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[Systems & Strategies] Topic: 2012 Opening Game Favorite |
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therizz |
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#1 Posted: 4/1/2012 1:55:52 PM
2011
http://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=79&sub=101020098
2010
http://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=79&sub=100726693
System is pretty simple. Look for a home team starting a 3 game or more series opening as a favorite of -145 or higher in the first game and chase for up to 3 games for a win. This thread will use an aggressive labouchere money management system with separate lines for AL and NL.
If the first game of the series also have the over/under set at 9 runs or higher the series have a higher rate of success (about 98% historically). I am probably going to double up on these this year. I will do my very best to post the plays and the amounts every night but have a very demanding work schedule that precludes me from doing this all the time. Those that know the system and money management often help out to make sure we don't miss the plays. This is a marathon and not a sprint. The dogs usually bite at the beginning of the season, there will be some inexplicable losses, etc. The only hope is that we are making money by seasons end.
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therizz |
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#2 Posted: 4/1/2012 2:04:22 PM
Interleague series are only played if they meet the over under filter for game 1
SEASON RECORD: 0-0
AL: 0-0 (G1:0, G2: 0, G3:0)
NL: 0-0 (G1:0, G2: 0, G3:0)
O/U Filter (G1:0, G2: 0, G3:0)
Series Game Time Line o/u towin
Ser #1 (G1) Pending
Labby Lines
AL: NL:
10-10 10-10
10-10 10-10
10-10 10-10
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xgame |
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#3 Posted: 4/1/2012 3:16:41 PM |
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bettor2win |
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#4 Posted: 4/1/2012 3:47:59 PM  |
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robbypark |
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#5 Posted: 4/1/2012 9:11:50 PM 
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airattackers |
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#6 Posted: 4/2/2012 1:38:40 AM |
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metsrinsane05 |
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#7 Posted: 4/3/2012 6:14:24 PM |
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therizz |
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#8 Posted: 4/3/2012 6:39:41 PM thanks guys
Yes, I will post the plays here and amounts to win based on the labby lines
Season should start thursday |
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#9 Posted: 4/3/2012 7:11:16 PM |
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#10 Posted: 4/4/2012 2:10:31 AM
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Peters821 |
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#11 Posted: 4/4/2012 3:32:03 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by therizz: thanks guys
Yes, I will post the plays here and amounts to win based on the labby lines
Season should start thursday
What about Miami-169 on Wed
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Peters821 |
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#12 Posted: 4/4/2012 3:59:23 PM
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therizz |
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#13 Posted: 4/4/2012 6:07:09 PM SEASON RECORD: 0-0
AL: 0-0 (G1:0, G2: 0, G3:0)
NL: 0-0 (G1:0, G2: 0, G3:0)
O/U Filter (G1:0, G2: 0, G3:0)
Series Game Time Line o/u towin
Ser #1 (G1) 1:00 bos @ DET -145 7 1U
Ser #2 (G1) 4:00 mia @ CIN -150 7.5 1U
Labby Lines
AL: NL:
15-15 15-15
15-15 15-15
15-15 15-15
Base 1U = 30
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xgame |
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#14 Posted: 4/4/2012 10:20:28 PM |
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#15 Posted: 4/4/2012 10:20:45 PM
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metsrinsane05 |
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#16 Posted: 4/5/2012 12:09:01 AM |
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HockeyTeeth |
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#17 Posted: 4/5/2012 12:15:03 AM |
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#18 Posted: 4/5/2012 12:30:05 AM |
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Tdawg07 |
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#19 Posted: 4/5/2012 12:35:10 PM
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therizz |
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#20 Posted: 4/5/2012 8:01:06 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by Tdawg07:
So Rizz , basically bet on a home team starting a three game or more series if their -145 or higher... i get that but what about the over/under u said if its 9 or higher... do u bet the over or the under if its 9 or higher?
The teams are selected as you mentioned. The over/under filter applies to the over/under set for the first game of the series as well. These series that have a o/u set at 9 or higher hit at a higher percentage than the other series, historically 98% or so. I generally play more money on these series. Some people will choose to only play those series and skip the others. To each their own
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therizz |
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#21 Posted: 4/5/2012 8:02:38 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by metsrinsane05:
what does 15-15 mean? btw i will be using the system but only with the 9 run filter, along with B2Ws system... u guys r the best
These are my labouchere lines. My base unit is for 30.
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Peters821 |
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#22 Posted: 4/5/2012 8:25:39 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by Tdawg07:
So Rizz , basically bet on a home team starting a three game or more series if their -145 or higher... i get that but what about the over/under u said if its 9 or higher... do u bet the over or the under if its 9 or higher?
From my understanding, it doesn't matter home or away. Am i wrong?
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therizz |
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#23 Posted: 4/5/2012 8:32:23 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by Peters821:
From my understanding, it doesn't matter home or away. Am i wrong?
Only play on home teams now. used to play both but changed it last season.
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therizz |
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#24 Posted: 4/5/2012 8:35:59 PM Plays for 4/5
SEASON RECORD: 2-0 +2U
AL: 1-0 (G1:1, G2: 0, G3:0)
NL: 1-0 (G1:1, G2: 0, G3:0)
O/U Filter (G1:0, G2: 0, G3:0)
Series Game Time Line o/u towin
Ser #1 (G1) 1:00 bos @ DET -145 7 1U 
Ser #2 (G1) 4:00 mia @ CIN -150 7.5 1U
Labby Lines
AL: NL:
x-x +30 x-x +30
15-15 15-15
15-15 15-15
Base 1U = 30 |
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therizz |
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#25 Posted: 4/5/2012 8:49:51 PM Plays for 4/6
SEASON RECORD: 2-0 +2U
AL: 1-0 (G1:1, G2: 0, G3:0)
NL: 1-0 (G1:1, G2: 0, G3:0)
O/U Filter (G1:0, G2: 0, G3:0)
Series Game Time Line o/u towin
*Ser #3 (G1) 2:00 cws @ TEX -170 9.5 1U
Ser #4 (G1) 10:00 kc @ LAA -198 7.5 1U
Labby Lines
AL: NL:
15-15 15-15
15-15 15-15
15-15 15-15
Base 1U = 30 |
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