We MOST DEFINITELY have a good one in the makings here. In 2005 & 2007 the games have been played at Georgia & they were VERY TIGHT nail biters with each team winning a game. In 2006 the game was played at S.Carolina, with Georgia SHUTTING OUT S.Carolina 18-0. Also, In every meeting (Since 1998) between these 2 teams, EVERY GAME has been on the UNDER side ( Pretty amazing !!! ). Georgia is TRYING ( To stay in the running) to win a national championship, which they very well could. They most definitely have the talent to do so. I feel that Georgia will win another tight game here. Georgia has a very good offense, BUT I'm VERY IMPRESSED with Georgia's SWARMING defense !!!!!! Final Score: Georgia 24 S.Carolina 17
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We MOST DEFINITELY have a good one in the makings here. In 2005 & 2007 the games have been played at Georgia & they were VERY TIGHT nail biters with each team winning a game. In 2006 the game was played at S.Carolina, with Georgia SHUTTING OUT S.Carolina 18-0. Also, In every meeting (Since 1998) between these 2 teams, EVERY GAME has been on the UNDER side ( Pretty amazing !!! ). Georgia is TRYING ( To stay in the running) to win a national championship, which they very well could. They most definitely have the talent to do so. I feel that Georgia will win another tight game here. Georgia has a very good offense, BUT I'm VERY IMPRESSED with Georgia's SWARMING defense !!!!!! Final Score: Georgia 24 S.Carolina 17
This line will change VERY fast, take UGA now, if you can at -7. So. Car has many issues that Spurrier has to address and they really need a bye week early this year. I already put down at -6.5 (-120) and feel almost guilty!!! I see this as a blowout- UGA 27-10.
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This line will change VERY fast, take UGA now, if you can at -7. So. Car has many issues that Spurrier has to address and they really need a bye week early this year. I already put down at -6.5 (-120) and feel almost guilty!!! I see this as a blowout- UGA 27-10.
I have bet this one 2 units at UGA-7... Could somebody please explain to me why this line is only 7??????? The Bulldogs are firing on all cylinders on offense the D is suffocating and the cocks have QB issues and virtually no offense their D is solid but not solid enough hell they just got beat by Vandy... WHAT AM I MISSING WHY IS THIS LINE SO LOW???
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I have bet this one 2 units at UGA-7... Could somebody please explain to me why this line is only 7??????? The Bulldogs are firing on all cylinders on offense the D is suffocating and the cocks have QB issues and virtually no offense their D is solid but not solid enough hell they just got beat by Vandy... WHAT AM I MISSING WHY IS THIS LINE SO LOW???
Willhunting... love Cal this week, although it is a big road trip game... ASU and PSU are the last two games that i might bet, but still holding on them... PSU line is a little bit high, but after seeing Royster last week i think he will run over them all day long...
favorite bets this week are: USC (-9.5), Cal (-13.5), Okla (-20) and CMich (-2.5)...
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Willhunting... love Cal this week, although it is a big road trip game... ASU and PSU are the last two games that i might bet, but still holding on them... PSU line is a little bit high, but after seeing Royster last week i think he will run over them all day long...
favorite bets this week are: USC (-9.5), Cal (-13.5), Okla (-20) and CMich (-2.5)...
SHEPHERD What do you mean by "just based on the spot"
good question, and the answer to that question is also the answer to your question in the previous post... same question a lot of people have, and also the reason i ended up betting on this game...
the reason the line is so low is because of "the spot"... typically, SC is a team that plays to the level of their competition... two weeks in a row people have been looking at SC as a great DD favorite... last week as a DD on the road in the SEC... they were being over-valued against weaker competition... managed the cover against NCSt at home, but had no shot of covering DD on the road against Vandy...
SC has a history of laying an egg out of the gate because they are an over-hyped and over-valued Steve Spurrier team... however, once people start to jump off of the wagon is around the time Spurrier starts getting his team to play a bit better, and usually at some point pulls off a nice upset or at least a nice underdog cover against a big rivaly...
so, "the spot" is usual one to bet on SC...
however, in my opinion, the books and cappers have already started to overcompensate and have made the line a bit too low, trying to trap people into betting Georgia, but in doing so they have given themselves no value...
Georgia is just a much better team this year all around, and it just seems like too much to ask for SC to keep it close in a game i really don't see that they have a chance of winning outright...
that's just what i see... i did go ahead and make Georgia one of my 1/2 unit plays...
Georgia (-6.5)
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Quote Originally Posted by HUCKFAWAII:
SHEPHERD What do you mean by "just based on the spot"
good question, and the answer to that question is also the answer to your question in the previous post... same question a lot of people have, and also the reason i ended up betting on this game...
the reason the line is so low is because of "the spot"... typically, SC is a team that plays to the level of their competition... two weeks in a row people have been looking at SC as a great DD favorite... last week as a DD on the road in the SEC... they were being over-valued against weaker competition... managed the cover against NCSt at home, but had no shot of covering DD on the road against Vandy...
