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All Forums | Boxing

Weekend Picks (4/24/09-4/25/09)

12 Next Last»
A2C
ghostkid
EricLinny
Coweringbeef
nuttyrich
...
Participants:
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Views: 1205
Posts: 45
12 Next Last»
 
A2C
A2C
Captain
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2007
Posts: 5053
Posted: Apr. 23, 2009 - 11:29 PM ET #1

2007: +12.45 units
2008: +25.3 units
2009: +7.31 units

Huge docket on tap.  So much value on the board whenever there are this many bouts scheduled.  It's just too much for the oddsmakers to get these all split fairly.  Poor oddsmakers.  Hopefully all of us will hit 'em where it hurts this weekend. 

Antonio Escalante vs Gary Stark Jr.
Under 9.5 rounds (-125) (Sportsbook)
4 units


Cory Spinks vs Deandre Latimore
Latimore +130 (Sportsbook)
3 units

Bert Batawang vs Edren Dapudong
Dapudong +230 (Sportsbook)
1 unit

Allan Green vs Carlos De Leon Jr
De Leon Jr +525 (Sportsbook)
1 unit

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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
2007: +12.45 units
2008: +25.3 units
2009: +7.31 units

Huge docket on tap.  So much value on the board whenever there are this many bouts scheduled.  It's just too much for the oddsmakers to get these all split fairly.  Poor oddsmakers.  Hopefully all of us will hit 'em where it hurts this weekend. 

Antonio Escalante vs Gary Stark Jr.
Under 9.5 rounds (-125) (Sportsbook)
4 units


Cory Spinks vs Deandre Latimore
Latimore +130 (Sportsbook)
3 units

Bert Batawang vs Edren Dapudong
Dapudong +230 (Sportsbook)
1 unit

Allan Green vs Carlos De Leon Jr
De Leon Jr +525 (Sportsbook)
1 unit

 
A2C
A2C
Captain
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2007
Posts: 5053
Posted: Apr. 23, 2009 - 11:33 PM ET #2

I should have mentioned that as of the time of this post, 5 Dimes has far worse lines on all of these lines than the oft-maligned Sportsbook.  I'm taking that as a good sign, as they're usually the fastest to move their numbers.  As of now, they've got the Escalante under at -170, Latimore at even, Dapudong at +170 and De Leon at +450. 
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I should have mentioned that as of the time of this post, 5 Dimes has far worse lines on all of these lines than the oft-maligned Sportsbook.  I'm taking that as a good sign, as they're usually the fastest to move their numbers.  As of now, they've got the Escalante under at -170, Latimore at even, Dapudong at +170 and De Leon at +450. 
 
ghostkid
ghostkid
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2008
Posts: 643
Posted: Apr. 24, 2009 - 12:12 AM ET #3

Quote Originally Posted by A2C:

I should have mentioned that as of the time of this post, 5 Dimes has far worse lines on all of these lines than the oft-maligned Sportsbook.  I'm taking that as a good sign, as they're usually the fastest to move their numbers.  As of now, they've got the Escalante under at -170, Latimore at even, Dapudong at +170 and De Leon at +450. 


We are in the same 3 doggies A2C !
Let's hit a triple brother !

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Quote Originally Posted by A2C:

I should have mentioned that as of the time of this post, 5 Dimes has far worse lines on all of these lines than the oft-maligned Sportsbook.  I'm taking that as a good sign, as they're usually the fastest to move their numbers.  As of now, they've got the Escalante under at -170, Latimore at even, Dapudong at +170 and De Leon at +450. 


We are in the same 3 doggies A2C !
Let's hit a triple brother !

