ForecastinFloyd

Significant loss there, congrats to those who were on the Shockers.  They ended up being the right side.  The Sycamores just didn't do the small things down the stretch to close out the game.  Horrible starts to both halves and letting the Shockers control shot clock with lead majority of game ended up sealing their fate. Sorry to those that tailed, and best of luck on your plays the remainder of the season all.

FF

Thanks for the kind words, dialogue, and angles from both sides everyone.  The beautiful thing about sports betting is there's a story for every side.  Those who are on the Shockers are here to protect their side, I get it.  There's no doubt in my mind that the Shockers will be a heavy public play this evening, but I do enjoy what I've been seeing from the line movement all day.  I'm holding firm on this, my ticket was punched late last night and my research for the play was extensive for a little over a week.  All things considered, when the line opened up above 3, that's when I told myself it was time to load up and push the chips in.

Best of luck to all tonight and enjoy the games      

Good seeing you again, NorCal,



Night everyone, off to bed.  My bet is punched in.  I will update tomorrow if anything in the weather or traveling/game time schedules changes, but all things are a go as it looks now.  Best of luck.

Was just kidding, it's loud and clear out there now.  Might have had something to do with the .5 pt drop.  It will be interesting to see the movement tomorrow, but my guess is it stays firm at 4.5.

Appreciate your analysis.  I have no ties or rooting interest to the University, but have played the Sycamores in the past at home on a pick and choose basis based on line movement/action.  I think 1h might be worth a look playing ISU where I have the numbers, but am loading up and playing game.  Best of luck on your plays

Glad to see you on it, best of luck and unpleasant travels to the Shockers

Citing my thread as your source would be nice

First and foremost, I want to say that I don’t throw out a POY lightly and without extensive research.  Today, there’s something extraordinary that’s been building in the forecast. A unique play, a once in a year type of play where everything points to it being the one to load up and pull the trigger.  I have been spending the last week looking at variables surrounding this game, the line, prospective match-ups, game tempo, and promotions surrounding the big match-up held in the Hulman Center, travel schedule (the Shockers are now not flying out until 7:30 Wednesday game morning), it’s all been looked at.  The end result with all of these things considered is Indiana State shocking the basketball world and beating Wichita State, convincingly. 

This is a very difficult venue for any team to be traveling to and pull out a W, but right now the pressure is on the Shockers to now run the table and potentially grab a one seed.  The school is running a “paint the town” blue promotion, heck, Larry Bird is rumored to be in attendance, and I fully expect them to be fired up from tip to buzzer.  The sales pitch from the coach is simply win this game, get into the at-large discussion and forget about the earlier meeting and protect the Hulman Center just as you’ve done all season. 

Ive watched the Shockers last few games, and it’s looked like the pressure of staying undefeated is starting to affect their game play struggling against bottom tier teams.  Indiana State is coming off of a road win where they beat Northern Iowa, who hadn’t lost at home.  One of the more impressive things about this victory for Indiana State was that all of their starters scored in double digits, and it’s going to take another group effort to put down Wichita State.  Indiana State has been streaky at times, but the balance is there across the board to make this game competitive and jump out early and match/up with the Shockers, control tempo and play from ahead at home rather than behind.  Odum struggled mightily in their first contest.  The likelihood of that happening again is very slim.  Indiana State has had its fair share of good luck getting wins over ranked opponents.  This will be its 4^th in last 5 tries.

As far as my numbers go, it’s indicative that this won’t be a close contest.  I’m playing the points, and playing it just as if I would any other play of the year, with my chips pushed in and confidence maxed out.  To anyone who decides to play it, I wish you well.  And I wish you all the best on all of your plays today regardless of your sides.    

 

Forecasting Floyd’s POY Play

Indiana State +4.5

Forecasting Floyd’s POY Forecast

Indiana State 78

Wichita State 62

FF

Greetings everyone,

With two weeks to compile data, look at film, and fall in love with one team or the other, I imagine most people have picked their sides.  I'm not going to go too in depth, but I like Denver to roll in this spot and get a big lead early making Seattle to air it on more than they would like.  Two players that I think will play significant roles and have big games for Denver is Wes Welker underneath and Monte Ball on the ground.  There's not doubt in my mind that the two best teams in the NFL are playing in the game, but the mismatches Denver will be able to create and put up points is far greater than how Seattle will be able to defend and try and match offensively.

Super Bowl XLVIII Forecast
Denver 34
Seattle 16


Super Bowl XLVIII Plays
Denver -1



I hope you all enjoy the big game, and wish you the best on all your plays throughout regardless of your sides.

FF
  

I have been away for a little while, but plan on being around and making a considerable amount of plays through the Super Bowl.

Although the quality of opponent has been suspect for a long run to close out the season, I like the way Denver is looking on both sides of the ball and believe they will ultimately win the Super Bowl. Peyton Manning is on a mission, one that I think will end with him hoisting up the Lombardi. In terms of the NFC side, it comes down to Atlanta and San Francisco for me. I am sprinkling action on the Falcons to prevail as of now in regards to my futures, and will let the games dictate future play changes from there.

