edge to Xavier.
    Finally Wisconsin has not looked good as of late and the Pittsburgh victory was unimpressive at best. I believe this will be a low scoring game with Xavier covering by four points as I have this capped as Xavier -8


    Like for Like Teams Results
    Against the following teams similar to Xavier Wisconsin was outplayed.
    Purdue 67-48 rebounding differential 
    Michigan State Wisconsin won but only by a small margin Michigan state missed a bunch of foul shots they normally make. Michigan State dominated every other stat that game

    Key ATS Trends
    Wisconsin Badgers:
    0-5 ATS in their last 5 games against Big East teams.
    0-5 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 50 points in their previous game.
    1-4 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games.

    Xavier Musketeers:
    13-3 ATS in their last 16 games against Big Ten teams.
    8-1 ATS in their last 9 neutral site games.


    Pick $$$$$ Xavier -4

    I also like the under 146 Iowa vs Villanova 
    Leaning on VCU +8 waiting to see if line keeps going up locally



    On another note Just curious how many of you got killed by the garbage time three pointer last night tossed up with 4,8 seconds left on the clock down by 26? I couldn't believe my eyes Iowa stopped playing with 34 seconds left when I needed the over missed it by a point and Utah played like it was a tie game with 4.8 seconds left wtf! Ok just had to get that off my chest as I lost $8k in less than twenty minutes by a total of 1.5 points ugh that hurt!

    Still up 4 units for the week but that was painful! To lose 8 units that way just needed to vent to my fellow cappers we all get bad beats but two in succession is like a kick to the groin and a knockout punch all tied together.


     
    Gatornation24
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    Posted: Mar. 20, 2016 - 8:16 AM ET #9

    $$$$ Sryacuse -6.5 vs MTSU

    First off MTSU will not shoot like that again... In their conference tournament championship game they scored 55 points. Then go out and shoot 58% vs Mich St from 3pt range. Second while everyone loves seeing a 15 seed win. It usually don't go well for them in the second round. 15seeds are 1-6 with an average loss of 15 ppg. Sryacuse is only giving up 50 points a game while scoring in the 70's. MTSU scores in the 70's but gives up in the 80's. MTSU will struggle shooting vs Cuse Zone that even the best teams struggle with. Plus Cuse has length. I see Sryacuse winning by double digits here. BOL 

    I'm 3-2-1 on $$$$ plays

    $$$$$ Sryacuse -6.5
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    $$$$ Sryacuse -6.5 vs MTSU

    First off MTSU will not shoot like that again... In their conference tournament championship game they scored 55 points. Then go out and shoot 58% vs Mich St from 3pt range. Second while everyone loves seeing a 15 seed win. It usually don't go well for them in the second round. 15seeds are 1-6 with an average loss of 15 ppg. Sryacuse is only giving up 50 points a game while scoring in the 70's. MTSU scores in the 70's but gives up in the 80's. MTSU will struggle shooting vs Cuse Zone that even the best teams struggle with. Plus Cuse has length. I see Sryacuse winning by double digits here. BOL 

    I'm 3-2-1 on $$$$ plays

    $$$$$ Sryacuse -6.5
     
    Redbandit
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    Posted: Mar. 20, 2016 - 8:51 AM ET #10

    Good morning . Yesterday I searched high and low for ny  post's howie hoops selection .going into yesterday he was on a 12-4 run. Actually located his e mail eventually. Sometimes one should let a sleeping dog lie. He  went 1-4 based upon the lines he listed from early Saturday am. 
    He now stands at 25-18-2. His Sunday picks are : SFA + 3 1/2; Villanova -6; Oklahoma -6 1/2; st. Joes +6 1-/2; wisconsin +5. 

    Obviously there has been line movement.
    Good luck. Need some after yesterday 

    Bandit
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    Good morning . Yesterday I searched high and low for ny  post's howie hoops selection .going into yesterday he was on a 12-4 run. Actually located his e mail eventually. Sometimes one should let a sleeping dog lie. He  went 1-4 based upon the lines he listed from early Saturday am. 
    He now stands at 25-18-2. His Sunday picks are : SFA + 3 1/2; Villanova -6; Oklahoma -6 1/2; st. Joes +6 1-/2; wisconsin +5. 

