Posted: 12/24/2013 5:21:37 PM
I believe this game is going OVER easily. There are two important mismatches here, and all the extraneous information about urinary conspiracies, long lost coaches and whatnot, although important when considering the situational aspect of the game, is cluttering up the view here.
Oregon State will have to exploit Boise State's pass defense. They have no other choice but to do so, because Boise State owns the ground game here. Oregon State will put up points, and do so quickly... Boise State will try to control the ball and the clock with a more balanced attack, and will most likely be playing "catch-up" most of the time.
Eventually, there will be miscues and mistakes, and the game will evolve into a bizarre tennis match (someone mentioned a "scorefest"), with both teams going back and forth, trading scores. There is no defense to speak of here.
You could actually put both defenses together on the field and you still couldn't come up with a decent secondary!
The obvious play is the OVER.
Whichever team wins does so by a touchdown or less, so I am hitting the OVER on one play (buying it down to the original line of 64), and a Boise State +10/OVER 58.5 teaser...
Good luck to all...