Plays for Tonight

Question

Last 3 years posted at Covers: &#x2B;61.53 units (&#x2B;$6,153)2009: -4.71 units (-$471))Last week: &#x2B;.61 of a unit (&#x2B;$61)Should&#xD;&#xA;be a mega event tonight.  I think the undercard is stacked with severe&#xD;&#xA;mismatches much like DLH-Pac and I think the same early endings will&#xD;&#xA;follow.  Don&#x27;t like what I&#x27;m reading out of Hatton&#x27;s camp, but I think&#xD;&#xA;it will be a very rough fight tonight and definitely not another Oscar&#xD;&#xA;sparring session.  I think the speed of Pac and the size of Ricky will&#xD;&#xA;both play a large role and eventually one aspect will take over the&#xD;&#xA;fight and lead to an early ending.3.5 units on Pac-Hatton won&#x27;t go distance (-175)1.5 units on under 9.5 rounds (&#x2B;105) in Pac-Hatton5 units on under 7.5 rounds (-200) in Alvarado-Gallardo 3 units on under 7.5 rounds (-190) in Soto-Gaudet

Fullbrights · Answer

Last 3 years posted at Covers: &#x2B;61.53 units (&#x2B;$6,153)2009: -4.71 units (-$471))Last week: &#x2B;.61 of a unit (&#x2B;$61)Should&#xD;&#xA;be a mega event tonight.  I think the undercard is stacked with severe&#xD;&#xA;mismatches much like DLH-Pac and I think the same early endings will&#xD;&#xA;follow.  Don&#x27;t like what I&#x27;m reading out of Hatton&#x27;s camp, but I think&#xD;&#xA;it will be a very rough fight tonight and definitely not another Oscar&#xD;&#xA;sparring session.  I think the speed of Pac and the size of Ricky will&#xD;&#xA;both play a large role and eventually one aspect will take over the&#xD;&#xA;fight and lead to an early ending.3.5 units on Pac-Hatton won&#x27;t go distance (-175)1.5 units on under 9.5 rounds (&#x2B;105) in Pac-Hatton5 units on under 7.5 rounds (-200) in Alvarado-Gallardo 3 units on under 7.5 rounds (-190) in Soto-Gaudet

mr_A · Answer

GL

Fullbrights · Answer

Couldn&#x27;t resist...1.5 units on Hatton wins only (&#x2B;210)

EricLinny · Answer

Hate to see you on Hatton GL with those unders.

Double-Barrel · Answer

As for plays, early in the year I looked at the future odds for the Derby, Many sportsbooks still didn&#x27;t have them listed. I get quite a bit of inside information that&#x27;s reliable, not the old tip from a guy that knows a guy. I&#x27;m not a big Horse Racing Fan, but for kicks a friend of mine and horse trainer we were going over the list of literally over 100 horses, only about 20 were less than 30-1. I waited a week, went with Friesan Fire at 25-1, just as a fun bet. I&#x27;ve never intricately followed horses, and he was listed at #15 on the odds board. Funny now today he is the big favorite. What started out as a joke, then a little analysis, then a wager, turned into an interesting day. More on the fight later for me. GL everyone!

bigsew65 · Answer

you gotta love how the british backers push the line down as the fight gets closer. makes it easier for pacquiao backers to make some extra cash. the pride of the philippines prevails

Fullbrights · Answer

I don&#x27;t see the odds moving that much.  Actually Hatton is priced higher now then this afternoon.

Fullbrights · Answer

Riding Alvarado under for a bit more.  Lot of eggs in this basket.1.7 units on under 7.5 rounds (-170) in Alvarado-Gallardo

walktheline · Answer

Good luck tonight Brights. I&#x27;m expecting a brutal knockout by someone, and rather quickly. Hopefully it will come from Hatton, as that is where I have most of my action.

G8RB8 · Answer

[Quote: Originally Posted by Fullbrights] Couldn&#x27;t resist...1.5 units on Hatton wins only (&#x2B;210)&#xD;&#xA;&#xD;&#xA;[/Quote]&#xD;&#xA;Yeah, I can&#x27;t resist either. . .  Got him at &#x2B;225 on MB a second ago&#xD;&#xA;GL brights

Fullbrights · Answer

Thanks guys, good luck to you both.  Should be a fun one, got a few people coming over for the fight.  What a wreck of an undercard, but oh well.

redwally · Answer

What time is the mainevent?

Fullbrights · Answer

I say we see it go off close to midnight.  4 undercard fights; 2 four rounders, an 8 rounder, and a 12 rounder.

Fullbrights · Answer

Well I just took a bath on the Alvarado under. Crappy start to the night. Big disappointment I thought it was going to be televised and it was listed as a 10 rounder.

A few more.....

2.5 more units on under 6.5 (-200) in Soto-Gaudet

And more Hatton fight action....
.65 of a unit on fight won't start round 6 (+315)
2.2 units on under 9.5 rounds (-110)
.35 of a unit on Hatton in rounds 10-12 (+1100)

DannoDanger · Answer

[Quote: Originally Posted by Fullbrights]   What a wreck of an undercard, but oh well.&#xD;&#xA;&#xD;&#xA;[/Quote]&#xD;&#xA; &#xD;&#xA;No kidding.  HBO, Main Events, and Golden Boy are abusing the fans with this crap.  After the DeLaHoya/Pacquiao undercard pu pu platter, they swore that they would do better for the fans next time.  This is a joke.

DannoDanger · Answer

Also, I&#x27;m on Hatton tonight.  I think he&#x27;ll be stronger than Pacquiao realizes.  It&#x27;ll be a rough fight both ways, but Pacquiao has yet to fight a bigger guy in his prime who is elite.  Over in rounds too.

nungpho4078 · Answer

i was unsure on the over unders of 9.5 rounds.  I&#x27;ll tail you

Fullbrights · Answer

2.5 more units on Soto under at -200; the more I look at it, the more there is no way that Gaudet will keep him off of him for more than 4 rounds.

Flyer on Pac KO prop just for kicks...
.35 of a unit on Pac in round 10 (+1800)

A2C · Answer

Hey buddy, I&#x27;ve been MIA this weekend because I really didn&#x27;t like anything (bad weekend for value players).  But if your book listed Alvarado as a 10 rounder, there&#x27;s a good chance that the house rules nullify it, as total bets that have the rounds changed to a lower number than listed are "no actioned" at most books.

Fullbrights · Answer

I looked at the rules regarding it at 5dimes; looks like it will stand as a fat loser.

LuckyLouie · Answer

with ya on hatton &#x2B;200 and small on the over 9.5 rds

Fullbrights · Answer

1.75 more on the Soto under at -175, hope the line deflating isn&#x27;t a bad thing.  Riding hard on this one and basically putting the week on this one.

thedegenerate · Answer

under 9.5  is -120 at my book

Fullbrights · Answer

Big 1st round by Soto.  Gaudet looks completely out of his element.

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