New York Mets Picks

Pick made: 6 hours ago

-126

-125

-126

The Mariners pack more punch at the dish away from pitcher-friendly T-Mobile Park, and the added workload is beginning to catch up to Mets starter Clay Holmes. Seattle ranks second in wOBA on the highway this season, and Holmes has posted a 5.79 ERA, 1.65 WHIP across his past seven starts. He topped out at just 70 innings as a reliever in 2021 and is up to 126 already across his 24 starts this season. Additionally, Seattle is countering with rolling righty George Kirby, and he’s trending in the exact opposite direction with a tidy 2.83 ERA, 0.98 WHIP and 3.06 xFIP across 13 starts since the calendar flipped to June.

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Strikeouts Thrown

Clay Holmes o4.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+125)

Best Odds

o4.5 +130

Pick made: 40 minutes ago

o4.5 +130

o4.5 +126

o4.5 +120

o4.5 +125

Clay Holmes’ sinker has produced the highest K rate of any of his pitches, and there are six players in the Mariners lineup with an above-average strikeout rate against such pitches.

Total Bases

Juan Soto o1.5 Total Bases (+125)

Best Odds

o1.5 +140

Pick made: an hour ago

o1.5 +110

o1.5 +140

o1.5 +130

o1.5 +115

Juan Soto will have some situational advantages against Mariners hurler George Kirby, who sees elevated hitting numbers when facing a platoon disadvantage. In addition, he’ll also have a nice breeze blowing out to LF – his preferred pull-side position. The pitching arsenal should suit him well, too.

Total Bases

Cal Raleigh o1.5 Total Bases (+110)

Best Odds

o1.5 +115

Pick made: 44 minutes ago

o1.5 +100

o1.5 +115

o1.5 +110

Clay Holmes owns a hard-hit rate in the bottom 35% of baseball – what player is more suited to attack that than Cal Raleigh, especially with wind blowing out to LF? My projections indicated a fair price for this prop around -110, and I’d play it to that.

Total RBIs

Francisco Lindor o0.5 Total RBIs (+230)

Projection 0.5 (Over)

Best Odds

o0.5 +230

Pick made: 2 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +195

o0.5 +230

o0.5 +200

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Lindor in the 93rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.. Francisco Lindor is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this matchup.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 6th-best of the day for batters.. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Francisco Lindor will hold that advantage in today's game.. Checking in at the 82nd percentile for power, Francisco Lindor has averaged 27.3 homers per 600 plate appearances this year.

+230 at BetMGM

Total RBIs

Juan Soto o0.5 Total RBIs (+185)

Projection 0.6 (Over)

Best Odds

o0.5 +185

Pick made: 2 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +170

o0.5 +185

o0.5 +175

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Juan Soto ranks as the 3rd-best batter in the majors.. Juan Soto is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 6th-best of the day for batters.. Batting from the opposite that George Kirby throws from, Juan Soto will have an edge today.. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Juan Soto will hold that advantage in today's game.

+185 at BetMGM

Total RBIs

Pete Alonso o0.5 Total RBIs (+145)

Projection 0.7 (Over)

Best Odds

o0.5 +145

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +145

o0.5 +140

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Pete Alonso ranks as the 17th-best batter in MLB.. Pete Alonso is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 6th-best of the day for batters.. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Pete Alonso will hold that advantage in today's game.. In terms of power, Pete Alonso has performed in the 89th percentile, having averaged 31.6 dingers per 600 plate appearances this year.

+145 at DraftKings

Total RBIs

Dominic Canzone o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)

Projection 0.5 (Over)

Best Odds

o0.5 +225

Pick made: 1 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +225

o0.5 +210

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 6th-best of the day for batters.. Dominic Canzone will have the handedness advantage over Clay Holmes in today's game.. Among every team playing today, the 2nd-worst infield defense is that of the the New York Mets.. Ranking in the 76th percentile for power, Dominic Canzone has averaged 21.4 HRs per 600 plate appearances this year.

+225 at DraftKings

Total RBIs

Jorge Polanco o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)

Projection 0.5 (Over)

Best Odds

o0.5 +210

Pick made: 1 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +210

o0.5 +195

o0.5 +200

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 6th-best of the day for batters.. Extreme flyball bats like Jorge Polanco generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Clay Holmes.. Among every team playing today, the 2nd-worst infield defense is that of the the New York Mets.. Placing in the 83rd percentile for power, Jorge Polanco has hit 28 home runs per 600 plate appearances this year.

+210 at DraftKings

Total RBIs

Cal Raleigh o0.5 Total RBIs (+125)

Projection 0.7 (Over)

Best Odds

Pick made: 1 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +125

o0.5 +130

Cal Raleigh projects as the 5th-best home run hitter in the game, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Cal Raleigh is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 6th-best of the day for batters.. Extreme flyball bats like Cal Raleigh generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Clay Holmes.. Among every team playing today, the 2nd-worst infield defense is that of the the New York Mets.

+135 at DraftKings

Total RBIs

Julio Rodriguez o0.5 Total RBIs (+135)

Projection 0.7 (Over)

Best Odds

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

As it relates to his BABIP skill, Julio Rodriguez is projected as the 3rd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Julio Rodriguez is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 6th-best of the day for batters.. Among every team playing today, the 2nd-worst infield defense is that of the the New York Mets.. Julio Rodriguez has hit 26.8 long-balls per 600 plate appearances this year, checking in at the 81st percentile for power.

