Grammy Awards Betting 2021: Will T-Swift Reign Again?

Mar 10, 2021 |
Grammy Awards Betting 2021: Will T-Swift Reign Again?
Taylor Swift, the former two-time Grammy Award winner for Album of the Year, is once again this year's favorite for music's biggest honor as a -189 betting favorite for Folklore.
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports
Taylor Swift, the former two-time Grammy Award winner for Album of the Year, is once again this year's favorite for music's biggest honor as a -189 betting favorite for Folklore.
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

The 63rd annual Grammy Awards are fast approaching after being pushed back from its usual January time slot to March 14.

The 2021 Grammy nominations were announced in the fall and oddsmakers wasted little time getting Grammy odds out. The betting board continues to change, but the biggest names in the music industry like Taylor Swift, Beyonce, and Billie Eilish are nominated for the major awards. 

We'll break down the favorites along with some live long shots as we check out this year's Grammy betting odds.

Odds provided by Paddy Power on March 10, 2021.

Album of the Year

Nominee Odds 
Folklore - Taylor Swift -187
Future Nostalgia - Dua Lipa +260
Djesse Vol. 3 - Jacob Collier +600
Hollywood's Bleeding - Post Malone +900
Women in Music Pt. III - HAIM +1,400
Everyday Life - Coldplay +1,600
Chilombo - Jhene Aiko +1,600
Black Pumas - Black Pumas +1,600

The Favorite: Folklore (-187)

It's little surprise that Folklore is the odds-on favorite to win best album after staying at No. 1 on the US Billboard 200 chart for eight weeks and receiving critical acclaim.

This is T-Swift's eighth studio album and it might be her best, which is saying a lot when you consider that she has already won Grammys for Album of the Year with 1989 and Fearless.

Folklore represents the latest step in the evolution of Swift's sound. She has gone from country to pop, and now to a more subdued, indie vibe. 

Live Long Shot: Future Nostalgia (+260)

It's not often when you can grab a second-favorite at +260 but that's simply how much people are expecting a Swift victory. That gives plenty of betting value to Dua Lipa's second album Future Nostalgia, released last March.  

As the name suggests, this album is a blend of modern with old-school dance-pop and disco. At its heart, Future Nostalgia is a pop album, but it has plenty of diverse influences and sounds to give it a distinct feel. 

Record of the Year

Nominee Odds 
Don't Start Now - Dua Lipa -225
Savage - Megan Thee Stallion +275
Black Parade - Beyonce  +350
Everything I Wanted - Billie Eilish +900
Circles - Post Malone +900
Say So - Doja Cat +1,100
Rockstar - DaBaby  +1,600
Colors - Black Pumas +2,000

The Favorite: Don't Start Now (-225)

The Record of the Year award honors the performing artist (along with the producers, sound engineers, and sound mixers) for a single song. Dua Lipa might be second on the odds board for best album, but she leads the field here at -225. 

"Don't Start Now" spent six consecutive weeks at No. 1 on the Top 40 charts and has also been nominated for Song of the Year and Best Pop Solo Performance. While it might not have the lyrical strength to win for Song of the Year, its catchy vibe and electric sound make it a strong favorite in this category. 

Live Long Shot: Savage (+275)

Megan Thee Stallion's "Savage (Remix)" featuring Beyonce elevated an already terrific song to the song of the summer (although TikTok might have had something to do with that as well).

This song is fun, catchy, and fresh, with a great sound and tight lyrics. But more than that, it has a sexy, brash, and unapologetic swagger which has helped it become a feminist anthem. And despite the Grammys being notoriously fickle toward hip hop, Beyonce's inclusion on this track adds a certain level of increased legitimacy.

What better way to answer critics who say the Grammys need to display more diversity than an upset win for "Savage" here?

Song of the Year

Nominee Odds
Cardigan - Taylor Swift -137
Don't Start Now - Dua Lipa +260
Black Parade - Beyonce +550
Everything I Wanted - Billie Eilish +600
I Can't Breathe - H.E.R +1,000
Circles - Post Malone +1,600
The Box - Roddy Ricch +2,500
If The World Was Ending - JP Saxe feat. Julia Michaels +3,000

The Favorite: Cardigan (-137)

While Record of the Year is based on production and vocal performance, this award is based on songwriting in terms of both lyrics and composition.

So it's little surprise that T-Swift is at the top of the betting board again, considering the attention she deservedly pulls for her own work when it comes to songwriting. 

