Just check the Sagarin Ratings...these usually are very accurate when predicting a line.
Here's the current ratings
UK 94.49 vs IU 89.85 = -4.5 actual line -9
Ohio ST 94.14 vs CINN 85.16 = -9 actual line -7.5
Mich ST 93.12 vs UL 87.32 = -5.5 actual line -5
CUSE 92.23 vs WISC 91.19 = -1 actual line -3
UNC 92.02 vs Ohio 81.49 = -10.5 actual line -10.5
Kansas 91.99 vs NC St 83.79 = -8 actual line -8.5
Marq 89.02 vs FL 88.73 = -.5 actual line -2
Baylor 88.49 vs Xavier 82.38 = -6 actual line -6.5
Using the Sagarin Ratings as a predictor is fairly accurate (within 2 points) except for the UK vs IU matchup. I rarely see it off by that big of a margin. Based on these ranking UK would be a predicted .5 favorite over Ohio State. Because this predictor is off by up to 2 points on every matchup (except UK vs IU) I would say UK would be favored by up to 2.5 pts over Ohio State.
Just check the Sagarin Ratings...these usually are very accurate when predicting a line.
Here's the current ratings
UK 94.49 vs IU 89.85 = -4.5 actual line -9
Ohio ST 94.14 vs CINN 85.16 = -9 actual line -7.5
Mich ST 93.12 vs UL 87.32 = -5.5 actual line -5
CUSE 92.23 vs WISC 91.19 = -1 actual line -3
UNC 92.02 vs Ohio 81.49 = -10.5 actual line -10.5
Kansas 91.99 vs NC St 83.79 = -8 actual line -8.5
Marq 89.02 vs FL 88.73 = -.5 actual line -2
Baylor 88.49 vs Xavier 82.38 = -6 actual line -6.5
Using the Sagarin Ratings as a predictor is fairly accurate (within 2 points) except for the UK vs IU matchup. I rarely see it off by that big of a margin. Based on these ranking UK would be a predicted .5 favorite over Ohio State. Because this predictor is off by up to 2 points on every matchup (except UK vs IU) I would say UK would be favored by up to 2.5 pts over Ohio State.

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