NFL Futures Forecast
AFC conference outright
Denver +120
NFC conference outright
Atlanta +235
Match-up
Denver vs. Atlanta +653
Super Bowl outright
Denver +290

In reference to the Wildcard weekend games, I like all the dogs to cover and have a great chance to win with the exception of Washington.  I think the Seattle defense will prove to be too much in the end. 

This is how I see things shaping out through the rest of the weekend, with my plays and projections in this weekends forecast to follow. 

Saturday Wild Card Doppler Radar
Cincinnati 30
Houston 27

Green Bay 28
Minnesota 27

Sunday Wild Card Doppler Radar
Indianapolis 31
Baltimore 23

Seattle 24
Washington 17

Final Plays
Cincinnati +4.5
Cincinnati/Houston Over 43
Minnesota +8
Minnesota/Green Bay Over 45.5
Indianapolis +250
Indianapolis +7
Indianapolis/Baltimore Over 47
Seattle -2.5
Seattle/Washington Under 46

Best of luck to everyone regardless of your plays, and rooting interests and enjoy the rest of the weekend watching the games. 

FF
 

Split them up today. Congrats to under/Balt backers in the opener.  It was clearly the right side in that game.  I think we are in for a great game in Indianapolis, one that I am contemplating attending, and will certainly be around the city for some of the events leading up to the Super Bowl.  If any Covers members plan on traveling to the city, or will be down there, feel free to touch base.  

I will see everyone periodically around the forums until then.  Early lean for the game is Giants S/U and Over.  Best of luck to all leading up to the big game, and congrats to Patriots and NY Giants fans

FF

I have looked into the precipitation and moderately looked at some of the weather patterns and game flow in reference to the field.  I think we will see a struggle for San Francisco getting into the pay dirt tomorrow and keeping up to pace with the Giants offense as it closes out.  The 49ers certainly impressed last week, no doubt, but I just don't think they will have enough inside the red zone tomorrow. 

Best of luck this weekend on all of them, BEE. Enjoy the games.

Best of luck on all of them this weekend, LB

There have been a few sprinkles in the Forecast, but things finished off nicely last weekend with the Giants putting things at 10-4 moving into Championship Sunday.  I am going to play both sides and totals after breaking things down this week and might have some action at half depending on how the games look and what kind of value can be had.  When it's all said and done, I think we are going to have ourselves a New England Patriots vs. NY Giants Super Bowl, both of which I think should cover their respective numbers comfortably on Sunday. 

This is what I have finalized for Championship Sunday.

AFC Championship Plays
New England -7
New England/Baltimore Over 50

New England vs. Baltimore Doppler Radar
New England  38
Baltimore 20
 

NFC Championship Plays
NY Giants +2
NY Giants/San Francisco Under 42

NY Giants vs. San Francisco Doppler Radar
NY Giants 24
San Francisco 13



Best of luck to all regardless of your plays and rooting interests, and certainly enjoy the games.

FF

Excellent work LB, very nice weekend!

Tough break yesterday, but the Giants came through for me in a big way to finish off a nice weekend. 10-4 in the playoffs moving into next week.  Early leans are the Patriots -7 and Giants +2.5. Still a lot to break down and I'm going to monitor the line movement and break things down and try and have plays finalized mid-week. 

Divisional Round Recap 6-3
Giants +285
NY Giants +7.5
Houston +7.5
NY Giants +4.5 1H
NY Giants/Green Bay Over 53
Houston +4 2H
Houston/Baltimore Over 37
New Orleans -3.5
Denver +13.5

Best of luck to all until next weeks games! 

FF

Adding
Houston +4 2H

Appreciate it, fellas.  Not a good start to the weekend yesterday going 0-2, hopefully the results are different today.  Congrats to the 49ers and Patriot backers yesterday.  They were both clearly the right side in the end.

Adding
Houston/Baltimore Over 37

NY Giants +4.5 1H
Giants +285
NY Giants/Green Bay Over 53

Best of luck to all again today!

FF

I am looking forward to another good slate of playoff games this weekend.  Last week brought in a good Forecast going 4-1, and I am hopeful to follow up with another strong weekend.  After breaking things down throughout the week, I like the dogs to be barking loud this weekend with Denver, Houston, and the Giants all keeping it within the number.  I like the Giants and Houston to win s/u and think that New Orleans will get the Giants at home next week in the NFC Championship.  I just can't go against the Saints right now, even against a stout defense away from home.  San Francisco struggles mightily in the red zone, and pay dirt will be needed at a steady pace for the 49'ers to prevail in this game.  I think that Houston is being undervalued in reference to their opponent, the set line and the way their defense is playing and has played all season.  They match-up well with Baltimore and I think this one will come down to the final drive and one possession.

These sides are final, I might throw in a few totals before the games kick off on Saturday. 


Saturday
New Orleans -3.5

New Orleans vs. San Francisco Doppler Radar
New Orleans   27
San Francisco 17
 
Denver +13.5

New England vs. Denver Doppler Radar
New England 28
Denver 20

Sunday
Houston +7.5

Houston vs. Baltimore Doppler Radar
Houston 24
Baltimore 20
 
NY Giants +7.5

NY Giants vs. Green Bay Doppler Radar
NY Giants 34
Green Bay 31


Best of luck to all regardless of your rooting interests and plays and enjoy what should be another exciting round of playoff games.

FF