Plays for the Weekend

Last 3 years posted at Covers: +61.53 units (+$6,153)
2009:-8.29 units (-$829)
Last week: -6.35 units (-$635)


FNF
1 unit on Cayo ITD (+167) vs Diaz
1 unit on Cayo ITD (+160) vs Diaz
.35 on Diaz by 10rd decision (+408)
Pretty much agree with what LMS said as reasoning on Cayo.  Cayo is a bit raw, but I think anybody young and with heavy hands means trouble these days for Diaz.  Hedged with Diaz by decision, because I could see him stinking up the joint and possibly taking it on the cards if Cayo chokes in his first big shot, but I doubt it.

3 units on under 9.5 rounds (-120) in Rossy-Drummond
Rossy sucks and is extremely hittable.  Drummond seems out of shape and isn't so hot himself.  I think both will be sucking wind by round 6 and someone will land something big down the stretch or both will collapse.

I had forgotten that FNF started tonight at 8:00 didn't mean to post so close to fight time.  I'm also on....

2.6 units on Bradley (-260)
1.2 units on Bradley by decision (-120)
1.25 units on Witter (+175)
.75 of a unit on Witter ITD (+395)
1.5 units on Hlatshwayo (+200)

.50 units to win 5.4
Cayo ITD (+160)
Quintero ITD (-155)
Wilson-Avalos under 7.5 (+100)
Bradley (-260)

Nothing like starting the week from a hole.  Drummond didn't throw enough punches to tire anyone out, not even himself; Rossy was just able to potshot all night.  Bad call on my part.  Props to all Rossy backers too, nice hit.

Added a bit more on Cayo, maybe an emotional bet after the heavyweight slobfest.

1.4 units on Cayo (-140)

I like Cayo...unorthodox and exciting...he clearly belongs at this level.

Not shot enough to make me a winner.  Yeah, his punches just don't have the zip on them that they used to; his hands and reflexes are noticeably slower.

These FNF main events are killing me, two weeks in a row, right guy, but this idiot here takes the ITD and loses money.  It sucked, Cayo landed his two best punches of the fight in the last 10 seconds of rounds.  I suck.

I agree, fun to watch.  He did look tired in the 10th so I wonder if stamina could be an issue in the future if his opponents make a concerted effort to go after the body.

End of the road for Diaz.

1 unit on Cayo ITD (+167) vs Diaz
1 unit on Cayo ITD (+160) vs Diaz
.35 on Diaz by 10rd decision (+408)
3 units on under 9.5 rounds (-120) in Rossy-Drummond
1.4 units on Cayo (-140)
.50 of a unit parlay

Got crushed tonight for nearly 5 hundo.  Hopefully tomorrow is better.  Great job to rest of the board, looks like some good nights.  I'm still kicking myself for my ITD plays on Cayo.

I am at the slot machine and hoping to get lucky on shobox by just throwing a bit out.

.65 of a unit to win 5.3
Quintero by 10 rd decision (+357)
Wilson-Avalos under 7.5 (+100)

Well that was a quick opener on Shobox, another mid-western fighter hits the canvas early.  Now I just need lady luck to treat me right and Harris to have enough left in the tank to hear the final bell only to lose a decision to Quintero.  Do you believe in miracles?

Well just as I think Quintero is working his way back into the fight for a possible decision win that gets me back on solid soil for the week and Harris seems to be tiring, then boom; Harris drops bombs.  Quintero and Shaw may try to use the hand as an excuse, but really he doesn't react well when he is getting hit, especially on his way back to the ropes.

Another $65 down the pot and 5 hundo losing day.  Bring on tomorrow please.

Tough opening boxing bets, but glad to have you part of the forum.  Stay active on the board.  I saw where you mentioned it was an easy match in your post, I believe in betting boxing you will see those are few and far between with the elements involved.

Ya Cayo isn't very good. He's unorthodox, but that's about all you can say about him. His hands down, chin out will get him killed against a real opponent.

not really he pulls his hands up fast and the timing on him is tough...i like him

Would you like him against any of the 4 fighting tonight? I think any of them would beat his ass. Guess that was my point.

I'm getting crushed.

last minute bet on Bradley by decision.

1 unit on Bradley by 12rd decision (+105)

any updates on the drod fight?

Actually at that pace, I don't think a decision was in the cards.  He was going to stop Nate.  Campbell looked even worse then I thought he would, he looked like he was in slow motion.

2.6 units on Bradley (-260)
1.2 units on Bradley by decision (-120)
1.25 units on Witter (+175)
.75 of a unit on Witter ITD (+395)
1 unit on Bradley by 12rd decision (+105)
1.5 units on Hlatshwayo (+200)

Isaac helps out on an otherwise crap filled weekend.

Lost 5.7 units for the weekend, not pretty.