Friday was very good to me, as I went 3-0 ... my homework really paid off. Had a couple of other leans that went on to be winners so it seems like things are clicking at the right time.
RECORD: 81-70-2 YTD 54%
Wake Forest -6.5 <-- Tough to go against the Deacs in this spot, who will be seeking a little bit of revenge after losing to NC State by 2 last month. Wake at home have been no slouch, as they are 14-2 SU and 7-3-1 ATS. In addition, this is situationally good for WF, who are 6-2 SU in home games following a road game, and 5-2 SU following a road loss. NC State has been major fade material on the road, having lost 7 straight and going 1-6 SU in conference play on the road, losing by an average of 19.3 ppg. Senior day emotions and the revenge match-up will have Wake fired up... Deacs rolls here by DD's.
UAB 1H +7.5, Memphis -14 <-- UAB has been looking forward to this game for three weeks now... Senior day in Memphis, and I think Joey Dorsey has a big game, as he got into foul trouble early and finished with only 1 point. Memphis is simply the better, more athletic team, and I see them covering this line with no problem. Vaden and company should come out strong and keep the score below the line until the Tigers kick it in gear in the second half.
Syracuse PK <-- I'll admit this is a homer pick, so take this write up with a grain of salt, but like the previous 6 games, this is a must win for the Orange as they currently sit on the outside looking in for the tournament. Syracuse hasn't missed back-to-back NCAA appearances since the late eighties (don't quote me on that but it's been a while...) and basically need a win today and a strong showing in the BE tournament to make a convincing argument. Physically, this is a good matchup for the Orange and Marquette's two losses to Louisville show that Marquette can be held in check by a deep zone defense. The dome should be packed again, as I'm expecting close to 30,000 people, and should give Syracuse an edge in this matchup. Syracuse simply needs this game a whole lot more than Marquette does and so expect this game to have a playoff atmosphere; my bet is on the Orangemen.
More to come...
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
Friday was very good to me, as I went 3-0 ... my homework really paid off. Had a couple of other leans that went on to be winners so it seems like things are clicking at the right time.
RECORD: 81-70-2 YTD 54%
Wake Forest -6.5 <-- Tough to go against the Deacs in this spot, who will be seeking a little bit of revenge after losing to NC State by 2 last month. Wake at home have been no slouch, as they are 14-2 SU and 7-3-1 ATS. In addition, this is situationally good for WF, who are 6-2 SU in home games following a road game, and 5-2 SU following a road loss. NC State has been major fade material on the road, having lost 7 straight and going 1-6 SU in conference play on the road, losing by an average of 19.3 ppg. Senior day emotions and the revenge match-up will have Wake fired up... Deacs rolls here by DD's.
UAB 1H +7.5, Memphis -14 <-- UAB has been looking forward to this game for three weeks now... Senior day in Memphis, and I think Joey Dorsey has a big game, as he got into foul trouble early and finished with only 1 point. Memphis is simply the better, more athletic team, and I see them covering this line with no problem. Vaden and company should come out strong and keep the score below the line until the Tigers kick it in gear in the second half.
Syracuse PK <-- I'll admit this is a homer pick, so take this write up with a grain of salt, but like the previous 6 games, this is a must win for the Orange as they currently sit on the outside looking in for the tournament. Syracuse hasn't missed back-to-back NCAA appearances since the late eighties (don't quote me on that but it's been a while...) and basically need a win today and a strong showing in the BE tournament to make a convincing argument. Physically, this is a good matchup for the Orange and Marquette's two losses to Louisville show that Marquette can be held in check by a deep zone defense. The dome should be packed again, as I'm expecting close to 30,000 people, and should give Syracuse an edge in this matchup. Syracuse simply needs this game a whole lot more than Marquette does and so expect this game to have a playoff atmosphere; my bet is on the Orangemen.
USC -1 <-- Stanford hasn't lost back-to-back games all season, but this is a difficult spot for the Cardinal as there's no real reason to have to win this game... SC will be looking for their 20th win in the last game on their home court, so emotions should be high. The Trojans will also be looking to avenge their loss to Stanford back in January. Since the comeback win against Oregon at home a couple of weeks ago, this team is really starting to feel that it can win any game. This is simply a bigger game for USC and It should be the Mayo clinic again tonight.
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Looking at for later today:
USC -1 <-- Stanford hasn't lost back-to-back games all season, but this is a difficult spot for the Cardinal as there's no real reason to have to win this game... SC will be looking for their 20th win in the last game on their home court, so emotions should be high. The Trojans will also be looking to avenge their loss to Stanford back in January. Since the comeback win against Oregon at home a couple of weeks ago, this team is really starting to feel that it can win any game. This is simply a bigger game for USC and It should be the Mayo clinic again tonight.
Central Florida/Tulsa UNDER 140 <-- Not exactly a play that's on anyone's radar but UCF typically puts up scores in the 60's on the road and Tulsa likes to slow the tempo on their home court. I can't imagine the outcome of this game being decided by more than 5 or 6 points.
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Central Florida/Tulsa UNDER 140 <-- Not exactly a play that's on anyone's radar but UCF typically puts up scores in the 60's on the road and Tulsa likes to slow the tempo on their home court. I can't imagine the outcome of this game being decided by more than 5 or 6 points.
my blue + gold gotta a homer call on Thursday, but ill take it. today, here are my leans:
Marquette + 1 --> too much solid guard play with thwart 'cuse, however 'cuse playing better of late.
Wisconsin -11.5 --> northwestern is garbage.
Kansas -4.5 --> texas a+m is way too jeckyl and not enough hyde. kansas will exploit that.
