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Change
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Team
|
W-L-T
(ATS)
|
Power Rating
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Team Comments
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| 1 |
1 |
 |
 |
9-3-0
(7-5-0)
|
-7.5 |
New England
Bill Belichick's quote following the Pats' sluggish victory in Miami last Sunday? "It's always good to win. It's not about the stats, it's about wins." Margin of victory means little for this squad. |
| 2 |
3 |
 1 |
 |
9-3-0
(6-6-0)
|
-6.5 |
Denver
From a pure stats-based perspective, Denver's net of +1.3 yards per play for the season ranks far ahead of AFC contenders like the Pats, Texans and Ravens, all at +0.4 ypp or lower. |
| 3 |
4 |
1 |
 |
11-1-0
(8-4-0)
|
-6.0 |
Houston
The Texans' defensive injury woes are mounting, missing linebackers Brian Cushing, Brooks Reed and Bradie James along with cornerback Johnathan Joseph last week. |
| 4 |
2 |
 2 |
 |
8-3-1
(7-5-0)
|
-6.0 |
San Francisco
Alex Smith went 20-6 SU in two years under Jim Harbaugh. New starter Colin Kaepernick has won only twice in four starts and nearly single-handedly lost the game at St Louis last week. |
| 5 |
5 |
|
 |
11-1-0
(7-4-1)
|
-5.0 |
Atlanta
The Falcons' strength of schedule is the lowest in the league this year, with only one game all season against an opponent that currently sports a winning record. |
| 6 |
6 |
|
 |
7-5-0
(5-6-1)
|
-5.0 |
N.Y. Giants
Tom Coughlin's team ranks No. 2 in the NFL in fewest penalties per game, but suffered nine crucial penalties in their one-point Monday Night loss at Washington. |
| 7 |
8 |
1 |
 |
8-4-0
(6-6-0)
|
-4.0 |
Green Bay
Heading into their matchup against Detroit this weekend, moneyline bettors should note that Green Bay has won 21 consecutive home games against the Lions. |
| 8 |
7 |
1 |
 |
9-3-0
(5-6-1)
|
-3.5 |
Baltimore
Could the Ravens be primed for a late season skid? They've got a brutal upcoming slate, with each of their final four games coming against playoff contenders. |
| 9 |
14 |
5 |
 |
7-5-0
(5-6-1)
|
-3.0 |
Pittsburgh
Prior to last Sunday's win at Baltimore, the Steelers had been 0-6 against the Ravens with anyone other than Ben Roethlisberger behind center since 2004. |
| 10 |
10 |
|
 |
7-5-0
(8-4-0)
|
-3.0 |
Seattle
Anyone who still thinks rookie QB Russell Wilson can't win on the road didn't watch his 97-yard fourth quarter TD drive, followed by his 80-yard game-winning drive in OT at Chicago. |
| 11 |
11 |
|
 |
7-5-0
(6-5-1)
|
-2.0 |
Cincinnati
Cincy running back BenJarvus Green-Ellis has suddenly found big-play ability, ripping off the three longest rushes of his five-year career over the past two weeks. |
| 12 |
9 |
3 |
 |
8-4-0
(6-6-0)
|
-1.5 |
Chicago
In the last three weeks, the Bears have lost Lance Louis, Chilo Rachal, Chris Spencer, Chris Conte, Brian Urlacher, Matt Toeaina, Devin Hester, Alshon Jeffrey and Earl Bennett to injuries. |
| 13 |
13 |
|
 |
6-6-0
(9-2-1)
|
-1.0 |
Tampa Bay
The Bucs are 4-0 SU and ATS when Doug Martin has more than 85 rushing yards this season, but they're just 2-6 SU when he's rushed for 85 or less. |
| 14 |
15 |
1 |
 |
6-6-0
(7-5-0)
|
-1.0 |
Washington
When Tim Tebow ran the zone-read option last year, critics said it would never work in the NFL. RG3 has proven it'll work with a better quarterback than Tebow. |
| 15 |
16 |
1 |
 |
6-6-0
(4-8-0)
|
0.0 |
Dallas
With star nose tackle Jay Ratliff ailing, the Cowboys allowed 7.0 yards per carry against an Eagles offense missing three OL starters. |
| 16 |
18 |
2 |
 |
8-4-0
(8-4-0)
|
0.5 |
Indianapolis
The betting markets still aren't showing a lick of respect for Indy. How else could the Colts be TD underdogs at 4-8 Detroit last Sunday? |
| 17 |
12 |
5 |
 |
5-7-0
(6-6-0)
|
0.5 |
New Orleans
First, two "pick sixes" against the 49ers then five INTs without a TD against the Falcons � we're watching Drew Brees fall apart before our eyes. |
