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Author: [Systems & Strategies] Topic: MLB SERIES CHASE SYSTEM
WINNERZZZ
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#1
Posted: 7/23/2012 11:21:36 PM
Try'n this out here.......I know there's a ton of other chase systems on here, so I might as well get into the mix. Been look'n at this for awhile and it seems to be winning more than losing which is the goal right? Basically it's based off current stats of my choice which makes certain teams qualify for a series chase. I'm looking for the team I choose for a series to win just "one" game in the series to make our goal. Each series the goal is to win 1 unit when it's all said and done. Sometimes it will end after the first game and sometimes it will take the last game of the series to make the 1 unit profit. So, if our team loses game 1 and they were a -120 favorite...you will chase game 2 making back the -120 lost + the goal of 1 unit per series. So, Game 2 would be to WIN 2.2 units no matter what the line is. If we win then we get back our 1.2 units lost and we make our 1 unit of profit. Make sense? I'm sure many have done this before...I know I've seen it. Anyway, let's give this a try........I know today's games are pretty much over, but am going to list what would have been plays and then continue forward from today.........
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#2
Posted: 7/23/2012 11:27:40 PM
Monday July 23rd:


TWINS +120 GAME 1 to win 1 unit
ROYALS +200 GAME 1 to win 1 unit
PIRATES -150 GAME 1 to win 1 unit
BREWERS +190 GAME 1 to win 1 unit
MARLINS -120 GAME 1 to win 1 unit
NATS -130 GAME 1 to win 1 unit
REDS -150 GAME 1 to win 1 unit
CARDS -145 GAME 1 to win 1 unit
D'BACKS -210 GAME 1 to win 1 unit
PADRES +150 GAME 1 to win 1 unit




quote
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#3
Posted: 7/24/2012 7:36:02 AM
Game 1 winners with MARLINS, NATS, REDS and D'BACKS. So, those series are done. We move on to Game 2 with the rest......two new series start today with the Orioles and Tigers as qualified teams. 


ORIOLES -124 GAME 1 to win 1 unit
TIGERS -119 GAME 1 to win 1 unit

TWINS +156 GAME 2 
ROYALS +155 GAME 2 
BREWERS +122 GAME 2
PIRATES -161 GAME 2 
CARDS -127 GAME 2 
PADRES +160 GAME 2 



Will update record with exact +/- numbers at the end of these series......
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#4
Posted: 7/24/2012 7:37:35 AM
Plays above are for Tuesday July 24th......


One thing I don't like about this forum is you can't "edit" your posts....unless I'm missing something. Kinda frustrating. 



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#5
Posted: 7/25/2012 8:04:46 AM
Game 2 winners with the CARDS and ROYALS.......


Wednesday July 25th


TWINS+200 Game 3
ORIOLES +124 Game 2 
TIGERS -132 Game 2
PIRATES -116 Game 3
BREWERS +124 Game 3
PADRES +172 Game 3

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#6
Posted: 7/25/2012 11:59:15 PM
Game 3 winners with the Pirates and Padres! Game 2 winner with the Tigers, so that series is done. 

We had Game 3 losers with the Twins and Brewers, so we lost those series. Both were fairly decent size dogs in all 3 games, so the units lost were not significant. 

So far, the record is 9-2 with Game 3 on the Orioles pending for Thursday.......hoping the O's can get it done to bring the record to 10-2! Will update "exact" units won/lost with the upcoming series plays.....
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#7
Posted: 7/26/2012 12:02:27 AM
Looking back at the first experiment of series plays.....I'm cutting out teams who have below a .500 record. No longer will I play any team who has a losing overall record. Doing this the record would have been 5-0 with the Orioles Game 3 pending.......... 
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#8
Posted: 7/26/2012 12:24:36 AM
Ok.....not going to completely cut out teams who are below .500. If they are playing decent ball and are 5-5 or better their L/10 games they will qualify to hopefully not get swept!! 

I know all of this sounds confusing, but this will make $$$$!!! 
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#9
Posted: 7/26/2012 7:19:45 AM
Thursday July 26th


ORIOLES -102 GAME 3


Two new series start today.........


NATS +115 GAME 1 (0.87 to win 1.00)
D'BACKS -166 GAME 1 (1.66 to win 1.00)
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JEFFTHEHAT
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#10
Posted: 7/26/2012 11:02:24 AM
WITH THE 2 SERIES LOSES RECORED YESTERDAY EVEN THOUGH YOU ARE 10-2 AT BEST YOU ARE BREAKING EVEN
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#11
Posted: 7/26/2012 10:40:09 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by JEFFTHEHAT:

WITH THE 2 SERIES LOSES RECORED YESTERDAY EVEN THOUGH YOU ARE 10-2 AT BEST YOU ARE BREAKING EVEN

Exactly why I made the adjustments stated above. With the Orioles winning brings the chase record to 6-0 using the "new" format. I explained what that is above.....this will help filter out the bad teams. Will be using this format going forward. So, the first set of series for this system had wins with the Pirates, Nats, Reds, Cards, DBacks and Padres! Even though SD has an under .500 record they were playing decent ball going into the SF series at 7-3 L/10 games which had them qualify as a series chase team vs. SF! Hope that makes sense.......
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#12
Posted: 7/27/2012 7:24:56 AM
Game 3 winner with the Orioles moves the chase record to 6-0 using the new format!!! 

