The best bets and long shots to win Super Bowl LIV

Baker Mayfield, Nick Chubb and the Cleveland Browns might be coming off a 7-8-1 season but have the same 20/1 odds to win Super Bowl LIV as playoff teams like the Colts, Ravens and Eagles.

Rohit Ponnaiya - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Rohit Ponnaiya • Betting Analyst
Feb 6, 2019 • 07:23 ET

The Super Bowl just finished up but we're already searching to fill that football-sized hole in our lives. So we turn our thoughts to next season and look ahead to the early futures odds for Super Bowl LIV in Miami Gardens.

While the final four NFL teams from this year's playoffs occupy the top spots in the odds for next year, there are plenty of dark horses and sleepers that could emerge between now and next February. We analyze some of the best value bets for next year's Super Bowl. **video

Atlanta Falcons - 30/1

It seems like a lifetime ago that the Falcons had the Patriots on the ropes with a 28-3 lead in Super Bowl LI. Ahh, how times have changed, however, the Falcons still have most of that almost Super Bowl winning team intact. 

Atlanta is coming off a disappointing 7-9 year but injuries had alot to do with that. Running back Devonta Freeman was lost for the year after just 14 carries, both safeties suffered season-ending injuries as well, and their best linebacker Deion Jones missed 10 games.

Although Matt Ryan's production this year was largely overlooked he still completed nearly 70 percent of his passes for 4924 yard and 35 TDs against just seven interceptions. If Ryan keeps airing it out to Julio Jones and promising youngster Calvin Ridley, and the Falcons manage to stay healthy, Atlanta could fly into the Super Bowl again. 

 

Cleveland Browns - 20/1 

Browns fans have got to be excited to see this. After years of being a bottom-feeder with the biggest thing to look forward to in the off-season being a top-5 draft pick, Clevelanders can actually go into the season with a sense of optimism.

It looks like Cleveland finally has its franchise quarterback, play-making running back, elite pass rusher and shutdown corner, and now just needs the right pieces around them. They have a few good draft picks coming up, and have plenty of salary cap space to go after some top free agents. If they choose wisely in the draft and sign a top player or two, the rest of the league might be wondering who let the dawgs out. 

The Browns might still be a tad too young to bet the farm on, but hey it's the NFL and anything can happen. I mean look at the Eagles last year and the Patriots with some kid named Tom Brady at the helm in 2002. 

Indianapolis Colts - 20/1 

The Colts were a team that came seemingly out of nowhere to get into the playoffs on the last day of the regular season, and then win in the Wild Card Round. They still have holes on both sides of the ball, but an elite signal-caller in Andrew Luck and the continued improvement of Defensive Rookie of the Year Darius Leonard should see them back in the playoffs again next year. 

Combine that with the fact that Indy goes into the off-season with more than a $100 million in cap space and this team could be a legitimate title contender with the right signings.

And if you like to bet on coincidences there's another reason to consider the Colts:

  

New England Patriots - 7/1 

This seems weird, right? How can the defending Super Bowl champions who are among the favorites with 7/1 odds be considered a value pick? Well considering that in the last 18 years the Patriots have made nine Super Bowl appearances with six victories, those odds are pretty damn good. They have won a staggering 33 percent of all Super Bowls since 2002, and we're not going to count them out as long as they have Brady slinging the ball and Belichick scowling on the sidelines.   

Here is the complete list of national championship odds per the Superbook at Westgate:

Teams Super Bowl LIV Odds (as of Feb. 5, 2019)
Kansas City Chiefs 6/1
New England Patriots 7/1
Los Angeles Rams 8/1
New Orleans Saints 8/1
Los Angeles Chargers 14/1
Pittsburgh Steelers 14/1
Chicago Bears 16/1
Minnesota Vikings 16/1
Green Bay Packers 16/1
Dallas Cowboys 16/1
Philadelphia Eagles 20/1
Baltimore Ravens 20/1
Indianapolis Colts 20/1
Cleveland Browns 20/1
Houston Texas 25/1
Seattle Seahawks 30/1
Atlanta Falcons 30/1
Jacksonville Jaguars 40/1
New York Giants 40/1
San Francisco 49ers 50/1
Carolina Panthers  60/1
Denver Broncos 60/1
Tennessee Titans 60/1
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 80/1
New York Jets 80/1
Washington Redskins 100/1
Detroit Lions 100/1
Buffalo Bills 100/1
Cincinnati Bengals 100/1
Oakland Raiders 100/1
Arizona Cardinals 100/1
Miami Dolphins 300/1

FIND OUT HOW BETTING ON THE NBA, NHL AND NCAA BASKETBALL CAN HELP YOU BUST THE POST-FOOTBALL BLUES

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Rohit Ponnaiya
Betting Analyst

With a background playing soccer, rugby, and boxing, combined with a journalism degree, it's little surprise that Rohit gravitated towards the world of sports betting. He specializes in betting on UFC and college basketball, two sports where the eyeball test can tell you a lot more about matchups than any analytics. Rohit has years of experience handicapping NFL and NBA games as well as niche betting markets such as politics and Oscar odds. He's also the resident CFL expert and formerly hosted "The Chez and Ro Show" with former CFL star Davis Sanchez. You can catch Rohit breaking down every UFC event with Joe Osborne on "P4P Picks" on the Covers YouTube channel and he also has regular appearances on "Before You Bet" with Joe. In addition, he's a regular guest on "By The Book" on the Monumental Sports Network and makes guest appearances on VSIN's "The Handle" and CBS Sports. Rohit primarily makes his bets at bet365, which offers a wide variety of prop markets, but also has accounts at several others so he can shop around for the best prices. For Rohit, bankroll management is key. He believes you should never bet what you can't afford to lose and maximize those few betting opportunities where books misprice a line.

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