| 18 |
17 |
1 |
 |
4-8-0
(5-7-0)
|
1.5 |
Detroit
Three weeks in a row, the Lions had the lead at home with less than four minutes remaining in regulation. Three weeks in a row, the Lions found a way to lose that ballgame. |
| 19 |
19 |
|
 |
5-7-0
(6-6-0)
|
1.5 |
Miami
Give Miami credit for sacking Tom Brady four times (he'd only suffered three sacks in the previous six games) and holding the Pats to their second-lowest point total of the season. |
| 20 |
22 |
2 |
 |
4-8-0
(7-4-1)
|
2.5 |
Cleveland
Since their 0-5 start, the improving Browns have won four out of seven. Each of their last five losses has come against teams that are contending for the playoffs. |
| 21 |
21 |
|
 |
5-7-0
(6-6-0)
|
3.0 |
Buffalo
The 5-7 Bills are still mathematically alive for the playoffs. Defensive tackle Kyle Williams: "I'm not worried about a month ago� The only thing I can control is what's in front of me." |
| 22 |
20 |
2 |
 |
4-8-0
(5-7-0)
|
3.0 |
San Diego
The Chargers have now lost seven of their last eight games and they face the prospect of a cold weather, early-start game in Pittsburgh this week minus three starting offensive linemen. |
| 23 |
24 |
1 |
 |
5-6-1
(8-4-0)
|
3.0 |
St. Louis
I've got to give the Rams defense tons of credit for finding a way to win a game in which their offense was shut out for the first 59:59 of regulation. |
| 24 |
23 |
1 |
 |
6-6-0
(4-7-1)
|
3.5 |
Minnesota
Adrian Peterson personally has more rushing yardage than 2/3 of the teams in the NFL. If only the Vikings had a decent QB, they'd be very tough to stop. |
| 25 |
26 |
1 |
 |
5-7-0
(6-6-0)
|
4.0 |
N.Y. Jets
Mark Sanchez, Tim Tebow and Greg McElroy are all in contention to get the starting nod at quarterback this week at Jacksonville. Yikes, the Jets are road favorites. |
| 26 |
25 |
1 |
 |
3-9-0
(5-7-0)
|
4.5 |
Carolina
The Panthers' run defense has declined precipitously in recent weeks, gashed for a whopping 677 yards on the ground over their last four ballgames. |
| 27 |
29 |
2 |
 |
3-9-0
(2-9-1)
|
5.5 |
Philadelphia
At this stage, Andy Reid's antics just make me laugh. Firing defensive line coach Jim Washburn after their loss at Dallas is just downright silly. Really, Andy, it was Washburn's fault? |
| 28 |
28 |
|
 |
4-8-0
(5-6-1)
|
6.0 |
Arizona
Arizona was plus-5 in turnovers in their road loss at Atlanta and plus-3 in turnovers their road loss at New York last week. Hard to win games with an offense that goes 0-for-15 on third downs. |
| 29 |
27 |
2 |
 |
4-8-0
(4-8-0)
|
6.0 |
Tennessee
Dowell Loggains' first game as the offensive coordinator wasn't pretty at all. Jake Locker took six sacks and threw three interceptions in another blowout loss at home. |
| 30 |
30 |
|
 |
2-10-0
(6-6-0)
|
6.5 |
Jacksonville
Chad Henne following their loss in wet, windy conditions at Buffalo: "We did take a step back. It was poor execution on our part." |
| 31 |
32 |
1 |
 |
2-10-0
(5-7-0)
|
7.0 |
Kansas City
The Chiefs showed great focus following their tragedy, flagged for only one penalty while playing their first turnover-free game of the year in the win over Carolina. |
| 32 |
31 |
1 |
 |
3-9-0
(3-9-0)
|
8.0 |
Oakland
Cornerback Michael Huff following their fifth straight loss last Sunday: "We can't stop the run, we can't stop the pass� Right now I guess we're just a bad defense. We can't really hide it." |
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Power Ratings compute offensive and defensive statistics into one number for each team, while accounting for factors like recent performances and strength of schedule. Power Ratings can be used as a baseline for relative spread index to compare current or future match-ups between two teams. The relative spread does not account for non-statistical factors like home-field advantage, recent injuries, game time decisions, rivalries, publicity, and weather.