SC has a history of laying an egg out of the gate because they are an over-hyped and over-valued Steve Spurrier team... however, once people start to jump off of the wagon is around the time Spurrier starts getting his team to play a bit better, and usually at some point pulls off a nice upset or at least a nice underdog cover against a big rivaly...
so, "the spot" is usual one to bet on SC...
however, in my opinion, the books and cappers have already started to overcompensate and have made the line a bit too low, trying to trap people into betting Georgia, but in doing so they have given themselves no value...
Georgia is just a much better team this year all around, and it just seems like too much to ask for SC to keep it close in a game i really don't see that they have a chance of winning outright...
that's just what i see... i did go ahead and make Georgia one of my 1/2 unit plays...
oh yea... this does also go along with a very simple formula that is one of the very first angles i spotted (not rocket science) when i first started betting CFB about 25 years ago...
not really a formula... it is simple... first, figure out who the elite teams are in college football... there is a catch... it is not good enough to just look at the AP top 5 or top 10... the CFB polls are always off the mark at the start of the season... you have to know where they are screwed up... so this part of the angle requires that you really know your shit... not handicapping, but at least knowing who is really the best of the best...
if you can successfully pick out 5-8 teams that will be the best teams overall (at the end of the year), and you bet on those teams every single week, regardless of the spread... you win about 2/3 of the time...
teams i am putting in that category early on (subject to change)... USC, OU, Florida, LSU, Georgia, Missouri... teams on the bubble of this list... Ohio St, Oregon, Auburn, Penn St... teams to consider adding if they keep up solid play... Alabama, Texas, Kansas...
i might be forgetting someone... but this is the basic idea... spot the best teams, bet them blindly, and by the end of the year you will have won money...
Georgia is on the list, so it's one more angle that works for this game...
this is mostly an angle to use if you haven't mastered handicapping but you do know a lot about college football...
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oh yea... this does also go along with a very simple formula that is one of the very first angles i spotted (not rocket science) when i first started betting CFB about 25 years ago...
not really a formula... it is simple... first, figure out who the elite teams are in college football... there is a catch... it is not good enough to just look at the AP top 5 or top 10... the CFB polls are always off the mark at the start of the season... you have to know where they are screwed up... so this part of the angle requires that you really know your shit... not handicapping, but at least knowing who is really the best of the best...
if you can successfully pick out 5-8 teams that will be the best teams overall (at the end of the year), and you bet on those teams every single week, regardless of the spread... you win about 2/3 of the time...
teams i am putting in that category early on (subject to change)... USC, OU, Florida, LSU, Georgia, Missouri... teams on the bubble of this list... Ohio St, Oregon, Auburn, Penn St... teams to consider adding if they keep up solid play... Alabama, Texas, Kansas...
i might be forgetting someone... but this is the basic idea... spot the best teams, bet them blindly, and by the end of the year you will have won money...
Georgia is on the list, so it's one more angle that works for this game...
this is mostly an angle to use if you haven't mastered handicapping but you do know a lot about college football...
when i first saw the line, my thoughts were "why is it so low?"
as soon as i ask myself this, i bet the other way (usually).. you're right when u say that South Carolina usually plays good teams tough (see Kentucky and Georgia last year) and bad teams worse (Vandy this year, although vandy is no push over this year and last year's vandy game)..
i think though that the "other" USC will cover..
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sorry shep, gotta go against you on this one..
when i first saw the line, my thoughts were "why is it so low?"
as soon as i ask myself this, i bet the other way (usually).. you're right when u say that South Carolina usually plays good teams tough (see Kentucky and Georgia last year) and bad teams worse (Vandy this year, although vandy is no push over this year and last year's vandy game)..
This game scares the s*** out of me. If I make a play it will be on SC for all the reasons listed by several posters above. The line has already faded the public and point and I'm guessing on some books has moved 1.5 points based on some posts. With 75% of the money this means bookies feel that they have a very good read on the game. Might play a unit on SC +7. Probably won't play at all.
This game scares the s*** out of me. If I make a play it will be on SC for all the reasons listed by several posters above. The line has already faded the public and point and I'm guessing on some books has moved 1.5 points based on some posts. With 75% of the money this means bookies feel that they have a very good read on the game. Might play a unit on SC +7. Probably won't play at all.
This game scares the s*** out of me. If I make a play it will be on SC for all the reasons listed by several posters above. The line has already faded the public and point and I'm guessing on some books has moved 1.5 points based on some posts. With 75% of the money this means bookies feel that they have a very good read on the game. Might play a unit on SC +7. Probably won't play at all.