    Obviously there has been line movement.
    Good luck. Need some after yesterday 

    Bandit
     
    Upside
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    Posted: Mar. 20, 2016 - 8:51 AM ET #11

    Quote Originally Posted by Bubbaski27:

    From MaxWagner:

    $$$$  Villanova -6.5 $$$$

    I had listed and elaborated on 7 reasons why I like NOVA and then lost what I typed when I clicked on another Covers heading.  This time I'll just sum it up.

    1. Game site much closer to home.
    2. Much better overall record.
    3. Iowa has lost 5 of last 7, incl losses to Penn St and Illinois.
    4. Nova has #20 defense, giving up only 63 ppg.
    5. Last 5 games, Iowa shooting under 40% and Nova shooting 50% against equal or better competition.
    6. Friday, Nova coasted with 30 point win and Iowa squeaked by with a 2 point OT win.
    7. Except for Indiana, Big Ten has been a major disappointment.

    I expect Nova to win the game handily, 77-64.  There are 6.5's out there.  I bought it down to 6, but would have played it at 7.  I also played the under for a lesser amount. I realize this is not an "in-depth" analysis, but sometimes the obvious just jumps out at you.  There is no reason to believe that Iowa is going to all of a sudden revert back to some allegedly "good Iowa."  Iowa is not good.  I'll take my chances with the #2 seed against a mediocre Big Ten team.

    $$$$ Villanova -6.5 $$$$ 


    Solid capper bro ... always respect your plays .... Something I noticed , that you are going to just laugh at but I will share with you regardless ... 4 out the 5 losses for Nova were from teams with that had some Height and had a Kenpom Height Rank below 55  !! Iowa has a Kenpom  Height Rank of 16 ...the best ranked height team Nova lost to was Xavier at number 41 ....fyi ....But what of the advantages , which is many for Nova over Iowa , is that Nova never lost to a team with an Adjusted Efficiency Ranking of higher than 31 .... Iowa is 37 ranked ... Iowa does have a ton of experience though .... Just a heads up bro ... I'm not playing the game ...Good Luck !!!
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    Quote Originally Posted by Bubbaski27:

    From MaxWagner:

    $$$$  Villanova -6.5 $$$$

    I had listed and elaborated on 7 reasons why I like NOVA and then lost what I typed when I clicked on another Covers heading.  This time I'll just sum it up.

    1. Game site much closer to home.
    2. Much better overall record.
    3. Iowa has lost 5 of last 7, incl losses to Penn St and Illinois.
    4. Nova has #20 defense, giving up only 63 ppg.
    5. Last 5 games, Iowa shooting under 40% and Nova shooting 50% against equal or better competition.
    6. Friday, Nova coasted with 30 point win and Iowa squeaked by with a 2 point OT win.
    7. Except for Indiana, Big Ten has been a major disappointment.

    I expect Nova to win the game handily, 77-64.  There are 6.5's out there.  I bought it down to 6, but would have played it at 7.  I also played the under for a lesser amount. I realize this is not an "in-depth" analysis, but sometimes the obvious just jumps out at you.  There is no reason to believe that Iowa is going to all of a sudden revert back to some allegedly "good Iowa."  Iowa is not good.  I'll take my chances with the #2 seed against a mediocre Big Ten team.

    $$$$ Villanova -6.5 $$$$ 


    Solid capper bro ... always respect your plays .... Something I noticed , that you are going to just laugh at but I will share with you regardless ... 4 out the 5 losses for Nova were from teams with that had some Height and had a Kenpom Height Rank below 55  !! Iowa has a Kenpom  Height Rank of 16 ...the best ranked height team Nova lost to was Xavier at number 41 ....fyi ....But what of the advantages , which is many for Nova over Iowa , is that Nova never lost to a team with an Adjusted Efficiency Ranking of higher than 31 .... Iowa is 37 ranked ... Iowa does have a ton of experience though .... Just a heads up bro ... I'm not playing the game ...Good Luck !!!
     
    svedka64
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    Posted: Mar. 20, 2016 - 9:13 AM ET #12

    Quote Originally Posted by nfl_brosuf:

    Shoot just one more day till i get my $$$$ ball back.

