Dallas at Tampa Bay (12/17/2011)

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Author: [Pro Football] Topic: Dallas at Tampa Bay (12/17/2011)
Covers PM Covers
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Ireland
 
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Posted: 12/13/2011 1:22:54 AM

Away:  Dallas [4-8-1 ATS]
Home:  Tampa Bay [4-9 ATS]

Game Time: 8:20 PM
Stadium: Raymond James Stadium

Recent Meetings:
N/A

Team Leaders:

Dallas:
Passing: Tony Romo (3646)
Rushing: DeMarco Murray (895)
Receiving: Jason Witten (772)

Tampa Bay:
Passing: Josh Freeman (2896)
Rushing: LeGarrette Blount (737)
Receiving: Mike Williams (701)

More:
Live Odds
In-Depth Matchup Information
Consensus Betting Information

MRxKrazz PM MRxKrazz
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Posted: 12/13/2011 1:59:16 AM
i like DAL, i see em killin TB


TheQuadYeah PM TheQuadYeah
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Posted: 12/13/2011 10:31:50 AM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by MRxKrazz:

i like DAL, i see em killin TB


Me too - but I'm buying that half point TD hook - just in case. Because with Romo and Garrett, you never know...........

MRxKrazz PM MRxKrazz
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Posted: 12/13/2011 12:03:28 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by TheQuadYeah:

Me too - but I'm buying that half point TD hook - just in case. Because with Romo and Garrett, you never know...........





Tease em wit Bal, or ml parlay em wit somethin else u like. Buyin tht half wnt be much help. Either a blow out of no cover
phillies926 PM phillies926
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Posted: 12/13/2011 12:25:28 PM

5 team teaser - Cowgirls, GMen, Pack, Saints, Pats

mellowman7883 PM mellowman7883
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Posted: 12/13/2011 1:25:41 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by TheQuadYeah:

Me too - but I'm buying that half point TD hook - just in case. Because with Romo and Garrett, you never know...........

Yeah, I see Garrett getting the boot soon. He isn't the sharpest tool in the shed, that's for sure.

Teasing Dallas with Tenn. and Atlanta. 6  pointer

And Dallas -6.5 straight up. Tampa has given up they have zero defense as proven by the JAgs shitty offense blowing them out.

Garrett wont be allowed to darn this up. The low line worries me some though, it almost feels like bait.

 

fosterk PM fosterk
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Posted: 12/13/2011 5:05:29 PM
Dallas is now in must win territory to make the playoffs.  They have to be all in for this game.  Rob Ryan and Garrett taking some heat this week in Dallas.  Tampa has been blown out in back to back weeks.

I like Dallas -7.
kerussein PM kerussein
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Posted: 12/13/2011 5:29:18 PM
person-7
NEVERgo4less PM NEVERgo4less
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Posted: 12/13/2011 8:04:59 PM
Whenever Dallas is on road.. I get a little nervous betting on them.  As good as it looks to bet or tease on them, I'd stay away.  Other good games are available.
falsestart12 PM falsestart12
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Posted: 12/13/2011 8:07:44 PM

Is it possible to get a cover from Dallas..........I will ride the can't cover cowboys 1 more time

dddevin69 PM dddevin69
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Posted: 12/14/2011 9:42:32 AM

let me make this VERY VERY easy for you.   I have said for weeks now going back to the Jets game that...Dallas SUCKS and is inconsistent.    I got blasted for it from Dallas homers.  I think it's apparent now that Dallas is arguably one of the most INCONSISTENT teams in the NFL.     Dallas as of today isn't as good as TEBOW and the Denver Broncos.  thats.....SAD

 

Having said that....Tampa Bay is a much suckier team. If u think Garret sucks...is Raheem Morris that much better?!?!?!?   I'm leaning more towards not playing either side and just taking the Over  46.5.

 

If I had to pick a side....I would lean towards Dallas -7...but we should all know that Dallas will SCREW u big time when it counts the most.  Ur depending on FELIX jones and new Rb pickup Sammie Morris to save the day....YIKES 

echelon1 PM echelon1
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Posted: 12/14/2011 10:53:16 AM
Yes, Dallas is very untrustworthy, yet this game is just what the doctor ordered.  Dallas only has to beat Bucs OR Eagles to force another showdown with Giants to win NFC East.  If Dallas goes 1-1 and Giants go 2-0 over next 2 games...Giants would be a game up on Dallas.  However, a Dallas win would even the final overall records.  They'd be ties in NFC East record and tied head-up.  But Dallas would own a better overall NFC record which would award them the NFC East crown.  As a Dallas fan, I guarantee you they do not want to lose this game and have to beat both Philly and Giants.  They already saw what Philly brings when they come fired up to play the Boys.  So this will be the game Dallas points to in order to get them back to a one-game playoff with Giants.