 
EricLinny
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Posted: Apr. 24, 2009 - 12:22 AM ET #4

Good Luck guys
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Good Luck guys
 
Coweringbeef
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Posted: Apr. 24, 2009 - 1:39 AM ET #5

Lots of faith in Latimore... I, however am not in
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Lots of faith in Latimore... I, however am not in
 
nuttyrich
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Posted: Apr. 24, 2009 - 2:17 AM ET #6

Quote Originally Posted by Coweringbeef:

Lots of faith in Latimore... I, however am not in


I see Spink/Latimore as a very intriguing fight, two south paws, Latimore is naturally the bigger puncher and has been at this weight for his whole life. He only truly has Sechew Powell as a real proven test and he did KO Powell. Beyond that he has no real fights, a mere 61 rounds boxed.

Spinks is a tall rangy south paw, hard to predict what mental shape he comes in at. Spinks has fought MUCH better competition and has fought 289 rounds. This is NOT his natural weight. He is a 147 fighter, not a 154 pounder. Spinks is an excellent boxer when he's ON and into a fight. People under estimate how good he really is, because he lacks a solid punch.

He seems like he would be 35 years old or more, but Spinks was born in '78 making him just turning 31 this March, Latimore is only 23.

I don't have a pick on this fight as I find this to be a very good matchup, Spinks doesn't pack a big Punch but Latimore is NOT known for his great defensive skills, and Spinks isn't knowing for KO's!

I expect this to be a GREAT fight, Corey does DUKE it out and he will bring out the best in Latimore!

No pick for me, as Corey is the better fighter but he's fighting above his natural weight and don't know his mental status meaning I don't know how serious he's taking this fight as he's fought everyone already where does he go from here, this fight means MUCH more to Latimore!
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Quote Originally Posted by Coweringbeef:

Lots of faith in Latimore... I, however am not in


I see Spink/Latimore as a very intriguing fight, two south paws, Latimore is naturally the bigger puncher and has been at this weight for his whole life. He only truly has Sechew Powell as a real proven test and he did KO Powell. Beyond that he has no real fights, a mere 61 rounds boxed.

Spinks is a tall rangy south paw, hard to predict what mental shape he comes in at. Spinks has fought MUCH better competition and has fought 289 rounds. This is NOT his natural weight. He is a 147 fighter, not a 154 pounder. Spinks is an excellent boxer when he's ON and into a fight. People under estimate how good he really is, because he lacks a solid punch.

He seems like he would be 35 years old or more, but Spinks was born in '78 making him just turning 31 this March, Latimore is only 23.

I don't have a pick on this fight as I find this to be a very good matchup, Spinks doesn't pack a big Punch but Latimore is NOT known for his great defensive skills, and Spinks isn't knowing for KO's!

I expect this to be a GREAT fight, Corey does DUKE it out and he will bring out the best in Latimore!

No pick for me, as Corey is the better fighter but he's fighting above his natural weight and don't know his mental status meaning I don't know how serious he's taking this fight as he's fought everyone already where does he go from here, this fight means MUCH more to Latimore!
 
GetMeResults
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Posted: Apr. 24, 2009 - 2:22 AM ET #7

Quote Originally Posted by A2C:

2007: +12.45 units
2008: +25.3 units
2009: +7.31 units

Huge docket on tap.  So much value on the board whenever there are this many bouts scheduled.  It's just too much for the oddsmakers to get these all split fairly.  Poor oddsmakers.  Hopefully all of us will hit 'em where it hurts this weekend. 

Antonio Escalante vs Gary Stark Jr.
Under 9.5 rounds (-125) (Sportsbook)
4 units


Cory Spinks vs Deandre Latimore
Latimore +130 (Sportsbook)
3 units

Bert Batawang vs Edren Dapudong
Dapudong +230 (Sportsbook)
1 unit

Allan Green vs Carlos De Leon Jr
De Leon Jr +525 (Sportsbook)
1 unit



You always look like you know what you're doing, but I have to believe that De Leon Jr winning is wishful thinking on your part!  I know Allan Green has a bit of a glass chin and has a little problem with always looking at his feet but they are in a different class.  Buddy McGirt's son is not that good, come on think about it.  I already know that you are going to say, who has Green fought?  Well, I guess only Edison Miranda, and loss, but still a bit of a different class.  
Well I hope you are wrong because I'm laying the wood!
Good Luck.
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Quote Originally Posted by A2C:

2007: +12.45 units
2008: +25.3 units
2009: +7.31 units

Huge docket on tap.  So much value on the board whenever there are this many bouts scheduled.  It's just too much for the oddsmakers to get these all split fairly.  Poor oddsmakers.  Hopefully all of us will hit 'em where it hurts this weekend. 