    Ez money last night with iowa state eh?

    Today, i am playing xavier -4.5

    Wis beat pitts n scored under 50 points. Not that impressive right? You think xavier is going to lose with 50 points scored? Absolutely not as xavier averages about 80+ points per game. What else the x have? Nasty 3 balls from down town.

    Xavier is no pitts so this match up will give Wisconsin the struggle. Want to know why wisky struggles?

    Wis 0-5 ats against big east schools

    Professor xavier n the X-Men all the way to the final 4. Handshake and 4 leaf clover goes here.

    Well since Wisky is 0-5 vs. Big East it must be a lock. LMFAO! How long has Xavier been in the Big East? When was the last time Wisky played a Big East team? What a tool
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    Quote Originally Posted by nfl_brosuf:

    Shoot just one more day till i get my $$$$ ball back.

    Ez money last night with iowa state eh?

    Today, i am playing xavier -4.5

    Wis beat pitts n scored under 50 points. Not that impressive right? You think xavier is going to lose with 50 points scored? Absolutely not as xavier averages about 80+ points per game. What else the x have? Nasty 3 balls from down town.

    Xavier is no pitts so this match up will give Wisconsin the struggle. Want to know why wisky struggles?

    Wis 0-5 ats against big east schools

    Professor xavier n the X-Men all the way to the final 4. Handshake and 4 leaf clover goes here.

    Well since Wisky is 0-5 vs. Big East it must be a lock. LMFAO! How long has Xavier been in the Big East? When was the last time Wisky played a Big East team? What a tool
     
    nfl_brosuf
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    Posted: Mar. 20, 2016 - 10:27 AM ET #13

    Quote Originally Posted by svedka64:


    Well since Wisky is 0-5 vs. Big East it must be a lock. LMFAO! How long has Xavier been in the Big East? When was the last time Wisky played a Big East team? What a tool


    What is your pick so I can fade you hard and give your hoe back.  It's a tool so you can hoe your garden 
    X_____________________________
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    Quote Originally Posted by svedka64:


    Well since Wisky is 0-5 vs. Big East it must be a lock. LMFAO! How long has Xavier been in the Big East? When was the last time Wisky played a Big East team? What a tool


    What is your pick so I can fade you hard and give your hoe back.  It's a tool so you can hoe your garden 
     
    Jrabbit1974
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    Posted: Mar. 20, 2016 - 10:51 AM ET #14

    Quote Originally Posted by svedka64:

    Quote Originally Posted by nfl_brosuf:

    Shoot just one more day till i get my $$$$ ball back. Ez money last night with iowa state eh? Today, i am playing xavier -4.5Wis beat pitts n scored under 50 points. Not that impressive right? You think xavier is going to lose with 50 points scored? Absolutely not as xavier averages about 80+ points per game. What else the x have? Nasty 3 balls from down town. Xavier is no pitts so this match up will give Wisconsin the struggle. Want to know why wisky struggles? Wis 0-5 ats against big east schoolsProfessor xavier n the X-Men all the way to the final 4. Handshake and 4 leaf clover goes here.
    Well since Wisky is 0-5 vs. Big East it must be a lock. LMFAO! How long has Xavier been in the Big East? When was the last time Wisky played a Big East team? What a tool

