Neb showed some life against V.Tech and Mizzo comes in off a bye week.Between Daniel and Ganz,the air will be busy.Toss a 20+ line in and Neb might be attractive.
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Neb showed some life against V.Tech and Mizzo comes in off a bye week.Between Daniel and Ganz,the air will be busy.Toss a 20+ line in and Neb might be attractive.
I think Mizzou might feel like they missed the "make a statement" bus last week since USC, Georgia, and Florida lost... and LSU did not look all that impressive... but OU and Texas both looked good (as did Alabama)-- sitting idle was not a good thing this past week-- this week they make that statement and beat UN by 20
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I think Mizzou might feel like they missed the "make a statement" bus last week since USC, Georgia, and Florida lost... and LSU did not look all that impressive... but OU and Texas both looked good (as did Alabama)-- sitting idle was not a good thing this past week-- this week they make that statement and beat UN by 20
The line in this game is too high and only a sucker would take Missouri-10.5 in Nebraska.
Mizzouri is 0-5 straight up the last five in Lincoln and 2-3 ats. However, in 4 of those games they were the underdog by a listed 17.5 on the average. The one time they were favored (-2.5) they lost 24-3 in 2004. Matter of fact, Missouri has never beaten Nebraska in Lincoln going 0-7 overall. Now all of a sudden due to the perception of the public, the Tigers are supposed to be a 10.5 favorite? Whatever.
Nebraska only gives up 19.5 points on average on defense compared to Mizzou's 20.8. Matter of fact, they give up less overall total yards on defense (354.8) than Mizzou (378.5). Mizzouri actually should be in their usual role as a dog, with a touch of love (+2.5 or 3).
Buffalo, Southeast Missouri, Nevada and Illinois were all roadkill for them, but Illinois gave them all that they could handle, as they allowed Illinois to score at will against their phantom defense. Juice Williams carved them up for 451 yards and 5 touchdowns. The fact that Mizzouri scored 52 points on Illinois is not a big feat as Illinois has given up 32 points per game on average anyway. So Nebraska's defense will easily be the best defense they have faced this year, and add to that that this is the first true road game for Mizzou this year (Illinois game was played in their own backyard basically at a neutral site) and Oklahoma State next ahead on the schedule, the Tigers are in a bad position to cover in this game. The host in this series is 6-0 ats. Revenge will be sweet as the Cornhuskers avenge last year's 41-6 drubbing in this ats shocker on Saturday. Lightning never strikes in the same place twice. Missouri is 1-5 against conference opponents off of straight up favorite losses. Nebraska fits that criterion.
Nebraska +10.5 or more as bettors such as the 90% or so of the public (and the majority of this thread in the upcoming days as well) drive the line up for the home dog to cover.
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The line in this game is too high and only a sucker would take Missouri-10.5 in Nebraska.
Mizzouri is 0-5 straight up the last five in Lincoln and 2-3 ats. However, in 4 of those games they were the underdog by a listed 17.5 on the average. The one time they were favored (-2.5) they lost 24-3 in 2004. Matter of fact, Missouri has never beaten Nebraska in Lincoln going 0-7 overall. Now all of a sudden due to the perception of the public, the Tigers are supposed to be a 10.5 favorite? Whatever.
Nebraska only gives up 19.5 points on average on defense compared to Mizzou's 20.8. Matter of fact, they give up less overall total yards on defense (354.8) than Mizzou (378.5). Mizzouri actually should be in their usual role as a dog, with a touch of love (+2.5 or 3).
Buffalo, Southeast Missouri, Nevada and Illinois were all roadkill for them, but Illinois gave them all that they could handle, as they allowed Illinois to score at will against their phantom defense. Juice Williams carved them up for 451 yards and 5 touchdowns. The fact that Mizzouri scored 52 points on Illinois is not a big feat as Illinois has given up 32 points per game on average anyway. So Nebraska's defense will easily be the best defense they have faced this year, and add to that that this is the first true road game for Mizzou this year (Illinois game was played in their own backyard basically at a neutral site) and Oklahoma State next ahead on the schedule, the Tigers are in a bad position to cover in this game. The host in this series is 6-0 ats. Revenge will be sweet as the Cornhuskers avenge last year's 41-6 drubbing in this ats shocker on Saturday. Lightning never strikes in the same place twice. Missouri is 1-5 against conference opponents off of straight up favorite losses. Nebraska fits that criterion.
Nebraska +10.5 or more as bettors such as the 90% or so of the public (and the majority of this thread in the upcoming days as well) drive the line up for the home dog to cover.
this is why i think trends are rediculous, you cant compare this line to mizzou's teams before 2007. mizzou has always been terrible. but now they are a top 5 team. how does the fact that they havent won in lincoln in 30 years matter now? how is that relevent when they have all new players, coaches, etc. i knew people would bring up the whole "mizzou never wins in lincoln." well, mizzou has never had a great team, BUT NOW THEY DO. keep watching your trends, ill keep cashing in on mizzou doubters.