As for this game, the Bucs are terrible.  Lost 7 straight, got blown out last two games by Carolina and Jax, and have the 2nd worst scoring defense in the league giving up 28.5 points/game.  Best of all for Dallas, TB run defense is awful and surrenders the most rushing TD's in league.  Even without Murray, Felix has the ability to expose this weakness.  Felix is a good RB and played well when Murray went down last week.  He just has to stay healthy and is at the moment.

Of important note, TB is now ties for the 4th pick in the NFL draft with six other 4-9 teams.  A useless win here against Dallas could cost them big with draft position.  The team has clearly mailed it in and certainly are looking at draft position.  While Dallas is hard to trust, this would be a good spot to try our luck against a team they will score alot on.  Buy Dallas down to -6.5 or tease them, as Boys are the smart pick here.
mellowman7883 PM mellowman7883
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Posted: 12/14/2011 3:01:41 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by echelon1:

Yes, Dallas is very untrustworthy, yet this game is just what the doctor ordered.  Dallas only has to beat Bucs OR Eagles to force another showdown with Giants to win NFC East.  If Dallas goes 1-1 and Giants go 2-0 over next 2 games...Giants would be a game up on Dallas.  However, a Dallas win would even the final overall records.  They'd be ties in NFC East record and tied head-up.  But Dallas would own a better overall NFC record which would award them the NFC East crown.  As a Dallas fan, I guarantee you they do not want to lose this game and have to beat both Philly and Giants.  They already saw what Philly brings when they come fired up to play the Boys.  So this will be the game Dallas points to in order to get them back to a one-game playoff with Giants.

As for this game, the Bucs are terrible.  Lost 7 straight, got blown out last two games by Carolina and Jax, and have the 2nd worst scoring defense in the league giving up 28.5 points/game.  Best of all for Dallas, TB run defense is awful and surrenders the most rushing TD's in league.  Even without Murray, Felix has the ability to expose this weakness.  Felix is a good RB and played well when Murray went down last week.  He just has to stay healthy and is at the moment.

Of important note, TB is now ties for the 4th pick in the NFL draft with six other 4-9 teams.  A useless win here against Dallas could cost them big with draft position.  The team has clearly mailed it in and certainly are looking at draft position.  While Dallas is hard to trust, this would be a good spot to try our luck against a team they will score alot on.  Buy Dallas down to -6.5 or tease them, as Boys are the smart pick here.

Excellent  analysis especially the motive part.

gaeton PM gaeton
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Posted: 12/14/2011 7:04:37 PM
I for you guys not to be that i love juicy cockle

BreakaBookie PM BreakaBookie
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Posted: 12/14/2011 8:18:26 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by gaeton:

I for you guys not to be that i love juicy cockle



I 100% agree with your cap....


I think Dallas covers also....


but it is December and Tony Romo plays sub-par in the month of December.....


and I hate taking the cowboys as favorites on the road......


and that defense is awful....


def need some help on this one
vue21849 PM vue21849
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Posted: 12/14/2011 8:25:09 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by BreakaBookie:



I 100% agree with your cap....


I think Dallas covers also....


but it is December and Tony Romo plays sub-par in the month of December.....


and I hate taking the cowboys as favorites on the road......


and that defense is awful....


def need some help on this one

vue21849 PM vue21849
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Posted: 12/14/2011 8:30:54 PM

"Oh Mighty Tebow- Please pray that the Cowboys don't blow the cover this week!"

DALLAS -7 (I think? )

Wide9 PM Wide9
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Posted: 12/14/2011 8:56:10 PM
Heard one of the greatest stats on this Tampa Bay team on Vegas Sportsday....

Name the team that has been losing during each of their games throughout the year more so than any other team.

Not the 0-13 Colts, not the 2-11 Rams, no that prize goes to.....

