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Author: [Pro Football] Topic: Minnesota at Green Bay (01/05/2013)
zzziggy send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: 5Dimes |
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#26
Posted: 1/3/2013 3:22:47 PM

But let's get this back to the Vikings vs. Packers game...I think in my first post I might have been overly skeptical of the packers after overratcting from week 17. I think Minnesota has posed big problems to GB running defense by posting 200+ yards in both games this year. I do think Minnesota has some other match up advantages on the field, mostly at the line play. I'm just taking GB beacause like some of the members of the site have reminded me, it is Ponder vs. Rogers when it comes down to it....

 

 

Staying with my GB, but close pick. 10 or 11 pts

 

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#27
Posted: 1/3/2013 4:24:30 PM

Taking the Packers and laying the points.

Pack are tough at home,and should cover this one.

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#28
Posted: 1/3/2013 5:26:37 PM
GB have numerous injuries on key players, Cobb,Green, Nelson.....and still give more than a touchdown spread, not to mention that they had just lost to Min. last week.
Grant it that Peterson is not 100%, but he's playing on Sat.

For me it's GB - just about any numbers below 10

GLTA
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#29
Posted: 1/4/2013 2:16:15 AM
give the ball to ponder and the vikes lose by 20. give it to allday and its only 10. no way do the vikings beat the pack twice in a row. i am a packer fan for a long time. even before favre. rogers and company take the vikes behind the woodshed from the start to the finish. packers 34 vikes 21.  best of luck to all.
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#30
Posted: 1/4/2013 3:20:09 AM

 

Liking a 7 pt teaser min +16.5 , wash +10 cinci +11.5 &  Indy + 14

 

BOL!!!

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#31
Posted: 1/4/2013 6:07:59 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by zzziggy:

Once again, I'll be playing Denver throughout the playoffs, I don't care where the rest of the gamblers on this forum place their money, but  please call me a tool when Manning is hoisting the Lombardi, thanks!

Now this is truly wishful thinking for the so called great Manning! Manning all year has only beaten one team all season that has a winning record over .500! And that team was the depleted and scrubby @$$ Ravens. Other than that he has loss to the Texans, Falcons, and the Patriots. If Manning and the broncos want to even smell the Super Bowl they have to get past the Patriots which throughout the years he struggles to do!

Say goodbye to your hard earn scripts!

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#32
Posted: 1/4/2013 6:10:03 AM
Early lean on G. Bay
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#33
Posted: 1/4/2013 12:36:31 PM
Hello all! I suppose its time to throw my hat in this "handicapping" arena. I have been lurking in the shadows throughout the season reading these comments trying to determine who knows their garbage and have come to the conclusion that I can guess too! So here it goes....

In this game I dont see how the Packers can hold AP in check, he is averaging what, 200 yards a game against them this year? Vikings clearly have the advantage on both sides of the ball in overall line play. I feel that will be the deciding factor in this game when it comes to the spread. Will the Packers win?? Yeah probably. Will they cover a 7-10 point spread? Highly unlikely. This game comes down to a field goal imo. A lot is said of R Lewis coming back and how his team will play for him, what about Jared Allen? He has been a great player on a shitty team for a long time. I think he comes up HUGE for them this weekend, and his teammates rally around him for 3-5 sacks as a whole. I'm putting my money on Minnesota to cover anything over 7, hell they might sneak outa there with a outright win!
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#34
Posted: 1/4/2013 2:02:52 PM
I don't give my opinion much either but what I hear most is that Peterson will win it or keep it close for Minnesota. When a offense is one dimensional you're putting a lot of your hope on one player. I promise you AP will take a lot of punishment in this game. If he's carted off the field in the 1st quarter what then? Green Bay plays the injured player roulette every year and somehow plugs the holes and moves on (last years loss to NY was an anomaly and the ONLY time Rodgers had a home playoff game so it means nothing). I can't put all my eggs in one AP basket, it's Green Bay or no play for me.
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#35
Posted: 1/4/2013 4:20:08 PM
Good point JinnRikki, I agree AP is the heart and soul of that team.If any one players preformance effects the outcome of this game then its him, even more so than Rodgers. That being said Rodgers is that guy for his team, what if he gets blindside blasted by Allen and leaves the game? Imo Minn still has a good d-line and o-line and would be in good shape regardless(so long as its not too early when he is injured haha) GB loses Rodgers its over for sure, even with a lead in the game. I'm going to lean on Allen and the d-line as much as I do on AP in picking this game. Idk, call me crazy but I think GB is very very overrated and will crumble at the slightest sign of adversity. The Vikings just want it more. GB expects it and the Vikings WANT it. This may be the game I lose though looking back I got all road teams winning this weekend haha That cant be right...right?
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#36
Posted: 1/4/2013 4:51:03 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by vue21849:

I see the Pack advancing, but this spread is ridiculous. I will give Green Bay the benefit of the doubt, and say a win by 7. Quad has been a top capper all year round, and EWillie is one of the best each season, when the playoffs come around. Always comforting to share the same opinion with them.

