Wow the PBF/Hatton line just nosedived...

This was expected, as the work week ended, travel began, and the planes start coming in from England, full of Hatton money.

I wrote it earlier this week, and am not always right but nailed this one - don't buy Floyd mid-week. The time to buy is Saturday morning, or late afternoon.

 

Again, I may be wrong, it happens, but I think by early evening you will see the sharp money waited, correctly, for the price to drop as Brits arrived, then they will hit the counter and drive it back up, getting the line at it's most advantageous before the rise.

 

 

It makes world of difference to your bank account.

Example, let's say Floyd loses tonight. Impulse buyers who bought immediately can lose as much as -280 to -300. To lose 3 units means the profit from THREE other fights (assuming they were favs and not dogs at + money) handicapped correctly are wasted. If purchased correctly, the loss could be greatly reduced, if you buy Floyd at -180 for example, which just saved you +120, or kept one of those three wins in your pocket. 

 

Taking into consideration betting habits, knowing betting habits, knowing which boxers have huge followings, which ones have pure fans as opposed to betting fans, is very helpful (I spent 6 years running a sports book on the strip, and that experience helps me tremendously. That, and I'm a bit of a math-head.)

 

Good luck with your play today . . .

My book hasn't moved.  I want to take PBF, but not at -220.  I keep hearing about this british invasion driving the line down.  it doesn't seem to be happening.

The effect won't be the same in the popular on-line houses, England has it's own share of those. Vegas is a good place to be for this one, as the moves are much more noticeable in the various hotels here, where the Brit tourist money is moving the #. Not sure which house you refer to when you say my book, but I'd suggest you make that plural - if you have only one account, get a second if possible. There is some diveristy on line for this one.

The moneylines at most books have gone down the drain, unless, of course, you want Floyd.

 

Good stuff, Sonny.  Well written.  I do think the time to strike for PBF is right about now before the really heavy Floyd money crashes the moneyline on the reverse.

 

This is going to be a good one, guys.  Hatton is going to hurt PBF early, but he won't be able to finish.  Then, it's going to go to the judges, and someone is going to get fckued over.  Then, there'll be a re-match.  Perhaps in London.  In Wembley for a re-match of PBF/Hatton (if there is typical controversy after tonight's decision), 80,000 would fill the stadium.  The money to be made by all involved would be staggering.  I think this is going to happen.

 

If there is one sport where money talks the loudest, it is boxing.

Mayweather is -165 in the UK right now.

 

Make it -160

Lot of rumors flying around right now.  Most are insane, so am not paying any attention.

Whats that Clay..?

 

All thats happening is the patriotic English lads are getting stuck in.

Here are 3 of 'em, Manchester-

 

1) Floyd is sick today and is lying in bed right now hoping to feel better.

2) Another "fan man" idiot is going to fly in to the ring during the match.

3) And, of course, tonight's match is a fixed draw.  Both fighters are in cahoots and know to take it the distance---all for a HUGE, HUGE, HUGE payday re-match in Wembley.

 

Money talks........

#3 is the best one.....that all this hatred hoopla between the 2 is just to sell tickets and then generate a re-match.

 

Both are acting the roles.

3 is the most valid one if your gonna believe any.

 

The pre fight stuff is just to get us all to click the PPV  button.

Not @ MY BOOK  -250 pbf

- 157

 

And with that Im off to bed,get up for the right at 4am.

 

Id wish you good luck but I wont cause I dont fcking mean it.

 

 

 COMMON RICKY  

 

Fullbrights-

 

I know, man, it was laughable when I read about it.

 

But in freakin boxing, there is absolutely nothing that would shock me....and I mean nothing.

 

I don't think it's going to happen, but I wouldn't be shocked if some sort of crap happens during the fight where some idiot somehow gets inside the ring.

 

In boxing, everything can and will happen.

My bookie just gave me the line at -200 and +160

currently -260 and +210 at mine.  just shot up from earlier

I have -175 and +150. sounds good for Pretty boy huh?

 

should i unload a bit?

I would do it... I have been waiting at pinny to drop below -200 and it was very close about 4 hours ago it was -201 and someone pound PBF hard and now is PBF -228