...The Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Cowboys come to play

Dallas -7


phat1pc PM phat1pc
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Posted: 12/14/2011 9:16:16 PM
yea i cant see the bucs coming out fired up for this one.  they have mailed this season in and dallas really needs this game in a big way.  Now i know dallas plays everyone close but i cant see the bucs losing this by 3 or 4 points.  Now i got this game at 7.5 dallas will win this by at least 10 you gotta figure.  Cowboys 31-13
TBONE2222 PM TBONE2222
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Posted: 12/15/2011 12:35:23 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by echelon1:

Yes, Dallas is very untrustworthy, yet this game is just what the doctor ordered.  Dallas only has to beat Bucs OR Eagles to force another showdown with Giants to win NFC East.  If Dallas goes 1-1 and Giants go 2-0 over next 2 games...Giants would be a game up on Dallas.  However, a Dallas win would even the final overall records.  They'd be ties in NFC East record and tied head-up.  But Dallas would own a better overall NFC record which would award them the NFC East crown.  As a Dallas fan, I guarantee you they do not want to lose this game and have to beat both Philly and Giants.  They already saw what Philly brings when they come fired up to play the Boys.  So this will be the game Dallas points to in order to get them back to a one-game playoff with Giants.

As for this game, the Bucs are terrible.  Lost 7 straight, got blown out last two games by Carolina and Jax, and have the 2nd worst scoring defense in the league giving up 28.5 points/game.  Best of all for Dallas, TB run defense is awful and surrenders the most rushing TD's in league.  Even without Murray, Felix has the ability to expose this weakness.  Felix is a good RB and played well when Murray went down last week.  He just has to stay healthy and is at the moment.

Of important note, TB is now ties for the 4th pick in the NFL draft with six other 4-9 teams.  A useless win here against Dallas could cost them big with draft position.  The team has clearly mailed it in and certainly are looking at draft position.  While Dallas is hard to trust, this would be a good spot to try our luck against a team they will score alot on.  Buy Dallas down to -6.5 or tease them, as Boys are the smart pick here.


Best poster on covers. Well researched, analyzed and written. This is a perfect tease in my opinion.
NoBetNoWin PM NoBetNoWin
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Posted: 12/15/2011 9:55:10 AM
Dallas has a lot to play for..  obviously.  I think they jump out early and blow out TB.  The way things have gone with blowing 12 pt leads, Dallas will not feel comfortable unless they have a huge lead. 

Must Win for Dallas...

DAL 37 - TB 13.

GLA!
DrDogs PM DrDogs
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Posted: 12/15/2011 10:11:28 AM
Raheem packin it in emotionally. Josh Freeman is no eli and lagarette punch probably wont run down the field with 5 guys on his back like jacobs...so Dallas and Ov for the large!!!!
Lar1212 PM Lar1212
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Posted: 12/15/2011 11:00:58 AM

I hate playing on Dallas, but I think this is a MUST-WIN game for them. Period.

Cowboys -7 and Cowboys TT OVER 27 for me.

echelon1 PM echelon1
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Posted: 12/15/2011 3:27:45 PM
Just to correct my earlier post, I researched tiebreakers and scenarios in extensive detail.  Assuming the Giants win out before rematch, Cowboys could afford to lose to Bucs yet not Eagles.  With a loss to Philly, Dallas would be a game behind NYG before rematch.  Winning that would tie all records...overall and division.  But the 3rd tiebreaker is not NFC record, it's the common opponents.  And with Giants beating Jets next week they'd be a game up on Dallas in common opponents.  The NFC record wouldn't come into play.

That being said, it won't change the motivation or matchups a bit for this game.  Dallas will be playing each week like it's a playoff.  TB has rolled over and looking towards offseason.  Like said earlier, Dallas will look to jump on Bucs early and put them out fast.  With that Buc defense, should happen.  

Dallas also tends to excel in games it can run the ball very effectively against weak run defense...Buffalo (37 pt win), Seattle (10 pt win), SL (27 pt win).  Common denominator in all 3 is Dallas ran very well and set up short down and distance often.  It also opens up all the other options by bringing the defense closer up and distracted.  Dallas' best blocking TE is back for this one...Bennett.  With Fiamatta back situated at FB and Bennett back from injury, the two-tight set pounding the ball will pay big dividends.  And then the play-action to Witten or even deep ball should be available often.  
Also have a strong feeling this is a huge statement game for Rob Ryan and the defense.  Against this anemic Buc offense (broke 20 points once in last 7 games), it be a great time for redemption.   Everything looks in line for Cowboys to make a dominating statement that they are still very much alive and ready to make a run.
echelon1 PM echelon1
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Posted: 12/15/2011 3:54:16 PM
Another interesting trend...Bucs are 6-20 ATS in last 26 home games.

As for Romo in December...in 2011, he's 49/73 (67% completions), 620 yards, 5 TD's, and ZERO Ints.  Yeah he missed Austin deep at end of last week, other than that Romo hasn't been even close to causing those losses.  Those numbers are excellent for any QB.   

 
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