MINNESOTA  + 9.5

I'm with Vue on this one and I don't really care where the public is either. I find it interesting how some people are talking about the weather being an advantage for GB bc minny is a dome team.  I really don't see it that way at all.  Minny is the more physical ground and pound team.  Green Bay is the finesse team.  What would you rather rely on in 15 degree weather?  Guys catching an Aaron Rodgers fastball? Or would you rather rely on guys tackling AD who runs like a wild horse who can't be tamed?  

What I'm trying to say is the frigid weather doesn't give GB a big edge, and for what it's worth might benefit the Vikings.  9 points is just too much in my opinion, and I also like the under.
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#37
Posted: 1/4/2013 6:55:06 PM
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#38
Posted: 1/4/2013 10:40:56 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by zzziggy:

But let's get this back to the Vikings vs. Packers game...I think in my first post I might have been overly skeptical of the packers after overratcting from week 17. I think Minnesota has posed big problems to GB running defense by posting 200+ yards in both games this year. I do think Minnesota has some other match up advantages on the field, mostly at the line play. I'm just taking GB beacause like some of the members of the site have reminded me, it is Ponder vs. Rogers when it comes down to it....

 

 

Staying with my GB, but close pick. 10 or 11 pts

 

I see you in these forums posting your superbowl pick.... I completely agree with your logic and I myself have put a few superbowl winners from the NFC and AFC mid-season when the odds were great.... but I plan to hedge....

I don't understand why your so sure that the Broncos are going to make it.... they still have to get passed the Ravens, Pats, Houston, ect.  2 of those teams they lost to during the season.... and they have NO running game..... although their defense is impressive....

 

Down to this game.... I really think the Packers will do a better job of Tackling Peterson.... (3rd time is a charm).... but because it is on grass so he'll be slightly slower lol.... it'll probably be cold as well so those dome teams aren't great outdoors even though it is freezing in Minn lol....

Rodgers seemed like he was able to score at ease last week vs. Minn defense.... I took the Pack last week and lost but I really think they will score at will and the Vikings won't be able to keep up..... the Packers defense stopped the Viking running game for negative yardage on 16 plays.... that very impressive even despite the 200 yard rushing that the Vikings had (rounding up).... 

 

10 points is a little to high so I havn't called anything in yet.... I may tease this with the Ravens but i'm a little gunshy to lay the 10.... division games are usally close off in the 3rd matchup....

 

anybody have any 3rd matchup trends? 

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#39
Posted: 1/4/2013 11:48:28 PM
Green Bay Packers -9
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#40
Posted: 1/5/2013 12:53:39 AM
Hey everyone, went 7-1 last week. Pack will cover easy, home, cold, Rodgers, Mathews, a healthy team back all equal win. Got it -7  good luck everyone. 
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#41
Posted: 1/5/2013 1:06:50 AM

Greenbay did not want to face the Giants in the playoffs and so by losing to Minny they avoided this possibility. IT was mentioned on this thread that somebody was at the game and is of  the same opinion that Greenbay wasnt really even trying to win and kept it real close. Now we have Greenbay at home in the cold cold elements where Ponder has sucked all year. His rating outisde this year is 70 passer rating. One dimensional wont work with just Peterson. Teasing this down large with Seattle.

Teasing down Greenbay  large. And parlaying greenbay moneyline with Seattle moneline.