Swift has been nominated for Song of the Year four times previously (most recently for "Lover" last year) but has always come up short. This should be the year she takes this award home. 

Live Long Shot: Everything I Wanted (+600)

Last year's big winner was Billie Eilish, who swept all the general field categories for Best Album, Best Record, Best Song, and Best New Artist.

If the Grammy voters don't have a case of Billie Eilish fatigue after last year, her latest hot single could be a sneaky pick at +700 to win this time around.

Unlike last year's entry "Bad Guy,” her "Everything I Wanted" song is a slower, more introspective and moody track. It's arguably a better example, however, of Eilish and her brother Finneas O'Connell's songwriting and lyrical talents. 

Best New Artist

Nominee Odds 
Megan Thee Stallion -175
Phoebe Bridgers +333
Doja Cat +350
Noah Cyrus +2,000
Ingrid Andress +2,500
Kaytranada +4,000
D Smoke +4,000
Chika +5,000

The Favorite: Megan Thee Stallion (-175)

It's a bit strange to see Megan Thee Stallion here since she really broke through into the mainstream in 2019 with her mixtape Fever and her hit single "Hot Girl Summer."

But her hot girl summer continued all the way into 2020 as she released her debut studio album Good News and featured on Cardi B's red-hot track "WAP."

Megan Thee Stallion might be our bet for live long shot for Song of the Year but she's a strong favorite to join Dua Lipa and Eilish with a Grammy win in this category.

Live Long Shot: Phoebe Bridgers (+333)

Bridgers might not have the mainstream popularity and cultural influence of Megan Thee Stallion but her 2020 album Punisher is an absolute gem.

Critics loved Bridgers' second studio album with Metacritic giving it a 90/100 rating and Slate naming it the best album of the year. If the critics are such big fans of Bridgers' work, don't be surprised if the recording industry feels the same way. And, let's be honest, it would be nice to see a winner that doesn't fit the mold of many other rising stars. 

Best Rap Song

Nominee Odds
Savage - Megan Thee Stallion feat. Beyonce -150
The Bigger Picture - Lil Baby +170
The Box - Roddy Ricch +600
Rockstar - DaBaby feat. Roddy Ricch +800
Laugh Now, Cry Later - Drake feat. Lil Durk +1,100

Best Alternative Music Album

Nominee Odds
Fetch the Boltcutters - Fiona Apple -333
Punisher - Phoebe Bridges +300
Jaime - Brittany Howard +600
The Slow Rush - Tame Impala +1,000
Hyperspace - Beck +1,400

Best Dance/Electronic Album

Nominee Odds
Bubba - Kaytranada -120
Good Faith - Madeon +333
Energy - Disclosure  +333
Kick I - Arca +650
Planet's Mad - Baauer +900

Best Pop Duo/Group Performance

Nominee Odds
Exile - Taylor Swift feat. Bon Iver -125
Dynamite - BTS +250
Rain On Me - Lady Gaga feat. Ariana Grande +260
Un Dia - J Balvin, Dua Lipa, Bad Bunny and Tainy +1,400
Intentions - Justin Bieber feat. Quavo +1,400

Best Pop Vocal Album

Nominee Odds
Folklore - Taylor Swift -150
Future Nostalgia - Dua Lipa +250
Chromatica - Lady Gaga +650
Fine Line - Harry Styles +650
Changes - Justin Bieber +1,400

Best R&B Song

Nominee Odds
Black Parade - Beyonce -275
Do It - Chloe X Halle +275
Better Than I Imagine - Robert Glasper feat. H.E.R and Meshell Ndegeocello +1,000
Collide - Tiana Major9 and EARTHGANG +1,200
Slow Down - Skip Marley and H.E.R +1,400

Best Rock Album

Nominee Odds
The New Abnormal - The Strokes -225
Sound & Fury - Sturgill Simpson +333
Daylight - Grace Potter +650
Kiwanuka - Michael Kiwanuka +800
A Hero's Death - Fontaines D.C. +1,400

Best Rock Song

Nominee Odds
Shameika - Fiona Apple -275
Kyoto - Phoebe Bridgers +250
Stay High - Brittany Howard +600
Lost In Yesterday - Tame Impala +850
Not - Big Thief +1,200

Where can I bet on Grammy Awards odds?

As a non-sports market, Grammy Awards odds may be more of a niche for sportsbooks. However, many will offer odds on the major categories, with possibly more markets as the event nears. Check out the best sportsbooks available in your area. 

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