wed kenpom plays

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Author: [College Basketball] Topic: wed kenpom plays
ryno23 PM ryno23
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Massachusetts
 
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Posted: 2/15/2012 12:15:54 PM

hey guys just juiced last night...no biggie..tonight i see 9 plays...whoooa...grit your teeth and go!

pre system   18-5

system           1-1

western illinois --------------umkc +8

iupi-------------------------------s. dakota +9,.5

portland state-----------------sac st  +8

wofford-------------------------elon +9

niagra---------------------------canisius +11.5

tenn tech-----------------------east. kentucky +10

eastern washington---------north. colorado +7

eastern illinois ----------------siu-ed +8

ball state-----------------------toledo +7.5

gl guys...ryno..flat bet...i myself throw parlays in for small units for ones i have a real good feel for.   and sometimes i ml these doggie./ they hit. just gotta find the money.

ryno

JMUstud PM JMUstud
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Virginia
 
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Posted: 2/15/2012 12:24:42 PM
Ryno  - What is the system in reference to KenPom? Did you list it in a previous post? I have been following. Keep it up
Ktrain PM Ktrain
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Nevada
 
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Posted: 2/15/2012 12:31:25 PM
amd PM amd
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California
 
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Posted: 2/15/2012 12:40:46 PM
Canisius
bm3power PM bm3power
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Posted: 2/15/2012 1:00:59 PM
Going to put these 3 teams in a parlay.

Toledo
Eastern Kentucky
No Col

What you think?
stiffler1705 PM stiffler1705
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Ohio
 
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Posted: 2/15/2012 1:39:27 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by bm3power:

Going to put these 3 teams in a parlay.

Toledo
Eastern Kentucky
No Col

What you think?

I dont trust any of these teams. hahaha! Add Cancius and Elon for a nice little 5 teamer.

Marketmaker PM Marketmaker
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Wisconsin
 
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Posted: 2/15/2012 1:48:56 PM
i thought Summit League games were no plays?
myk PM myk
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Posted: 2/15/2012 1:49:53 PM
Isn't the Summit conf. to be left out of K.P.'s system?
BGat233 PM BGat233
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Kentucky
 
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Posted: 2/15/2012 1:50:41 PM
GL   Only thing I don't like about this system is your more than likely betting awful teams, like Towson last night 
JimmyTheLegend PM JimmyTheLegend
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Nevada
 
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Posted: 2/15/2012 1:57:00 PM
Good Info
 
1/19/12  Western Illinois 50  UMKC 72
1/19/12  IUPUI 78  South Dakota 88
serpent22 PM serpent22
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Minnesota
 
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Posted: 2/15/2012 2:02:39 PM
so last night i saw toledo was +6.5...now ryno email says 7.5...i check sbrodds.com and everybody is dealing 9 now...interesting...
Bobcat36 PM Bobcat36
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California
 
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Posted: 2/15/2012 2:04:08 PM
Many of those games have moved in our favor!
lbreno PM lbreno
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Nevada
 
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Posted: 2/15/2012 2:09:10 PM
Hey ryno, if you're putting a little extra into a parlay, you might consider posting that, just as a FYI.  Not as a system play - I'm just curious whether the ones you have a feel for agree with mine.  (I like EKy, Elon, and N Colo).  In any case GL to all.
Marketmaker PM Marketmaker
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Wisconsin
 
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Posted: 2/15/2012 2:14:16 PM
Another close possibility for anyone interested that sticks out a little bit to me is,

SoUtah #231 +10.5 @ Oakland #173

This is not your 2011 Oakland squad...may have a little value on other side here.  Also,  67% of plays on Oakland so far and the line dropped from +11 to +10.5 for SU....hmmmmm? May need to keep an eye on this possible reverse line movement.

MM
dkistler PM dkistler
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Nebraska
 
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Posted: 2/15/2012 2:19:20 PM
serpent22 PM serpent22
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Minnesota
 
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Posted: 2/15/2012 2:53:57 PM
i have a very scientific method for picking the few system games that i will throw into a parlay...it has something to do with little slips of paper drawn out of a hat...i really dont think these terrible teams can be handicapped with any consistency at all, the numbers show that a high % of them cover, and you almost have to just pick them randomly and roll with it...i will be attending the highly anticipated charlotte bobcats/MN timberwolves game tonight, so my phone better be fully juiced to hit "refresh" about 2000 times to get updates on all this action!!!
raffchfd PM raffchfd
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Pennsylvania
 
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Posted: 2/15/2012 2:54:34 PM
guys, the summit league is one of the leagues NOT included in this system, so the 1st 2 plays ryno has listed r not plays
serpent22 PM serpent22
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Minnesota
 
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Posted: 2/15/2012 2:57:41 PM

hey raff, ryno knows that but he will continue to list them...as with all plays, he basically said play them at your own risk even though those conferences aren't officially part of the system

Bobcat36 PM Bobcat36
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California
 
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Posted: 2/15/2012 3:00:31 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by serpent22:

.i really dont think these terrible teams can be handicapped with any consistency at all, the numbers show that a high % of them cover, and you almost have to just pick them randomly and roll with it...


If you really wanted to know how the system works and how the games are selected you could have VERY easily discovered that information with about 3 minutes of looking.

Instead, you take the lazy way out and decide to bring your blind skepticism into a perfectly profitable thread and try to piss all over it. For what? To make yourself feel superior to a group of anonymous people on the internet?

F*cking grow up son.
raffchfd PM raffchfd
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Posted: 2/15/2012 3:08:51 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by serpent22:

hey raff, ryno knows that but he will continue to list them...as with all plays, he basically said play them at your own risk even though those conferences aren't officially part of the system

JEG53 PM JEG53
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Posted: 2/15/2012 3:16:33 PM
Yeh if you look at Tuesday thread he mentions that the Summit isnt a system play but he is taking them and adding them to the record,not sure they should be added to the system plays record though,as since its KP system,those would not qualify,but I will probally play them also,lol.
eastcoastplayer PM eastcoastplayer
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North Carolina
 
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Posted: 2/15/2012 3:20:54 PM
I split Towson and Jacksonville last night as well - covered Clemson so it all turned out ok.  The problem I have when there are 9 or 10 games that fit the system is deciding which ones to take.  It REALLY turns into a guessing game then.  None of the teams are at home so that doesn't help.  May throw darts and parlay three or four.  Any advice on narrowing the slate down some will be greatly appreciated!!!  I'm taking UNC and Wake Forest and betting the ACC is ALWAYS scary!!
BonoBob PM BonoBob
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Ohio
 
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Posted: 2/15/2012 4:01:27 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by eastcoastplayer:

I split Towson and Jacksonville last night as well - covered Clemson so it all turned out ok.  The problem I have when there are 9 or 10 games that fit the system is deciding which ones to take.  It REALLY turns into a guessing game then.  None of the teams are at home so that doesn't help.  May throw darts and parlay three or four.  Any advice on narrowing the slate down some will be greatly appreciated!!!  I'm taking UNC and Wake Forest and betting the ACC is ALWAYS scary!!

 

You might take the guess work out of it and play a small wager on all 9 of them..

Red_Bud PM Red_Bud
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Wisconsin
 
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Posted: 2/15/2012 4:18:51 PM
Good Luck
ryno23 PM ryno23
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Posted: 2/15/2012 4:22:17 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by Marketmaker:

i thought Summit League games were no plays?

guys as i have stated...kine did say that some conferences were  ot added to system..but i have played in the pre and will continue as they have been hitting. they will count towrd my record...but if you dotn want to play them...dont. gl ryno

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