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this is why i think trends are rediculous, you cant compare this line to mizzou's teams before 2007. mizzou has always been terrible. but now they are a top 5 team. how does the fact that they havent won in lincoln in 30 years matter now? how is that relevent when they have all new players, coaches, etc. i knew people would bring up the whole "mizzou never wins in lincoln." well, mizzou has never had a great team, BUT NOW THEY DO. keep watching your trends, ill keep cashing in on mizzou doubters.
Platinum, I agree with you on the trends. I tend to not pay attention to them as much either, however, I do have to disagree with you on one thing: Mizzou has a great offense but not a great team. The defense is terrible and unless Pinkle figures out a way to shore up the D, Mizzou will not make it past the big 12 title game.
In this game, though, I see Mizzou doing just enough to cover the line (provided it stays under 14). It's not as if Pelini all of a sudden recruited a bunch of great defensive players overnight. Nebraska has the same crappy defensive players they had under Callahan. Defenses on both sides will have trouble stopping either offense and in the end I see the Tigers making one or two more stops than Nebraska. Tigers -12.5 is likely my play here and may take a hard look at the over. Good luck to all.
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Platinum, I agree with you on the trends. I tend to not pay attention to them as much either, however, I do have to disagree with you on one thing: Mizzou has a great offense but not a great team. The defense is terrible and unless Pinkle figures out a way to shore up the D, Mizzou will not make it past the big 12 title game.
In this game, though, I see Mizzou doing just enough to cover the line (provided it stays under 14). It's not as if Pelini all of a sudden recruited a bunch of great defensive players overnight. Nebraska has the same crappy defensive players they had under Callahan. Defenses on both sides will have trouble stopping either offense and in the end I see the Tigers making one or two more stops than Nebraska. Tigers -12.5 is likely my play here and may take a hard look at the over. Good luck to all.
I can see how people think Mizzou's D is terrible. however These same people havent seen every play of every game like i have.
They dont realize that all-american safety William Moore has been hurt. Or that CB Carl Gettis and LB Sean Weatherspoon are future NFL starters, yes, starters. Or that Mizzou has returned all but one starter from last years defense. (which led the big 12 in team defense last year.)
Sure the Illini took advantage of CB Castine Bridges poor game, but one of their TDs came off a Pick Six, and they benefited from good field position all game. (mizzou dominated the line of scrimmage, for those who understand football and watched the game).
They responded by only giving up 3 points their next game. And people made a big deal about giving up 21 points to buffalo, but (having watched the game) buffalo benefited all game from 3 mizzou fumbles. If your offense fumbles the ball at their own 10 yard line, and the defense gives up a touchdown on the next play, all the people see is 7 points against the defense. simply put, you cant judge a teams defense just based on the final score.
mizzou's D will shut down nebraska, and their offense will probably score on every possession just like theyve been doing all year. this game wont be close, but the trends say mizzou cant win in lincoln, so i cant wait to make bank... saturday cant come fast enough...
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I can see how people think Mizzou's D is terrible. however These same people havent seen every play of every game like i have.
They dont realize that all-american safety William Moore has been hurt. Or that CB Carl Gettis and LB Sean Weatherspoon are future NFL starters, yes, starters. Or that Mizzou has returned all but one starter from last years defense. (which led the big 12 in team defense last year.)
Sure the Illini took advantage of CB Castine Bridges poor game, but one of their TDs came off a Pick Six, and they benefited from good field position all game. (mizzou dominated the line of scrimmage, for those who understand football and watched the game).
They responded by only giving up 3 points their next game. And people made a big deal about giving up 21 points to buffalo, but (having watched the game) buffalo benefited all game from 3 mizzou fumbles. If your offense fumbles the ball at their own 10 yard line, and the defense gives up a touchdown on the next play, all the people see is 7 points against the defense. simply put, you cant judge a teams defense just based on the final score.
mizzou's D will shut down nebraska, and their offense will probably score on every possession just like theyve been doing all year. this game wont be close, but the trends say mizzou cant win in lincoln, so i cant wait to make bank... saturday cant come fast enough...
short and sweet...huskers have a long way to go..Pelini and company have brought the team a long way...they play with a lot more heart, effort, and a better scheme, but the facts remain...
1) It is hard to reverse 4 years of substandard coaching, recruiting, and game planning in one year
2) The supposed strength of the team (O Line) is anything but...Va tech dominated our O line...without the ability to run (and keep Chase off the field), it will be a long night for the Huskers
3) Mizzou Offense - the ONLY team to slow/stop them the last 2 years has been OU...the way they did was get pressure on Chase with the front 4 and then blitz here and there....not to mention they have the althletes on defense to play in space to defend the Mizzou spread...Huskers do not have the same ahtletes on defense as OU
Mizzou is the real deal..if their D can catch up (even a little bit) to their offense, I think they run the table...as it is now though, OU is the dominant team (assuming they show up for every game...the last couple years that has always been the case)....I dont think it is a blowout, but Mizzou should win by 14-17 here
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short and sweet...huskers have a long way to go..Pelini and company have brought the team a long way...they play with a lot more heart, effort, and a better scheme, but the facts remain...