    Dude there is seriously no need for that, I mean this thread has been and will continue to be one of the better threads on covers . It is that way because the capers on here are respectful and insightful. If you disagree with someone you certainly don't have to be a dick in the process. I am willing to take -1550 odds that you are one of those guys that tail someone(because you can't cap) and then bad mouth them when You lose!! @nfl brosuf has made me money since he started posting. I want to give a big thanks to all the capers on here for taking the time to share your insight and your picks !!! Svedka64 do us all a favor and crawl back into that cheap bottle of vodka and disappear back into your moms basement!! GLTA
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    Quote Originally Posted by svedka64:

    Quote Originally Posted by nfl_brosuf:

    Shoot just one more day till i get my $$$$ ball back. Ez money last night with iowa state eh? Today, i am playing xavier -4.5Wis beat pitts n scored under 50 points. Not that impressive right? You think xavier is going to lose with 50 points scored? Absolutely not as xavier averages about 80+ points per game. What else the x have? Nasty 3 balls from down town. Xavier is no pitts so this match up will give Wisconsin the struggle. Want to know why wisky struggles? Wis 0-5 ats against big east schoolsProfessor xavier n the X-Men all the way to the final 4. Handshake and 4 leaf clover goes here.
    Well since Wisky is 0-5 vs. Big East it must be a lock. LMFAO! How long has Xavier been in the Big East? When was the last time Wisky played a Big East team? What a tool

    Dude there is seriously no need for that, I mean this thread has been and will continue to be one of the better threads on covers . It is that way because the capers on here are respectful and insightful. If you disagree with someone you certainly don't have to be a dick in the process. I am willing to take -1550 odds that you are one of those guys that tail someone(because you can't cap) and then bad mouth them when You lose!! @nfl brosuf has made me money since he started posting. I want to give a big thanks to all the capers on here for taking the time to share your insight and your picks !!! Svedka64 do us all a favor and crawl back into that cheap bottle of vodka and disappear back into your moms basement!! GLTA
     
    miguelj
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    Posted: Mar. 20, 2016 - 11:27 AM ET #15

    well put jrabbit1974
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    well put jrabbit1974
     
    mandy1
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    Posted: Mar. 20, 2016 - 11:30 AM ET #16

    VMI I hope you post your picks, You are one of the best.
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    VMI I hope you post your picks, You are one of the best.
     
    Hoyasaxa
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    Posted: Mar. 20, 2016 - 11:39 AM ET #17

    I know teasers are forbodden here but on a day like today and yesterday I think they make sense...Favorites clam down and play to their strength and surprise dogs get reality...7/8 Favs cover yesterday, #8 goes if Ky wins in regulation or loses by 3...

    So while it doesn't count here, I'm playing Texas A+M -1/Okla even
    and Xavier +2/Oregon even...I picked these because I trust all the coaches and teams...none have history of choking or laying eggs like Villanova and Maryland...
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    I know teasers are forbodden here but on a day like today and yesterday I think they make sense...Favorites clam down and play to their strength and surprise dogs get reality...7/8 Favs cover yesterday, #8 goes if Ky wins in regulation or loses by 3...

    So while it doesn't count here, I'm playing Texas A+M -1/Okla even
    and Xavier +2/Oregon even...I picked these because I trust all the coaches and teams...none have history of choking or laying eggs like Villanova and Maryland...
     
    Achilles1629
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    Posted: Mar. 20, 2016 - 11:52 AM ET #18

    Jrabbit, good post bro. It's good to see a guy of character in here. Couldn't have said it better. It's amazing to me how some just call people out behind a computer. I got called out this morning and I let some too, get the best of me but hey, we are human fro trying to do right. Think about this:  How awesome would it be to walk into an arena with all these cappers in it from covers. I'd love to see if some of the guys and how they talk is similar in person. My guess is that there would be much more respect OR a lot of police involved. 
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    Jrabbit, good post bro. It's good to see a guy of character in here. Couldn't have said it better. It's amazing to me how some just call people out behind a computer. I got called out this morning and I let some too, get the best of me but hey, we are human fro trying to do right. Think about this:  How awesome would it be to walk into an arena with all these cappers in it from covers. I'd love to see if some of the guys and how they talk is similar in person. My guess is that there would be much more respect OR a lot of police involved. 
     
    wmi799
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    Posted: Mar. 20, 2016 - 12:02 PM ET #19

    No $$$$$$ play as of now, playing Nova -6' in the first game. 