Antonio Escalante vs Gary Stark Jr.
Under 9.5 rounds (-125) (Sportsbook)
4 units


Cory Spinks vs Deandre Latimore
Latimore +130 (Sportsbook)
3 units

Bert Batawang vs Edren Dapudong
Dapudong +230 (Sportsbook)
1 unit

Allan Green vs Carlos De Leon Jr
De Leon Jr +525 (Sportsbook)
1 unit



You always look like you know what you're doing, but I have to believe that De Leon Jr winning is wishful thinking on your part!  I know Allan Green has a bit of a glass chin and has a little problem with always looking at his feet but they are in a different class.  Buddy McGirt's son is not that good, come on think about it.  I already know that you are going to say, who has Green fought?  Well, I guess only Edison Miranda, and loss, but still a bit of a different class.  
Well I hope you are wrong because I'm laying the wood!
Good Luck.
 
BOXEO
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Posted: Apr. 24, 2009 - 4:53 AM ET #8

Nice to see ya A2C. Please drop by the FJ site more often so the guys can bounce some boxing talk off you.
 
Enjoy the fights,
 
Boxeo
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Nice to see ya A2C. Please drop by the FJ site more often so the guys can bounce some boxing talk off you.
 
Enjoy the fights,
 
Boxeo
 
EricLinny
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Posted: Apr. 24, 2009 - 5:37 AM ET #9

Quote Originally Posted by BOXEO:

Nice to see ya A2C. Please drop by the FJ site more often so the guys can bounce some boxing talk off you.
 
Enjoy the fights,
 
Boxeo


What is the FJ site?  I'm not familiar
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Quote Originally Posted by BOXEO:

Nice to see ya A2C. Please drop by the FJ site more often so the guys can bounce some boxing talk off you.
 
Enjoy the fights,
 
Boxeo


What is the FJ site?  I'm not familiar
 
EricLinny
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Posted: Apr. 24, 2009 - 5:38 AM ET #10

I'm assuming it means fight junkie...
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I'm assuming it means fight junkie...
 
A2C
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Posted: Apr. 24, 2009 - 9:12 AM ET #11

Quote Originally Posted by GetMeResults:



You always look like you know what you're doing, but I have to believe that De Leon Jr winning is wishful thinking on your part!  I know Allan Green has a bit of a glass chin and has a little problem with always looking at his feet but they are in a different class.  Buddy McGirt's son is not that good, come on think about it.  I already know that you are going to say, who has Green fought?  Well, I guess only Edison Miranda, and loss, but still a bit of a different class.  
Well I hope you are wrong because I'm laying the wood!
Good Luck.


By laying the wood, do you mean betting straight up on a -800 fave?  That's not a very good strategy, especially given how long Green's been out of the ring.  If you want a chalky bet, there are several better options this weekend (for example, Escalante at -550 is a better deal than Green at -800).
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Quote Originally Posted by GetMeResults:



You always look like you know what you're doing, but I have to believe that De Leon Jr winning is wishful thinking on your part!  I know Allan Green has a bit of a glass chin and has a little problem with always looking at his feet but they are in a different class.  Buddy McGirt's son is not that good, come on think about it.  I already know that you are going to say, who has Green fought?  Well, I guess only Edison Miranda, and loss, but still a bit of a different class.  
Well I hope you are wrong because I'm laying the wood!
Good Luck.


