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Plays for Tonight

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Posted: #1
Last 3 years posted at Covers: +61.53 units (+$6,153)
2009:-11.29 units (-$1129)
Last week: +2.70 units (+$270)

Winning week last week even with some terrible breaks Saturday night, hopefully the trend continues.  That Flores cop out under and Luevano DQ win were rough and took a good bit away from Pitalua's big punch.

1 unit on Diaz ITD (+215)
1 unit on Diaz ITD (+210)
.50 of a unit on Diaz in rounds 10-12 (+678)
.50 of a unit on Smith ITD (+612)
1.15 units on Smith +19.5 points (-115)
1 unit on Gutierrez (+300) vs Gulyakevich

Couple of long shot draw plays.
.30 on Klassen-Guerrero Draw (+2500)
.20 of a unit on Smith-Jacobs Draw (+3250)

Wish the odds on Klassen straight hadn't dipped so much.  I should have played him last night when I saw it at +175.  Think I'll hold off now.  Tonight's card on HBO should be a fun one.

 
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Posted: #2
Good luck tonight Brights.

As much as I like Malignaggi, I don't see how he'll win. He won't win via KO, and he won't win on points. However, he has made a big enough stink to possibly get a fair shake on the cards. I got a decent amount down on Paulie points (+20.5) because if he doesn't get knocked down or out, all he basically has to do is win 3 rounds.

I have exactly the same ITD bet on Smith as you do. Hope we can cash that one, goes lord knows I need it.


 
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Posted: #3
I took Ishe +475 myself

Was going to play Klassen too but I'm not going to now with the +120. . .  just not enough

Like the Diaz 10-12 gamble. . .  might look at it myself
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Posted: #4
Quote Originally Posted by walktheline:

Good luck tonight Brights.

As much as I like Malignaggi, I don't see how he'll win. He won't win via KO, and he won't win on points. However, he has made a big enough stink to possibly get a fair shake on the cards. I got a decent amount down on Paulie points (+20.5) because if he doesn't get knocked down or out, all he basically has to do is win 3 rounds.

I have exactly the same ITD bet on Smith as you do. Hope we can cash that one, goes lord knows I need it.




Yeah, your points bet on Paulie should definitely win if the final bell rings.  I just think Diaz will be too much pressure wise and Paulie is close to calling it a career. 

Good luck to us on Smith.  It's a long shot, but I think it's worth the gamble.
 
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Posted: #5
Quote Originally Posted by G8RB8:

I took Ishe +475 myself

Was going to play Klassen too but I'm not going to now with the +120. . .  just not enough

Like the Diaz 10-12 gamble. . .  might look at it myself


Hop on the 10-12 train.
 
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Posted: #6
I put a little on 7-9, 10-12, and Klassen ITD
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Posted: #7
I'm on the Guerrero draw as well. I think he is going to stink it up and probably still find a way to rob my cash by SD.

Diaz and Diaz KO +250 are my biggest plays tonight. Looks like we were thinking alike.
 
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Posted: #8
Ishe is some kind of idiot.  He wants to get into it after the bell, but doesn't want to throw any punches during the round.  Why he doesn't throw more punches is beyond me.

I got it 3-2 Jacobs through 5.
 
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Posted: #9
Good point, he walks him down then does nothing. However, he did have Jacobs a bit buzzed last round.
 
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Posted: #10
Ishe had another decent round, but he is sucking wind and starting to go for broke with some WIDE shots.
 
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Posted: #11
Quote Originally Posted by walktheline:

Good point, he walks him down then does nothing. However, he did have Jacobs a bit buzzed last round.


Yep.

I can't stand Lawrence Cole.  Hope he doesn't screw my points handicap by grabbing a point from Ishe.  Need Ishe to grab one more for me to feel safe.

I got it 5-2 Jacobs.  I thought Jacobs stole the last minute to win a round he was behind in.
 
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Posted: #12
Ishe didn't do a thing for the first 2 minutes of round 8, but I thought he really came on in the last minute.  Still a Jacobs rounds, but it was close.

6-2 Jacobs
 
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Posted: #13
Round 9 to Jacobs.  Ishe you idiot, thanks for the point deduction; really wasn't that bad, but still.

7-2 Jacobs
88-82 with the point deduction.  I could see 87-83, but that's about it.
 