+135 at DraftKings

Outs Recorded

George Kirby u17.5 Outs Recorded (+130)

Projection 16.7 (Under)

Best Odds

u17.5 +130

Pick made: 28 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

u17.5 +130

u17.5 +128

u17.5 +115

u17.5 +125

The New York Mets projected offense ranks as the 3rd-strongest of all teams on the slate in terms of overall batting skill.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 6th-best of the day for batters.. With 6 hitters who bat from the opposite side in the opposing team's projected offense, George Kirby will have a disadvantage while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances today.. George Kirby will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.. In his previous GS, George Kirby allowed a colossal 5 earned runs.

+130 at DraftKings

Total Bases

Juan Soto o1.5 Total Bases (+140)

Projection 1.9 (Over)

Best Odds

o1.5 +140

Pick made: 9 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +110

o1.5 +140

o1.5 +130

o1.5 +115

+140 at bet365

Total Bases

Pete Alonso o1.5 Total Bases (+145)

Projection 1.8 (Over)

Best Odds

o1.5 +145

Pick made: 2 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +120

o1.5 +145

o1.5 +135

o1.5 +130

+145 at bet365

Consensus Picks

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There are no Consensus Picks for this match up at the moment. Visit our Consensus page to see all Consensus picks.

Top User Picks

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Total

'jr5601' picks Seattle vs NY Mets to go Over (8.0)

jr5601 is #1 on picking games that Seattle is in with a record of (53-52-2) and +14845 units on the season.

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'jr5601' picks NY Mets at (109)

jr5601 is #1 on picking games that Seattle is in with a record of (53-52-2) and +14845 units on the season.

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SEA

NYM

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'nikkosports' picks Seattle vs NY Mets to go Under (8.5)

nikkosports is #10 on picking games that NY Mets are in with a record of (17-5-0) and +11065 units on the season.

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'bctwitty' picks Seattle at (-121)

bctwitty is #10 on picking games that Seattle is in with a record of (17-7-3) and +10440 units on the season.

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SEA

NYM

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'texvette' picks NY Mets at (108)

texvette is #2 on picking games that NY Mets are in with a record of (15-10-2) and +14470 units on the season.

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SEA

NYM

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'billdo' picks Seattle vs NY Mets to go Under (8.5)

billdo is #3 on picking games that NY Mets are in with a record of (31-21-3) and +13685 units on the season.

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'billdo' picks NY Mets at (111)

billdo is #3 on picking games that NY Mets are in with a record of (31-21-3) and +13685 units on the season.

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SEA

NYM

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'cloverboy' picks Seattle vs NY Mets to go Under (8.0)

cloverboy is #4 on picking games that Seattle is in with a record of (67-46-7) and +11931 units on the season.

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'cloverboy' picks NY Mets at (111)

cloverboy is #4 on picking games that Seattle is in with a record of (67-46-7) and +11931 units on the season.

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SEA

NYM

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'OMREBEL02' picks Seattle vs NY Mets to go Under (8.5)

OMREBEL02 is #4 on picking games that NY Mets are in with a record of (46-47-3) and +13525 units on the season.

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'OMREBEL02' picks NY Mets at (109)

OMREBEL02 is #4 on picking games that NY Mets are in with a record of (46-47-3) and +13525 units on the season.

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SEA

NYM

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'nextclique' picks Seattle vs NY Mets to go Under (8.0)

nextclique is #5 on picking games that NY Mets are in with a record of (62-39-3) and +13230 units on the season.

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'nextclique' picks NY Mets at (107)

nextclique is #5 on picking games that NY Mets are in with a record of (62-39-3) and +13230 units on the season.

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SEA

NYM

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'mattfuq' picks Seattle vs NY Mets to go Over (8.5)

mattfuq is #5 on picking games that Seattle is in with a record of (51-28-5) and +11525 units on the season.

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'mattfuq' picks Seattle at (-118)

mattfuq is #5 on picking games that Seattle is in with a record of (51-28-5) and +11525 units on the season.

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SEA

NYM

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'PaPe454' picks NY Mets at (108)

PaPe454 is #6 on picking games that Seattle is in with a record of (59-50-4) and +10909 units on the season.

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SEA

NYM

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'PaPe454' picks Seattle vs NY Mets to go Over (8.0)

PaPe454 is #6 on picking games that Seattle is in with a record of (59-50-4) and +10909 units on the season.

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'mikeg1827' picks NY Mets at (110)

mikeg1827 is #7 on picking games that Seattle is in with a record of (0-0-0) and +10795 units on the season.

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SEA

NYM

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'CJONES1068' picks Seattle vs NY Mets to go Under (8.5)

CJONES1068 is #8 on picking games that NY Mets are in with a record of (63-45-6) and +11970 units on the season.

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'CJONES1068' picks NY Mets at (112)

CJONES1068 is #8 on picking games that NY Mets are in with a record of (63-45-6) and +11970 units on the season.

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SEA

NYM

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'madbasque' picks Seattle at (-122)

madbasque is #9 on picking games that NY Mets are in with a record of (33-25-3) and +11190 units on the season.

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SEA

NYM

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'madbasque' picks Seattle vs NY Mets to go Over (8.0)

madbasque is #9 on picking games that NY Mets are in with a record of (33-25-3) and +11190 units on the season.

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'Brozo' picks NY Mets at (109)

Brozo is #9 on picking games that Seattle is in with a record of (0-0-0) and +10535 units on the season.

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SEA

NYM

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