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Author: [Pro Football] Topic: New England at Cincinnati (10/06/2013)
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#1
Posted: 9/29/2013 8:36:09 AM

Away:  New England [2-2 ATS]
Home:  Cincinnati [2-1-1 ATS]

Game Time: 1:00 PM
Stadium: Paul Brown Stadium

Recent Meetings:
N/A

Team Leaders:

New England:
Passing: Tom Brady (1014)
Rushing: Stevan Ridley (174)
Receiving: Julian Edelman (319)

Cincinnati:
Passing: Andy Dalton (1003)
Rushing: Giovani Bernard (147)
Receiving: A.J. Green (300)

More:
Live Odds
In-Depth Matchup Information
Consensus Betting Information

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#2
Posted: 10/1/2013 11:14:08 AM
Cinci 
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md617
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#3
Posted: 10/1/2013 12:42:05 PM

NE all day....

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#4
Posted: 10/1/2013 1:10:18 PM

No Vince Wilfork. I think draws, delays and screens to Gio all day might eat up the pats. Then again they might be getting amendola and gronk back so we will wait and see

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#5
Posted: 10/1/2013 3:45:48 PM
must win for cincy. different Bengals squad that Brady has usually  walked all over in years past. I think defense will give Brady fits. NE recievers won't have it easy like they did against a woeful Falcon secondary. AJ Green against Talib.. one of the better games/matchups to see on sunday. Seems like half the time Dalton is one turnover away from losing a game but at -1...early lean..Bengals..
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#6
Posted: 10/1/2013 4:56:07 PM
Bengals win when AJ Green goes off and has huge games. I think Talib is going to be the factor in this one. I think he can cover AJ- seeing as he shut down Roddy White and Julio Jones.

Plus would I side with Brady or Ginger Dalton?

Have to go with Brady 

Taking Pats +1 

GL
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#7
Posted: 10/1/2013 5:32:16 PM

Pats back on track?? Cinci at home???

ehhhhhhhhhhhhhh, I don't know, I don't know...................

it's a tease game for me, you know what bookies -1 means -- close game, last possession, etc., why put yourself through that?

Tease it either way and pop some popcorn, and enjoy your $$$$$

Good Luck All!!!!!!!!!

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sarava
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#8
Posted: 10/1/2013 9:25:19 PM
will make it simple,  pats arnt what they used to be, bengals confident at home, bengals su.
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#9
Posted: 10/2/2013 9:00:17 AM
pats just beat the falcons in atlanta and now are dogs to the fuckin bengals, am i taking crazy pills?
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#10
Posted: 10/2/2013 5:55:41 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by Django:

pats just beat the falcons in atlanta and now are dogs to the fuckin bengals, am i taking crazy pills?

'NUFF SAID! (Although not very eloquent!)

NEW ENGLAND  +  1

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#11
Posted: 10/2/2013 7:33:04 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by sarava:

will make it simple,  pats arnt what they used to be

I'll give you that, but then you have to ask yourself - are the Bungles what they've been hyped up to be??? Seems to me somebody's 4-0 and somebody's 2-2 and that 2-2 team lost to the depleted Browns for God's sake!!!!!! Knowing that, are you willing to risk it all with the line at -1???

I'm not willing to take a chance on either team - that's why I think the tease is the play (either way) - - but you do what you want, and, as always, good luck.....

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#12
Posted: 10/3/2013 3:10:25 AM
Not too fond of the bengals but I think the bengals D will find a way to get to brady. I look for james harrison to get thru and the run game to set up the play action.vince wilfork was a beast. If marv lewis plays it smart he will look for tht mismatch via the run game. 