By laying the wood, do you mean betting straight up on a -800 fave?  That's not a very good strategy, especially given how long Green's been out of the ring.  If you want a chalky bet, there are several better options this weekend (for example, Escalante at -550 is a better deal than Green at -800).
 
ghostkid
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Posted: Apr. 24, 2009 - 2:23 PM ET #12

Quote Originally Posted by A2C:



By laying the wood, do you mean betting straight up on a -800 fave?  That's not a very good strategy, especially given how long Green's been out of the ring.  If you want a chalky bet, there are several better options this weekend (for example, Escalante at -550 is a better deal than Green at -800).


agreed.  of all the favorites on the board this week, certainly there is someone safer than Green to "lay the wood" on.

Green probably wins tonight, but De Leon can bang and he is 50 years younger than anyone Green has fought lately.  Since losing to Miranda, Green has fought every shot fighter out there.  His own personal bum of the month tour.  I was beginning to think he would rematch Codrington at this rate.

With that chin of his, I wouldn't feel safe laying on Green.
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Quote Originally Posted by A2C:



By laying the wood, do you mean betting straight up on a -800 fave?  That's not a very good strategy, especially given how long Green's been out of the ring.  If you want a chalky bet, there are several better options this weekend (for example, Escalante at -550 is a better deal than Green at -800).


agreed.  of all the favorites on the board this week, certainly there is someone safer than Green to "lay the wood" on.

Green probably wins tonight, but De Leon can bang and he is 50 years younger than anyone Green has fought lately.  Since losing to Miranda, Green has fought every shot fighter out there.  His own personal bum of the month tour.  I was beginning to think he would rematch Codrington at this rate.

With that chin of his, I wouldn't feel safe laying on Green.
 
McNulty
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Posted: Apr. 24, 2009 - 3:27 PM ET #13

Quote Originally Posted by nuttyrich:


No pick for me, as Corey is the better fighter but he's fighting above his natural weight and don't know his mental status meaning I don't know how serious he's taking this fight as he's fought everyone already where does he go from here, this fight means MUCH more to Latimore!

Good call...I feel the same way.
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Quote Originally Posted by nuttyrich:


No pick for me, as Corey is the better fighter but he's fighting above his natural weight and don't know his mental status meaning I don't know how serious he's taking this fight as he's fought everyone already where does he go from here, this fight means MUCH more to Latimore!

Good call...I feel the same way.
 
GetMeResults
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Posted: Apr. 24, 2009 - 3:39 PM ET #14

Quote Originally Posted by A2C:



By laying the wood, do you mean betting straight up on a -800 fave?  That's not a very good strategy, especially given how long Green's been out of the ring.  If you want a chalky bet, there are several better options this weekend (for example, Escalante at -550 is a better deal than Green at -800).

Good, that's what I wanted to hear, it's always good to get feed back from people that know what they are doing in the fight game.
The only problem is my wager is in, not for much though.
Thanks for the insight fellas.
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Quote Originally Posted by A2C:



By laying the wood, do you mean betting straight up on a -800 fave?  That's not a very good strategy, especially given how long Green's been out of the ring.  If you want a chalky bet, there are several better options this weekend (for example, Escalante at -550 is a better deal than Green at -800).

Good, that's what I wanted to hear, it's always good to get feed back from people that know what they are doing in the fight game.
The only problem is my wager is in, not for much though.
Thanks for the insight fellas.
 
BOXEO
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Posted: Apr. 24, 2009 - 4:24 PM ET #15

Quote Originally Posted by EricLinny:

I'm assuming it means fight junkie...

 

Thanks for stopping by Eric. I am sure the board is looking forward to hearing your thoughts on the fights.

 

Boxeo

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Quote Originally Posted by EricLinny:

I'm assuming it means fight junkie...

 

Thanks for stopping by Eric. I am sure the board is looking forward to hearing your thoughts on the fights.

 

Boxeo

 
Coweringbeef
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Posted: Apr. 24, 2009 - 6:52 PM ET #16

Quote Originally Posted by nuttyrich:

 
Corey is the better fighter

Exactly.