Game 1 winner with the Nats closes that series.....Game 1 loser with the DBacks moves on to Game 2. 

New series start today for the weekend as follows........forgot to mention that all plays are "ACTION" for pitching. 


Friday July 27th:


DBACKS -136 Game 2 (3.61 to win 2.66)

YANKEES -167 Game 1 (1.67 to win 1.00)
A'S -104 Game 1 (1.04 to win 1.00)
INDIANS +107 Game 1 (0.93 to win 1.00)
CARDS -163 Game 1 (1.63 to win 1.00)
REDS -114 Game 1 (1.14 to win 1.00)
GIANTS Game 1 (No line as of now...will update) 
quote
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#13
Posted: 7/27/2012 7:28:57 AM
Will update the record after each set of series are done.........
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#14
Posted: 7/27/2012 10:23:31 PM
For the record I got the GIANTS -182.........


CARDS get the win in the afternoon match up to end that series and another +1 unit net gain!! 

Will update everything tonight when the last game has ended.....so far, this system is 7-0!! 
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#15
Posted: 7/28/2012 11:50:51 AM
CHASE SYSTEM YTD RECORD: 12-0 +12.00 UNITS 


Game 2 winner with the DBacks to close that series!! 

Game 1 winners with the Yankees, A's, Cards and Reds to close those series out!! 

We move on to Game 2 with the Indians and Giants today.....


Saturday July 28th:


INDIANS -124 Game 2 (2.39 to win 1.93)
GIANTS +100 Game 2 (2.82 to win 2.82) 
quote
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#16
Posted: 7/28/2012 11:52:06 AM
Can't edit the posts......YTD record is 11-0....not 12-0. I counted STL twice on accident....my bad. 
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#17
Posted: 7/28/2012 12:26:22 PM
Ok......I can't read right. The official record of this chase system so far is 14-0 +14.00 UNITS with the "new" format!! 

The first set of series we had +1 unit series wins with the Pirates, Nats, Reds, Cards, DBacks, Padres, Orioles and Tigers! 

Then the second series of games started and so far we have +1 unit series winners with the Nats, DBacks, Yankees, A's, Cards and Reds! 

Makes it 14-0!!! 
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#18
Posted: 7/29/2012 2:28:09 AM
Ok.....Giants and Indians both making things difficult by stretching their series out to Game 3 each. This is it for them!!! Banking on them NOT to get swept!! 


GIANTS +107 Game 3 (5.27 to win 5.64)


Indians/Twins is off the board at this time due to a pitching change by the Twins. Will update soon as I get a line on the game. 
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#19
Posted: 7/29/2012 11:53:09 AM
I got..........


INDIANS +104 Game 3 (4.14 to win 4.32)
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#20
Posted: 7/29/2012 8:08:21 PM
Indians and Giants both lose Game 3 of their series.....


Going to ride this for awhile longer filtering out a few more things......we'll see how it goes. It takes trial and error to find success sometimes. I feel strongly this will work if I can filter out a couple more things and narrow down the series plays. Would love to narrow it down to 1-4 series a week to play and up the unit amount. 


YTD chase record: 14-2 -3.38 units 
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#21
Posted: 7/30/2012 12:48:40 AM
Did a couple more filters to narrow down the series plays.......Look'n to get back on track with this!!! There will be less series coming up now as plays, so I'm raising each series bets to "win" 2 units now!! This is the creme of the crop that come up...not sure I can filter anything else out after this.

YTD 14-2 -3.38 units


Monday July 30th


ANGELS +135 Game 1 (1.48 to win 2.00)
BRAVES -146 Game 1 (2.92 to win 2.00)
  
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#22
Posted: 7/30/2012 10:52:04 PM
Back on track!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! 

ANGELS Game 1 WINNER!! 
BRAVES Game 1 WINNER!! 


YTD: 16-2 +0.62 units 



Back later if any of the 3 remaining series starting Tuesday qualify.......if nothing will be back on Thursday with any new series plays. 
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#23
Posted: 7/30/2012 11:04:11 PM
Two more series teams qualify starting Tuesday.........


Tuesday July 31st


NATS -140 Game 1 (2.80 to win 2.00)
CARDS -137 Game 1 (2.74 to win 2.00)



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#24
Posted: 8/1/2012 11:05:10 PM
Internet's been down.........

Had a Game 1 winner with the Cards on Tuesday to close that series!!

Nats lost Game 1, so we moved on to Game 2 Wednesday.....


NATS -134 Game 2 (6.43 to win 4.80) 
quote
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#25
Posted: 8/1/2012 11:23:51 PM
YTD: 17-2 +2.62 


Game 2 loser with the Nats.........so, we move on to Game 3 on Thursday. Could they get swept?? Hope not! 


Thursday Aug. 2nd 

NATS +105 (9.52 to win 11.23)
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