 

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#42
Posted: 1/5/2013 2:02:33 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by ewillie169:

MIN +9.5 - the Packers may win in Lambeau, but the Vikes will cover.  Both played grueling schedules compared to their AFC counterparts. The majority of the bets are on the Vikings which gives me some pause, but I'll hop on too.  SCORE: Vikings 21-Packers 27
MIN/GB OVER 46



the early money was on the Vikes but now its all Packers with a 2 to 1 ticket ratio.  At least that is what is being reported.  With most of the money on the Packers I like the Vikes.
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#43
Posted: 1/5/2013 2:36:22 AM
omg yes 10 points is too much but come on people its green bay at home and the obvious play is GB at half they will be up and they will cover that 1st half spread take them $$$$$$$$ all the way!!!! very VERY good decision! and im really liking the under in these one! more defense!
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#44
Posted: 1/5/2013 4:57:35 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by zzziggy:

Being a big pack fan, I hate this matchup. If there was one team I would not want to play in the division it is Minnesota. Their specialty is running the ball, which is our weakness. GB CANNOT STOP THE RUN and B.J. RAJA is overrated. A.J. HAWK is the mlb and completely sucks as well. Those two players are the solo reason that the Packers get hammered on the ground each and every week. GB has NO LINE PLAY on either side of the ball. To be honest it is a two man team, CLAY MATHEWS has to do everything on defense, and RODGERS has to carry the offense, every play, every game. I think the Packers luck runs out, and I believe teams have figured out this GB team, that is overrated after everyone fell in love with them last year when they almost went undefeated. 

I hate to say this as a packer fan, but I see history repeating itself and us dropping our opening round playoff game in Lambeau..

But I'm a homer and will be betting GB as always.....Because Packer fans are the best fans in the world!!!

 WTF?!

1ST you totally contradict yourself after capping and realizing with your gut/head Vikings will not only cover but win outright and pick GB!!!!!

Then you state with your heart you're a homer and always bet your team GB!.........and cont' because Packer fans are the best fans in the world!

It's great you're proud of your team as I am as well, but it's irrelavent to the fact on who you pick.......infact, and this is free advice..... DO NOT BET YOUR TEAM ESPECIALLY JUST BECAUSE  YOU LOVE THEM!!!!!!

That's the first rule in sports betting! Bet with your HEAD not your HEART!!!!!

Go with your gut take Minny + 9.5 so you win your bet and your team wins the game ml.

It's a win/win!!!!! Enjoy some cash and your team going to the next round!!!!!!!! Worst case scenario you win money or your team wins or both!!!!!!!!!

And yes VIKINGS + 9.5!!!!!!!!

 

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#45
Posted: 1/5/2013 5:17:58 AM
  Don't have a lean on this 1 at all right now, but just have to acknowledge Lookingtowin  WTF is right !!!!

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#46
Posted: 1/5/2013 6:21:14 AM
Everyone trying to make rocket science out of who wins this one. This game boils down to who wants it more...............I believe the Vikings do. They've waited long enough!
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#47
Posted: 1/5/2013 8:20:12 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by zzziggy:

Peyton Manning will destroy either of these two teams:


DENVER BRONCOS SUPER BOWL 
 ++++++400 on most sites

Be a smart gambler like me and invest for the super bowl, you know you are going to bet the game anyways, get some good odds!
 


You know how many No 1 seeds went on to win the Super Bowl in the last ten years ?..............bet a wild card team, at least you have a chance at winning.
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#48
Posted: 1/5/2013 9:09:03 AM
This wont be a close game, usually the Packers or home can cover the points between these clubs.
Packers playing great at home this season.
Packers are 21-8-1 ATS in their last 30 home games.
Vikings are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 meetings in Green Bay.
So I`m with the Green Bay Packers -9,5
Over 46


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#49
Posted: 1/5/2013 9:52:34 AM
This is playoffs which is why the line is 9.5   Pack is a better team when playing fully motivated and gets Vikes at home.  Will stack the line and make Ponder beat them.  While the GB offense will be full throttle.  Not sure if they win by 10 but I do know Packers won't lose this game.  Not with recent history of early unexpected playoff loss.  Tease Pack and Seattle (and even Bama under)....all 3 are money.
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#50
Posted: 1/5/2013 10:44:33 AM
Just watched Scherla(sp?) and Bruski critique this game...VIKINGS, VIKINGS, VIKINGS...what a joke...what about a RB who fumbles and its 20 degrees out..what about a sub-par receiving corp that has NEVER played in weather conditions like this...Packers have no running game? Well it's easier to defend a running game that has a questionable QB than one that has Aaron Rodgers-Look for underrated Packer RB to have a BIG GAME, and he hasn't fumbled yet....what about a Viking D Backfield that can't cover or tackle...here's a drinking game for you-every time Jerrod Allen rushes wide and goes past Rodgers so he can step up in the pocket to make a play-you gotta chug your drink-get ready to get pissed up(make sure you have a sober ride home)...Great thing about the NFL is all these D's have potential to have a big game-Packer D GETS IT DONE TODAY....GB 37 Vikequeens 16.
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