And all this faith money has moved the odds toward Latimore, so I'll jump on Spinks.

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Quote Originally Posted by nuttyrich:

 
Corey is the better fighter

Exactly.

And all this faith money has moved the odds toward Latimore, so I'll jump on Spinks.

 
Atmanne
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Posted: Apr. 24, 2009 - 7:27 PM ET #17



I agree with everything except De Leon Jr.
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I agree with everything except De Leon Jr.
 
Cee_MoNeY
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Posted: Apr. 24, 2009 - 8:02 PM ET #18

[Quote: Originally Posted by A2C]

By laying the wood, do you mean betting straight up on a -800 fave?  That's not a very good strategy, especially given how long Green's been out of the ring.  If you want a chalky bet, there are several better options this weekend (for example, Escalante at -550 is a better deal than Green at -800).
[/Q

i wouldnt bet -800 on green......Thats dumb shit....Actually as far as vaule it is a great play......Physically and talent-wise I thought Green is bound for success but after that miranda fight and others i do not know if the guy has any heart in him......To lose to miranda by desicons is riduclous since Miranda aint worth of shit......His power was overhyped and he got lucky in breaking Abrahams jaw....Honestly Leon is a great vaule in those odds....Doubt he wins but out of all the fights Green has been in Leon is his best oppenent faced

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[Quote: Originally Posted by A2C]

By laying the wood, do you mean betting straight up on a -800 fave?  That's not a very good strategy, especially given how long Green's been out of the ring.  If you want a chalky bet, there are several better options this weekend (for example, Escalante at -550 is a better deal than Green at -800).
[/Q

i wouldnt bet -800 on green......Thats dumb shit....Actually as far as vaule it is a great play......Physically and talent-wise I thought Green is bound for success but after that miranda fight and others i do not know if the guy has any heart in him......To lose to miranda by desicons is riduclous since Miranda aint worth of shit......His power was overhyped and he got lucky in breaking Abrahams jaw....Honestly Leon is a great vaule in those odds....Doubt he wins but out of all the fights Green has been in Leon is his best oppenent faced

 
A2C
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Posted: Apr. 24, 2009 - 8:30 PM ET #19

James Kirkland

Apparently Kirkland is off the Hatton undercard.  His replacement is rumored to be none other than Daniel Jacobs, assuming he doesn't get busted up tonight (not that anyone's really worried about that). 
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James Kirkland

Apparently Kirkland is off the Hatton undercard.  His replacement is rumored to be none other than Daniel Jacobs, assuming he doesn't get busted up tonight (not that anyone's really worried about that). 
 
DannoDanger
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Posted: Apr. 24, 2009 - 8:30 PM ET #20

Quote Originally Posted by A2C:


Antonio Escalante vs Gary Stark Jr.
Under 9.5 rounds (-125) (Sportsbook)
4 units


 

I'm on this too. 

 

 

 

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Quote Originally Posted by A2C:


Antonio Escalante vs Gary Stark Jr.
Under 9.5 rounds (-125) (Sportsbook)
4 units


 

I'm on this too. 

 

 

 

 
DannoDanger
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Posted: Apr. 24, 2009 - 8:32 PM ET #21

Quote Originally Posted by A2C:

James Kirkland

Apparently Kirkland is off the Hatton undercard.  His replacement is rumored to be none other than Daniel Jacobs, assuming he doesn't get busted up tonight (not that anyone's really worried about that). 

 

Another terrible PPV undercard, BTW.  After all the backlash after the Manny/Oscar undercard, they promised that they'd do better next time.  This is crazy.  Two four-rounders on a $50 PPV?  Gross. 

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Quote Originally Posted by A2C:

James Kirkland

Apparently Kirkland is off the Hatton undercard.  His replacement is rumored to be none other than Daniel Jacobs, assuming he doesn't get busted up tonight (not that anyone's really worried about that). 

 

Another terrible PPV undercard, BTW.  After all the backlash after the Manny/Oscar undercard, they promised that they'd do better next time.  This is crazy.  Two four-rounders on a $50 PPV?  Gross. 

