Warriors vs Raptors NBA betting picks and predictions: Toronto to take advantage with KD out

James Bisson - Head of Content, Betting
James Bisson • Head of Content, Betting 16+ years betting experience
Updated: May 30, 2019 , 03:07 AM ET
Kyle Lowry reacts to a call in NBA action.
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

The first ever NBA Finals game to be played outside the United States tips off Thursday at 9 Eastern as the Toronto Raptors host the Golden State Warriors. Kevin Durant will be sitting out his sixth straight playoff game, while DeMarcus Cousins is listed as questionable as the Dubs quest for a three-peat begins its final stage. **video

We break down the NBA betting odds for this matchup and give our predictions and best bets for Game 1 of the NBA Finals between the Warriors and Raptors.

GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS AT TORONTO RAPTORS (-1, 213.5)

Series price: Raptors +230/Warriors -285

QUICK HITTER

Quick starts have been keys to success for both squads all year with the Warriors ranking first in the Association in first quarter points per game on the road, notching 30.9 per contest. On the other side, the Raptors average 28 at home in the first quarter of games. The Warriors are coming off a series sweep versus the Blazers where in the final game they put up 36 points in the opening frame. They should be well rested and will be looking to get out to a quick start once again.

PREDICTION: First quarter spread Warriors +0.5

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FIRST HALF BET

The most recent three games between these two squads have produced high scoring first half totals, 60-59 in favor of Golden State. This number is so high due in large part to the 81 first half points the Warriors put up versus the Raptors in the Scotiabank Arena on Jan. 13th. Look for both offenses to be clicking early on.

PREDICTION: First half total Over 109

TEAM/PLAYER PROP

Although Kawhi Leonard averaged only 3.3 assists per game in the regular season, he logged seven and nine assists in the Raptors final two games in the Eastern Finals against the Bucks. Leonard will be putting up big minutes in the Finals and should be involved in a lot of different offensive sets for the Raptors, whether that is scoring, or assisting.

PREDICTION: Kawhi Leonard Over 3.5 assists

 

FULL GAME TOTAL

The most recent three games in the head-to-head have produced high scoring games, largely in part to lots of points scored at halftime. The Warriors lead the Association in field goal percentage, and points per game when playing on the road. The Raptors rank in the top 10 in shooting percentage at home, and average over 113.7 points per game on their home court. Look for both teams to play at a decently fast pace, meaning lots of opportunities to put up points.

PREDICTION: Over 213.5

FULL GAME SIDE

The Raptors have won five straight at home and took both of the meetings with the Warriors this season. But with injuries and roster changes this is essentially a fresh matchup. Since the 2015-16 postseason the Warriors have won 12 straight series openers and have posted an 8-4 ATS record throughout that stretch. The Raptors are 3-15 SU in series openers but have a big edge in terms of scoring from their reserves and are relatively much healthier. The Raptors need to come out with a sense of urgency with the Warriors missing Durant. If they want to make their mark on this series, the time is now.

PREDICTION: Raptors moneyline

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James Bisson
Head of Content, Betting

James Bisson is the Editor-in-Chief at Covers. He has been a writer, reporter and editor for more than 20 years, including a nine-year stint with The Canadian Press and more than five years at theScore. He has covered dozens of marquee events including the 2010 Winter Olympics, the 2006 Stanley Cup final and Wrestlemania 23, and his work has appeared in more than 200 publications, including the Los Angeles Times, the Guardian, Yahoo! Sports, the Toronto Star and The Globe and Mail.

His book, “100 Greatest Canadian Sports Moments”, was a hardcover best-seller in Canada in 2008 and earned him appearances on CBC Radio and Canada AM. He has written more than 50 sportsbook reviews, more than 200 industry news articles, and dozens of other sportsbook-related content articles.

A graduate of the broadcast journalism program at Ryerson University (now Toronto Metropolitan University), James has been an avid bettor since the early 2000s, and cites bet365 as his favorite sports betting site due to its superior functionality and quick payouts. His biggest professional highlight: Covering Canada's first Olympic gold medal on home soil – and interviewing Bret Hart. Twice.

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