1) It is hard to reverse 4 years of substandard coaching, recruiting, and game planning in one year
2) The supposed strength of the team (O Line) is anything but...Va tech dominated our O line...without the ability to run (and keep Chase off the field), it will be a long night for the Huskers
3) Mizzou Offense - the ONLY team to slow/stop them the last 2 years has been OU...the way they did was get pressure on Chase with the front 4 and then blitz here and there....not to mention they have the althletes on defense to play in space to defend the Mizzou spread...Huskers do not have the same ahtletes on defense as OU
Mizzou is the real deal..if their D can catch up (even a little bit) to their offense, I think they run the table...as it is now though, OU is the dominant team (assuming they show up for every game...the last couple years that has always been the case)....I dont think it is a blowout, but Mizzou should win by 14-17 here
Nebraska only gives up 19.5 points on average on defense compared to Mizzou's 20.8. Matter of fact, they give up less overall total yards on defense (354.8) than Mizzou (378.5).
What does that show? 1.3 ppg difference? 20 ypg difference? And I'm not sure I'd base my opinions on averages from the first 4 games of the season. The Huskers have played Western Mich, San Jose St, New Mexico St, and then lost at home giving up 35 to VTech, a team that has struggled to score.
"NU's defense will easily be the best they've faced all year." That would imply Nebraska's defense is good. It's not.
And Okie St next for Mizzou? This implies Mizzou will be looking ahead to OK St. The Cowboys are 4-0, yes. Wins over Wash St, Houston, Missouri St, and Troy. Impressive resume. In short, Mizzou is not sweating the Cowboys. Pretty sure this game in Lincoln is a bigger deal.
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Quote Originally Posted by Watch:
Nebraska only gives up 19.5 points on average on defense compared to Mizzou's 20.8. Matter of fact, they give up less overall total yards on defense (354.8) than Mizzou (378.5).
What does that show? 1.3 ppg difference? 20 ypg difference? And I'm not sure I'd base my opinions on averages from the first 4 games of the season. The Huskers have played Western Mich, San Jose St, New Mexico St, and then lost at home giving up 35 to VTech, a team that has struggled to score.
"NU's defense will easily be the best they've faced all year." That would imply Nebraska's defense is good. It's not.
And Okie St next for Mizzou? This implies Mizzou will be looking ahead to OK St. The Cowboys are 4-0, yes. Wins over Wash St, Houston, Missouri St, and Troy. Impressive resume. In short, Mizzou is not sweating the Cowboys. Pretty sure this game in Lincoln is a bigger deal.
Somehow just got Mizzou -11 at bodog. id grab that now before it goes up to -13.5
ooh, and the over/under line will be drastically inflated due to the publics misconception of mizzous D.
the only way it goes over is if mizzou scores 50... well, they probably will. so maybe you should take the over. haha.
ohhh, and for the stat nerds who look at mizzous D yards against, well, considering theyve been ahead at every point of every game, teams try to catch up by throwing and throwing and throwing. plus, mizzous starters have been taken out by the 2nd quarter in every game except illini.
this game reminds me of what happened last year at colorado... since mizzou "hadnt won in boulder in decades"... yah.. another awesome trend... i think mizzou covered by like 30 points that game
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Somehow just got Mizzou -11 at bodog. id grab that now before it goes up to -13.5
ooh, and the over/under line will be drastically inflated due to the publics misconception of mizzous D.
the only way it goes over is if mizzou scores 50... well, they probably will. so maybe you should take the over. haha.
ohhh, and for the stat nerds who look at mizzous D yards against, well, considering theyve been ahead at every point of every game, teams try to catch up by throwing and throwing and throwing. plus, mizzous starters have been taken out by the 2nd quarter in every game except illini.
this game reminds me of what happened last year at colorado... since mizzou "hadnt won in boulder in decades"... yah.. another awesome trend... i think mizzou covered by like 30 points that game
trouble is... this is the best team Missouri has had... ever... and all of those years that Nebraska was unbeatable at home (80s and 90s) are OVER!
1978 is long gone...
if this game was during the day there is no doubt Missouri would mop the floor with NU... but i will admit that is going to be a rowdy place on Saturday night...
still, i remember a night game with a certain So Cal team coming into Lincoln... NU was supposed to be a live dog in that game...
Ol' Yeller had to be shot after that game...
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trouble is... this is the best team Missouri has had... ever... and all of those years that Nebraska was unbeatable at home (80s and 90s) are OVER!
1978 is long gone...
if this game was during the day there is no doubt Missouri would mop the floor with NU... but i will admit that is going to be a rowdy place on Saturday night...
still, i remember a night game with a certain So Cal team coming into Lincoln... NU was supposed to be a live dog in that game...
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