 
Cee_MoNeY
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Posted: Apr. 24, 2009 - 8:56 PM ET #22

Quote Originally Posted by A2C:

James Kirkland

Apparently Kirkland is off the Hatton undercard.  His replacement is rumored to be none other than Daniel Jacobs, assuming he doesn't get busted up tonight (not that anyone's really worried about that). 

no!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! thats the main reason i wanted to go....Fuck........I have 2 tickets...

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Quote Originally Posted by A2C:

James Kirkland

Apparently Kirkland is off the Hatton undercard.  His replacement is rumored to be none other than Daniel Jacobs, assuming he doesn't get busted up tonight (not that anyone's really worried about that). 

no!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! thats the main reason i wanted to go....Fuck........I have 2 tickets...

 
Cee_MoNeY
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Posted: Apr. 24, 2009 - 8:59 PM ET #23

WIth Jacobs fighting Walker should we be worried that .......#1 jacobs coasts to a win....or two he knocks the fuck out of valera quick....any thoughts
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WIth Jacobs fighting Walker should we be worried that .......#1 jacobs coasts to a win....or two he knocks the fuck out of valera quick....any thoughts
 
A2C
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Posted: Apr. 24, 2009 - 9:28 PM ET #24

I think this intensifies the need for him to get the job done quickly.  Before, it looked like a fight for him to get some rounds in (well, maybe 4 or 5).  Now it looks like he needs to get him out of there ASAP.
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I think this intensifies the need for him to get the job done quickly.  Before, it looked like a fight for him to get some rounds in (well, maybe 4 or 5).  Now it looks like he needs to get him out of there ASAP.
 
 
GetMeResults
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Posted: Apr. 24, 2009 - 9:37 PM ET #25

Quote Originally Posted by Cee_MoNeY:

Quote Originally Posted by A2C:



By laying the wood, do you mean betting straight up on a -800 fave?  That's not a very good strategy, especially given how long Green's been out of the ring.  If you want a chalky bet, there are several better options this weekend (for example, Escalante at -550 is a better deal than Green at -800).
[/Q

i wouldnt bet -800 on green......Thats dumb shit....Actually as far as vaule it is a great play......Physically and talent-wise I thought Green is bound for success but after that miranda fight and others i do not know if the guy has any heart in him......To lose to miranda by desicons is riduclous since Miranda aint worth of shit......His power was overhyped and he got lucky in breaking Abrahams jaw....Honestly Leon is a great vaule in those odds....Doubt he wins but out of all the fights Green has been in Leon is his best oppenent faced

 

Hey Cee, help me out here!  How can De Leon be "great value" when you think he's going to lose?  That's actually some dumb shit!  Don't tell me you would bet on a guy that you know is going to lose.  I can understand if you said something like what A2C said. 

GL tonight!

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Quote Originally Posted by Cee_MoNeY:

Quote Originally Posted by A2C:



By laying the wood, do you mean betting straight up on a -800 fave?  That's not a very good strategy, especially given how long Green's been out of the ring.  If you want a chalky bet, there are several better options this weekend (for example, Escalante at -550 is a better deal than Green at -800).
[/Q

i wouldnt bet -800 on green......Thats dumb shit....Actually as far as vaule it is a great play......Physically and talent-wise I thought Green is bound for success but after that miranda fight and others i do not know if the guy has any heart in him......To lose to miranda by desicons is riduclous since Miranda aint worth of shit......His power was overhyped and he got lucky in breaking Abrahams jaw....Honestly Leon is a great vaule in those odds....Doubt he wins but out of all the fights Green has been in Leon is his best oppenent faced

 

Hey Cee, help me out here!  How can De Leon be "great value" when you think he's going to lose?  That's actually some dumb shit!  Don't tell me you would bet on a guy that you know is going to lose.  I can understand if you said something like what A2C said. 

GL tonight!

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