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Posted: #14
I need some semi-friendly Ishe judges to get this points prop.  The point deduction hurt.

Gave round 10 to Ishe, 97-92 Jacobs is my card.

On to the decision.
 
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Posted: #15
96-93 x2
100-89
All for Jacobs.

What a ridiculous GBP card for the third judge.  Thank goodness the points prop still hits, that would have been a joke.
 
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Posted: #16
100-89 was just retarded

96-93 seemed about right, nice hit on the handicap
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Posted: #17
Klassen must have been watching Ishe to closely, he's following his lead.  What has happened to the volume puncher that I have seen?
 
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Posted: #18
Quote Originally Posted by Fullbrights:

Klassen must have been watching Ishe to closely, he's following his lead.  What has happened to the volume puncher that I have seen?


He's fighting like he had no idea Guerrero was a southpaw or something. . .  awful planning
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Posted: #19
No JAB, so he will always be LUNGING IN.

Guerro as always looks great for 5 rounds.

If Klassen used a JAB he could get in easily.
 
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Posted: #20
Quote Originally Posted by Fullbrights:

Klassen must have been watching Ishe to closely, he's following his lead.  What has happened to the volume puncher that I have seen?


I thought Ishe did very well, being a MUCH smaller guy, in the 5th round he had  jacobs hurt and if 40 seconds were left, he may have finished him,

Jacobs was a 7-1 favorite. Which was crazy. He was even slightly BOOED and Ishe was cheered.

Jacobs left this fight with MORE questions than answers. Look for Jacobs to peddle back and start fighting tomato cans for the next few as they "try to work on his defense" and suddenly suspect CHIN- Remember Ishe moved UP and also wasn't a puncher and was WALKING him down EASILY.

Even worse every "real fighter" always come out for the last round and does his best, Jacobs did the opposite and stunk up the last round and tried to surive- Not good for him.

A 2 point win in Houston. Imagine any guy who had a PUNCH.


 
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Posted: #21
Quote Originally Posted by walktheline:

Good luck tonight Brights.

As much as I like Malignaggi, I don't see how he'll win. He won't win via KO, and he won't win on points. However, he has made a big enough stink to possibly get a fair shake on the cards. I got a decent amount down on Paulie points (+20.5) because if he doesn't get knocked down or out, all he basically has to do is win 3 rounds.

I have exactly the same ITD bet on Smith as you do. Hope we can cash that one, goes lord knows I need it.




Excellent props for the bet.. what were the odds you got/layed for 20.5 ( and what sports book)?
 
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Posted: #22
Quote Originally Posted by G8RB8:

100-89 was just retarded

96-93 seemed about right, nice hit on the handicap


100-89 Judge should have been take away in cuffs after filling in that score card lol.

96-93 was right ref deducted a point. I had Jacobs by 2 points, but he didn't impress me at all, waiting for him to get TRULY exposed.
 
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Posted: #23
Good fight by Guerrero, he did what he needed to do and Klassen didn't.  He looked lost in there.  Lost $30 on the draw.  Even for the night headed to the main event.  Diaz will make or break the weekend unless the doggie from Mexico come through.  Anyone got any results from south of the border?
 
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Posted: #24
Quote Originally Posted by nuttyrich:



100-89 Judge should have been take away in cuffs after filling in that score card lol.

96-93 was right ref deducted a point. I had Jacobs by 2 points, but he didn't impress me at all, waiting for him to get TRULY exposed.


Completely agree.
 
 
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Posted: #25
Quote Originally Posted by nuttyrich:



I thought Ishe did very well, being a MUCH smaller guy, in the 5th round he had  jacobs hurt and if 40 seconds were left, he may have finished him,

Jacobs was a 7-1 favorite. Which was crazy. He was even slightly BOOED and Ishe was cheered.

Jacobs left this fight with MORE questions than answers. Look for Jacobs to peddle back and start fighting tomato cans for the next few as they "try to work on his defense" and suddenly suspect CHIN- Remember Ishe moved UP and also wasn't a puncher and was WALKING him down EASILY.

Even worse every "real fighter" always come out for the last round and does his best, Jacobs did the opposite and stunk up the last round and tried to surive- Not good for him.

A 2 point win in Houston. Imagine any guy who had a PUNCH.




I thought he did well, but again he didn't throw enough punches and that was what I was referring to.  There are way to many lulls in his activity.
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