Posted:
#1
Wondering where this total came from? In a normal year with healthy rosters for 2 storied programs, I would play the over as would many of the cappers here.
But let's face it -- KU has struggled TREMENDOUSLY offensively in this tourney -- they haven't cracked 65 points (and haven't allowed more than 60). UNC is a lost cause without Marshall, and he isn't playing tomorrow I don't care what mind games the Heels are trying to play. 63 points in regulation against Ohio?
Kansas D has kept them in the tourney. They are ranked 4th in D efficiency by Kenpom. Although they averaged 82 points a game on the season, UNC (while healthy) managed only:
60 pts vs Wisconsin (5th)
70 pts vs UVA (6th)
54 pts @ UVA
57 pts @ FSU (15th)
For what its worth, Ohio ranked 41st in D efficiency.
The only way UNC can win this game without Marshall is to set up half court and hope for the best. If Kansas misses a few outside jumpers early and loses confidence, this is going WAY under the posted total. If they somehow find their stride and get hot, it's still going to be a halfcourt game because UNC cannot run without its PG., Still like the under comfortably in this scenario.
UNDER 144 10*
All my profits from the tourney going into this wager, if I lose no final 4 plays for me.
But let's face it -- KU has struggled TREMENDOUSLY offensively in this tourney -- they haven't cracked 65 points (and haven't allowed more than 60). UNC is a lost cause without Marshall, and he isn't playing tomorrow I don't care what mind games the Heels are trying to play. 63 points in regulation against Ohio?
Kansas D has kept them in the tourney. They are ranked 4th in D efficiency by Kenpom. Although they averaged 82 points a game on the season, UNC (while healthy) managed only:
60 pts vs Wisconsin (5th)
70 pts vs UVA (6th)
54 pts @ UVA
57 pts @ FSU (15th)
For what its worth, Ohio ranked 41st in D efficiency.
The only way UNC can win this game without Marshall is to set up half court and hope for the best. If Kansas misses a few outside jumpers early and loses confidence, this is going WAY under the posted total. If they somehow find their stride and get hot, it's still going to be a halfcourt game because UNC cannot run without its PG., Still like the under comfortably in this scenario.
UNDER 144 10*
All my profits from the tourney going into this wager, if I lose no final 4 plays for me.
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