[Quote: Originally Posted by Indigo999]NFL week 1.... 9) NFL week 1 away dogs that made the playoffs the season prior.....20-40 ATS....VERSUS Bucs and Dolphins Week=1 and AD and tpS(playoffs)>0 a) 10-24 ATS if the line is larger than 3.....VERSUS Bucs Week=1 and AD and tpS(playoffs)>0 and line>3 10) Week 1 away dogs that missed the playoffs the season prior, IF they had the lesser wins than their present opponent did the prior season, provided their present opponent didn't win 9 more games than they did......99-62-5 ATS.....Lions, Cards, Texans, Rams tpS(playoffs)=0 and AD and week=1 and -9
That main query needs tpS(W) < opS(W).
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[Quote: Originally Posted by Indigo999]NFL week 1.... 9) NFL week 1 away dogs that made the playoffs the season prior.....20-40 ATS....VERSUS Bucs and Dolphins Week=1 and AD and tpS(playoffs)>0 a) 10-24 ATS if the line is larger than 3.....VERSUS Bucs Week=1 and AD and tpS(playoffs)>0 and line>3 10) Week 1 away dogs that missed the playoffs the season prior, IF they had the lesser wins than their present opponent did the prior season, provided their present opponent didn't win 9 more games than they did......99-62-5 ATS.....Lions, Cards, Texans, Rams tpS(playoffs)=0 and AD and week=1 and -9
Covers when text is highlighted will sometimes not copy correctly, which happened in this case...I then manually did the correction incorrectly and did not check it for accuracy
tpS(playoffs)=0 and AD and week=1 and -9<tpS(W)-opS(W)<0.....gives us 99-61-5 ATS
If we add the parameters that our away dog has a line of >3 points and that they will be favored next game this moves to 44-17 ATS, 24-10 ATS if the line is greater than 6 instead of greater than 3. This is 5-1 ATS if their present opponent played in at least 3 playoff games last season.....Detroit Lions
tpS(playoffs)=0 and AD and week=1 and -9<tpS(W)-opS(W)<0 and line>3 and n:F
First game in the books....Adams looked very good and Maier, the Stamps' quarterback resembled Dane Evans, the Tiger Cats' quarterback last year that almost played himself out of the league when given the starting job by Hamilton. Dog and UNDER win.
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Covers when text is highlighted will sometimes not copy correctly, which happened in this case...I then manually did the correction incorrectly and did not check it for accuracy
tpS(playoffs)=0 and AD and week=1 and -9<tpS(W)-opS(W)<0.....gives us 99-61-5 ATS
If we add the parameters that our away dog has a line of >3 points and that they will be favored next game this moves to 44-17 ATS, 24-10 ATS if the line is greater than 6 instead of greater than 3. This is 5-1 ATS if their present opponent played in at least 3 playoff games last season.....Detroit Lions
tpS(playoffs)=0 and AD and week=1 and -9<tpS(W)-opS(W)<0 and line>3 and n:F
First game in the books....Adams looked very good and Maier, the Stamps' quarterback resembled Dane Evans, the Tiger Cats' quarterback last year that almost played himself out of the league when given the starting job by Hamilton. Dog and UNDER win.
When you've been outyarded by 239 yards, you've got no business being in with a chance to cover in the last few minutes.
I don't understand the CFL's thinking....in the past one could watch any game....now we'll have an opportunity to watch half of their games if you're living in the USA. It's estimated that there are between 50-80 million sports bettors in the USA and 5% of them are betting the CFL. Those people are going to want to watch the game, among a few others who want to watch but don't bet.
When leagues like the USFL have basically no fans at the game but still can be a viable league because of television revenue, you'd think the CFL would do anything to get their games televised.
What a pity.
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1) Tiger Cats +.....loser, 2 units
When you've been outyarded by 239 yards, you've got no business being in with a chance to cover in the last few minutes.
I don't understand the CFL's thinking....in the past one could watch any game....now we'll have an opportunity to watch half of their games if you're living in the USA. It's estimated that there are between 50-80 million sports bettors in the USA and 5% of them are betting the CFL. Those people are going to want to watch the game, among a few others who want to watch but don't bet.
When leagues like the USFL have basically no fans at the game but still can be a viable league because of television revenue, you'd think the CFL would do anything to get their games televised.
The whowins.com website is a very good site for those that use situational handicapping for hockey and pro basketball playoff betting.
They track the exact sequence of games for every series and compare it to what has occurred in the past.
In the NBA playoffs teams in Denver's situation have gone 19-7 straight up, a .731 winning percentage.
If we check our database (gimmethedog or killersports), what historical pointspread has correlated with that winning percentage?
If we run this query......
HF and line
we find that a winning percentage of 731 most correlates with a line of Denver -7....the Heat then are the +EV play at +9ish.
If we do this in the NHL playoff game series game 4, we find teams in Vegas' situation to have gone 64-80 straight up, a 44.4% winning percentage, which correlates to a line of Vegas +120.....since the line is Vegas +105ish....the +EV play is on the Panthers.
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The whowins.com website is a very good site for those that use situational handicapping for hockey and pro basketball playoff betting.
They track the exact sequence of games for every series and compare it to what has occurred in the past.
In the NBA playoffs teams in Denver's situation have gone 19-7 straight up, a .731 winning percentage.
If we check our database (gimmethedog or killersports), what historical pointspread has correlated with that winning percentage?
If we run this query......
HF and line
we find that a winning percentage of 731 most correlates with a line of Denver -7....the Heat then are the +EV play at +9ish.
If we do this in the NHL playoff game series game 4, we find teams in Vegas' situation to have gone 64-80 straight up, a 44.4% winning percentage, which correlates to a line of Vegas +120.....since the line is Vegas +105ish....the +EV play is on the Panthers.
Unsure why public favors Edmonton. In preseason, Saskatchewan beat Winnipeg and BC while Edmonton lost both games. Saskatchewan is 6-2 ATS in previous games at Edmonton. Since 2019, Edmonton has been under a curse losing 17 consecutive games at home. Weird things happen such as sudden turnover or blocked field goal in the final minute to deny certain victory in games. Beware the football gods.
1
Unsure why public favors Edmonton. In preseason, Saskatchewan beat Winnipeg and BC while Edmonton lost both games. Saskatchewan is 6-2 ATS in previous games at Edmonton. Since 2019, Edmonton has been under a curse losing 17 consecutive games at home. Weird things happen such as sudden turnover or blocked field goal in the final minute to deny certain victory in games. Beware the football gods.
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