Arizona +1.5 --> this is a huge game. biggest game of year for both teams. nic wise is back and that may lift 'zona over the edge in a tough tough road environment. oregon needs to win to get in. i admit, this game scares the shit out of me so i may lay off, but leaning 'zona.
Arizona State -9 --> see wisconsin/ northwestern note. oregon state is done for and the worst team ive seen in pac-10 in recent years. this is a must win for asu. harden goes for 30-10 easy today.
Stanford pk --> stanford needs to come back strong from ucla heart-breaker. they are too big inside for usc. if gibson gets in foul trouble early, which is what i expect. this game could get ugly. im a proponent of usc hoops, but i think stanford is final 4 caliber team and brook lopez is my co-pac 10 player of the year.
thoughts???
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what up k...
been crushing any pac-10 lately?
my blue + gold gotta a homer call on Thursday, but ill take it. today, here are my leans:
Marquette + 1 --> too much solid guard play with thwart 'cuse, however 'cuse playing better of late.
Wisconsin -11.5 --> northwestern is garbage.
Kansas -4.5 --> texas a+m is way too jeckyl and not enough hyde. kansas will exploit that.
Arizona +1.5 --> this is a huge game. biggest game of year for both teams. nic wise is back and that may lift 'zona over the edge in a tough tough road environment. oregon needs to win to get in. i admit, this game scares the shit out of me so i may lay off, but leaning 'zona.
Arizona State -9 --> see wisconsin/ northwestern note. oregon state is done for and the worst team ive seen in pac-10 in recent years. this is a must win for asu. harden goes for 30-10 easy today.
Stanford pk --> stanford needs to come back strong from ucla heart-breaker. they are too big inside for usc. if gibson gets in foul trouble early, which is what i expect. this game could get ugly. im a proponent of usc hoops, but i think stanford is final 4 caliber team and brook lopez is my co-pac 10 player of the year.
Marquette + 1 --> You know where I'm putting my money on this game... Marquette has yet to win in the Dome in three tries... 30,000 fans... 'Cuse needs this game; Marquette doesn't. This has happened every year since 'Melo left... they play like there's no tomorrow when it's the end of the season, going into the BE tournament and then suffer a huge let down in the first round of the NCAA tourney. Don't see the story being any different this time around.
Wisconsin -11.5 --> AGREED
Kansas -4.5 --> This line feels too low which has me thinking the other way on this one.
Arizona +1.5 --> Not playing this one, but I agree with your points... I have been looking at the o/u all day, b/c I know Oregon will put up 75... can the 'Cats match?
Arizona State -9 --> Last I saw this was -11... did it go down to -9? I'm leaning the same here. Oregon State is a doormat team in the Pac 10 and they could barely beat a HS Varsity team. ASU inconsistencies has me worried a little about the cover, especially on the road.
Stanford pk --> Going SC here... I know you hate 'em, but I see them needing this game more. Stanford has really little to gain from this game at this point after losing to UCLA. Trojans playing inspired ball right now, albeit recently against weaker opponents.
BOL with your plays bud... good to hear from you.
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BCAV-
Where you been man?
Marquette + 1 --> You know where I'm putting my money on this game... Marquette has yet to win in the Dome in three tries... 30,000 fans... 'Cuse needs this game; Marquette doesn't. This has happened every year since 'Melo left... they play like there's no tomorrow when it's the end of the season, going into the BE tournament and then suffer a huge let down in the first round of the NCAA tourney. Don't see the story being any different this time around.
Wisconsin -11.5 --> AGREED
Kansas -4.5 --> This line feels too low which has me thinking the other way on this one.
Arizona +1.5 --> Not playing this one, but I agree with your points... I have been looking at the o/u all day, b/c I know Oregon will put up 75... can the 'Cats match?
Arizona State -9 --> Last I saw this was -11... did it go down to -9? I'm leaning the same here. Oregon State is a doormat team in the Pac 10 and they could barely beat a HS Varsity team. ASU inconsistencies has me worried a little about the cover, especially on the road.
Stanford pk --> Going SC here... I know you hate 'em, but I see them needing this game more. Stanford has really little to gain from this game at this point after losing to UCLA. Trojans playing inspired ball right now, albeit recently against weaker opponents.
i know which way you are going on 'Cuse. Just letting you know my thoughts.
FYI- might be a good game to lay off. Im not betting my guys today-- (-15 is too many points for UCLA to lay vs. a decent hungry CAL team and Anderson could go off)
I think Kansas wins by 10. Its getting close to tourney time, they need the # 1 seed. rolling with it.
Arizona overs might be a good play. as i said, wise is back and that move bayless off the ball, which is better for the 'cats. i see an 80-75 type game in favor of cats.
ASU. bet with confidence. osu is junk. yes, the line is down to -9 with my book.
For the record, i dont hate USC at all. in fact, i like the team a lot and think they are a very solid squad, but im bullish on stanford. size wins out in pac-10. i think both teams will be in sweet 16, by the way. nobody really understands how good the pac-10 and big east are...
good luck, man.
crush 'em.
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i know which way you are going on 'Cuse. Just letting you know my thoughts.
FYI- might be a good game to lay off. Im not betting my guys today-- (-15 is too many points for UCLA to lay vs. a decent hungry CAL team and Anderson could go off)
I think Kansas wins by 10. Its getting close to tourney time, they need the # 1 seed. rolling with it.
Arizona overs might be a good play. as i said, wise is back and that move bayless off the ball, which is better for the 'cats. i see an 80-75 type game in favor of cats.
ASU. bet with confidence. osu is junk. yes, the line is down to -9 with my book.
For the record, i dont hate USC at all. in fact, i like the team a lot and think they are a very solid squad, but im bullish on stanford. size wins out in pac-10. i think both teams will be in sweet 16, by the way. nobody really understands how good the pac-10 and big east are...
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