    Leaning SFA against my boys, but too hard to root against my heart in this one.
    Histrionic personality disorder. It's sad
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    No $$$$$$ play as of now, playing Nova -6' in the first game. 

    Leaning SFA against my boys, but too hard to root against my heart in this one.
     
    mandy1
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    Posted: Mar. 20, 2016 - 12:08 PM ET #20

    VMI in my bracket I have Nova winning it all, lets hope!

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    VMI in my bracket I have Nova winning it all, lets hope!

     
    Biff03
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    Posted: Mar. 20, 2016 - 12:14 PM ET #21

    Quote Originally Posted by svedka64:


    Well since Wisky is 0-5 vs. Big East it must be a lock. LMFAO! How long has Xavier been in the Big East? When was the last time Wisky played a Big East team? What a tool


    Wisconsin is 0-2 against Big East this season, buddy.....Losers to Georgetown on a neutral floor and Marquette in the Kohl Center
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    Quote Originally Posted by svedka64:


    Well since Wisky is 0-5 vs. Big East it must be a lock. LMFAO! How long has Xavier been in the Big East? When was the last time Wisky played a Big East team? What a tool


    Wisconsin is 0-2 against Big East this season, buddy.....Losers to Georgetown on a neutral floor and Marquette in the Kohl Center
     
    Bubbaski27
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    Posted: Mar. 20, 2016 - 12:22 PM ET #22

    I won't be posting standings today.  I will get the weekend compiled tomorrow and put out an update tomorrow.  I will have a .1U play on Notre Dame and the over today.  I do think SFA has a good shot with their defense and the lack of Notre Dame's defense but Notre Dame is very efficient offensively and will be interesting to see if Walkup can carry the load.  
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    I won't be posting standings today.  I will get the weekend compiled tomorrow and put out an update tomorrow.  I will have a .1U play on Notre Dame and the over today.  I do think SFA has a good shot with their defense and the lack of Notre Dame's defense but Notre Dame is very efficient offensively and will be interesting to see if Walkup can carry the load.  
     
    thedrifter72
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    Posted: Mar. 20, 2016 - 12:24 PM ET #23

    Hey guys I have been working on a $$$$ tracker and standings that a lot of you may find useful. It is still a work in progress but over the next week I should have it fully functional. The link is below if you want access. I have learned a lot from the cappers on here and wanted to contribute in some way, as I am not nearly as good at handicapping as the regulars on here.

    Most days I will likely update a few times, Bubba I can give you read/write access if you want to make edits.

    https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1cpJCtF7O6lV0LqeajJmGyKapfcRzPuoKfTK13hGbqoo/edit?usp=sharing


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    Hey guys I have been working on a $$$$ tracker and standings that a lot of you may find useful. It is still a work in progress but over the next week I should have it fully functional. The link is below if you want access. I have learned a lot from the cappers on here and wanted to contribute in some way, as I am not nearly as good at handicapping as the regulars on here.

    Most days I will likely update a few times, Bubba I can give you read/write access if you want to make edits.

    https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1cpJCtF7O6lV0LqeajJmGyKapfcRzPuoKfTK13hGbqoo/edit?usp=sharing


     
    Bubbaski27
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    Posted: Mar. 20, 2016 - 12:27 PM ET #24

    NHL System Play: Sharks/Coyotes Under 5.5 

    Tread lightly as San Jose can score in bunches.
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    NHL System Play: Sharks/Coyotes Under 5.5 

    Tread lightly as San Jose can score in bunches.
     
     
    Bubbaski27
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    Posted: Mar. 20, 2016 - 12:30 PM ET #25

    Thanks Drifter I will give it a peek on Monday. 
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    Thanks Drifter I will give it a peek on Monday. 
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