I got Yuri @ +150 a week or so ago
And just dropped another unit at +145
I thought it would go up but hasn't probably indicating that sharps have pounded the line but nonetheless I feel good about this wager
I love boxing more than any sport
These folks won't be "sharp" in a few hours. Nobody is betting on Yuri's ability. It's all a Cotto fade....
I was going to do my own write up buts lets stick to this thread as it was well written and let's keep everything in the one place. Firstly I am agreeing with Walk again (not sure what is going on here 
)
A lot of cappers I respect (both here and guys like Graham Huston on fightwriter.com, Dwight on gamblers anonymous -> https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wi9EpXotAow) are giving Foreman a massive chance and feel the odds are wrong here. Those backing Foreman I will not for one second try to put you off. I am taking Cotto on points @+200 and the over 10.5 which is already locked in for -160. Here is why.
First off the bat we don't know just how shot Cotto is and this is why this fight is not a fight to get involved in heavily. Yuri Foreman in my opinion is very over rated. I just don't think he is in Cotto's league (at is best that is). Foreman hasn't knocked out someone since 2006 and Cotto hasn't Ko'd someone since Jennings and let's be honest he is a bum. Therefore Cotto hasn't KO'd anyone in 2 years, even more and if you look at the standard of opponents Cotto fought between Mallinaggi and Margherito, I wouldn't put too much emphasis on those late Ko's and the overall knock out power of Miguel Cotto. Now he has to go up to 154 and fight a guy thats never been KO'd..I cannot see Cotto KOing this guy and Goreman hasn't KO'd a guy since 2006 and we know how tough Miguel is.
I love the over here. The only thing thats makes me nervous is Cotto really could be damaged goods and Yuri could roll here. I am guessing even this banged up Cotto is better then Yuri Foreman and I see Cotto winning a close fight. When you consider this is a hometown fight for Cotto if the fight is close then he should get the decision (ala Clottley fight).
My recommendation is Play the over 10.5 and have a small saver on Cotto on points. Good luck with you plays...
Here is a good example of making the right play but because of bad luck it misses out. I think if Foreman doesnt twist the knee the guy goes 12 rounds. He showed some toughness after the injury but he was a sitting duck. To all Cotto backers congrats. Walktheline on fire lately. Respect man. I was wrong about you and your capping skills.
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