Bengals -1..
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#13
Posted: 10/3/2013 9:03:36 AM
NO WILFORK... the guy is an absolute monster against the run and IMO is the 2nd most valuable player on that team after brady. His absence completely changed my pick from NE to Cincy. He really is that important to that team. Expect Cincy to run the ball now with a lot of success and be able to open up their entire playbook. The over looks good too.
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#14
Posted: 10/3/2013 5:35:35 PM
Before taking a side here, pay attention to the injury report on Sunday morning. Dre Kirkpatrick, Leon Hall, and Reggie Nelson (3/4s of Cincys secondary) are all listed as questionable and were inactive last week vs the browns. That's a big deal when you're playing against Tom Brady.
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#15
Posted: 10/3/2013 6:04:51 PM
weather?

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#16
Posted: 10/4/2013 4:28:35 AM
Surprised that Pats aren't the -1 favorites. I wouldn't be shocked if the line goes that way come Sunday

Didn't realize some of the Bengals secondary didn't play last week, and are banged up. That info might make me reconsider my early lean on Cincy, but that's not the main concern. 

Question is: Can the Bengals defense put pressure on Brady?

My feeling so far is that they wont. With only 9 sacks in 4 games compared to the 15 sacks they had around this time last season, seems like Bengals D hasnt been dominant. If they can't put pressure, Brady will have a field day throwing the ball... And with possibility of Gronk coming back??How can u not see Pats losing this??! 

Wilfork's prescence definitely will be missed but can Bengals underwhelming run offense take advantage? they didn't run the ball taht well against GreenBay which ranks in bottom half of run defense.

Early lean now on Patriots.. but in the back of my mind Cincy all of a sudden plays with a sense of urgency and makes it tough on Brady like Bills did in week 1. 

May just have to rely on the trend, roll the die and count my lucky stars if I can't make up my mind. 
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#17
Posted: 10/4/2013 1:02:35 PM
Exact same situation as SEA/INDY.  GREAT vs IMPROVING...but not proven.  Reasonable to assume coaching & experience will outshine the unproven.

...but who knows.  It is the NFL.
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#18
Posted: 10/4/2013 1:10:27 PM

Brady > Dalton

Belicheck > Lewis


The Bungles have had LOTS of hype coming into this season and somehow "Bungled" their way out of a couple wins. Then had the Packers pull a "Bungle" and hand them a game or they'd be sitting 1-3 with their only win coming against a bad Pittsburgh squad.

I'll take the 4-0 team minus Wilfork over Marvin Lewis and crew any day of the week.

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#19
Posted: 10/4/2013 3:13:50 PM

anyone else think this game is a under? Im thinking the winning team 17-10 or 13?

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#20
Posted: 10/4/2013 3:28:53 PM
  • Patriots are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games in Week 5.
  • Patriots are 21-7-1 ATS in their last 29 games in October.
  • Patriots are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games on fieldturf.
  • Patriots are 64-28-2 ATS in their last 94 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
  • Patriots are 15-7 ATS in their last 22 road games.
  • PATS in a PK EM

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    #21
    Posted: 10/4/2013 7:49:51 PM
    I like the Patriots  here.  This should be easier than the  Atlanta game.   Somebody mentioned the under, I agree,  Cincy offense not impressive at all.   

    13-27 Pats  
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    #22
    Posted: 10/4/2013 8:42:42 PM
    It is supposed to rain heavy all day. Leaning under.
    Posted using a mobile device.
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    #23
    Posted: 10/5/2013 12:14:24 AM
    Pats 
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    MongT33
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    #24
    Posted: 10/5/2013 1:29:13 AM
    i like Cin here. This is a trrick bet....Cin by 4...

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    #25
    Posted: 10/5/2013 8:26:07 AM
    QUOTE Originally Posted by MongT33:

    i like Cin here. This is a trrick bet....Cin by 4...



    I agree Prospect...

    I hate investing in underachieving Dalton (I still say Cincinnati should have taken Ryan Mallet that year versus Dalton) and Marvin Lewis who will never get it done.  However, this line tells me Cincinnati is the play hereā€¦  With that said, put me down for Cincinnati ML (+100) for three (3) C-Notes please.  Thanks! 


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