And I forgot to say why this game scares the shit out of me: Because SC is one of the most inconsistent teams in the NCAA so even if the bookies feel like they have a good read, they could still lose their shirts this weekend.
This game scares the s*** out of me. If I make a play it will be on SC for all the reasons listed by several posters above. The line has already faded the public and point and I'm guessing on some books has moved 1.5 points based on some posts. With 75% of the money this means bookies feel that they have a very good read on the game. Might play a unit on SC +7. Probably won't play at all.
And I forgot to say why this game scares the shit out of me: Because SC is one of the most inconsistent teams in the NCAA so even if the bookies feel like they have a good read, they could still lose their shirts this weekend.
Willhunting... love Cal this week, although it is a big road trip game... ASU and PSU are the last two games that i might bet, but still holding on them... PSU line is a little bit high, but after seeing Royster last week i think he will run over them all day long...
favorite bets this week are: USC (-9.5), Cal (-13.5), Okla (-20) and CMich (-2.5)...
Shepard--look at Western Michigan and Air Force that are both playing opponets that are very poor against the run and on defense overall. Both are on the road, but under valued early.
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Quote Originally Posted by shepherd:
Willhunting... love Cal this week, although it is a big road trip game... ASU and PSU are the last two games that i might bet, but still holding on them... PSU line is a little bit high, but after seeing Royster last week i think he will run over them all day long...
favorite bets this week are: USC (-9.5), Cal (-13.5), Okla (-20) and CMich (-2.5)...
Shepard--look at Western Michigan and Air Force that are both playing opponets that are very poor against the run and on defense overall. Both are on the road, but under valued early.
Been watching the dawgs for about 15 years. This year could be the best in this span. The dawgs have talent, everywhere. Georgia is known for their defense, "Bulldog Defense", and every year they prove that. This year is a little different. They are strong at both sides of the game. Knowshon Moreno is an impact player. This kid is going to be up for Heisman this year and he's only a sophmore. Stafford is a very talented quarterback, great vision, great blocking, great scrambler when needed.
South Carolina is down this year. I respect the way the play Georgia, but they are just going to underacheive this year. They are over ranked right now. As all Georgia fans know, the dawgs HATE Spurrier. Dawgs are going to gear up for this game, especially because its on the road, in a tough environment. Look for a huge first half for the Bulldogs. As Spurrier's offense is terrible, and the Dawgs Defense is tremendous, I really dont know if SCar is gonna score. This game is a steal. Plus, you have to factor in the revenge factor from last year for the Dawgs...
UGA 34
SCar 17
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Been watching the dawgs for about 15 years. This year could be the best in this span. The dawgs have talent, everywhere. Georgia is known for their defense, "Bulldog Defense", and every year they prove that. This year is a little different. They are strong at both sides of the game. Knowshon Moreno is an impact player. This kid is going to be up for Heisman this year and he's only a sophmore. Stafford is a very talented quarterback, great vision, great blocking, great scrambler when needed.
South Carolina is down this year. I respect the way the play Georgia, but they are just going to underacheive this year. They are over ranked right now. As all Georgia fans know, the dawgs HATE Spurrier. Dawgs are going to gear up for this game, especially because its on the road, in a tough environment. Look for a huge first half for the Bulldogs. As Spurrier's offense is terrible, and the Dawgs Defense is tremendous, I really dont know if SCar is gonna score. This game is a steal. Plus, you have to factor in the revenge factor from last year for the Dawgs...
I took the early line for Georgia thinking the line will move up... the current line movement is fishy!!! confused at the moment. if the line dosn't move up to near 10 i will hedge the bet.
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I took the early line for Georgia thinking the line will move up... the current line movement is fishy!!! confused at the moment. if the line dosn't move up to near 10 i will hedge the bet.
To much analytical BS from some here regardless of tenure of handicapping ...... Handicapping (good) consist of three areas and is really pretty simple however must be done in a nonbias and objective manner in order to be sucessful The three are Personnel, Coaching and Intangibles (weather,inuries, site etc). That said this will be one sided as Spurrier just does'nt have the horses to run (or pass) with no pundt intened
GA-34
SC-13
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To much analytical BS from some here regardless of tenure of handicapping ...... Handicapping (good) consist of three areas and is really pretty simple however must be done in a nonbias and objective manner in order to be sucessful The three are Personnel, Coaching and Intangibles (weather,inuries, site etc). That said this will be one sided as Spurrier just does'nt have the horses to run (or pass) with no pundt intened
HONESTLY....i don't see how the USC team we have seen so far can even come close to hanging with GEORGIA but this line is way to fishy...they must know something we don't...going to have to do a little studying up on this game....anyone got any ideas on this line?
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HONESTLY....i don't see how the USC team we have seen so far can even come close to hanging with GEORGIA but this line is way to fishy...they must know something we don't...going to have to do a little studying up on this game....anyone got any ideas on this line?
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