jeff's CBB Friday with some write ups

Busy schedule for me today as I had the radio show and did some prep for it in the morning and spent rest of time handicapping games, but I do not have time for extensive writeups today. I apologize for that.

TOP PLAYS

4 UNIT PLAY

Cleveland State/ Loyola-Ill Over 116: Eight of Cleveland State's last 9 games have hit 117 points or more, with those games averaging  133.9 ppg. Loyola's games have not been that high scoring, but their home games have still averaged 117.4 ppg on the year. The Vikings are the much better team here an they will get this game at their pace and that should translate into 125= points in this one. 
 

3 UNIT PLAYS

SIENA -7.5 over St Peters: St Pete can't score as they have averaged just 59.8 ppg on the road and 58.4 ppg in their conference games. Siena averages 66.1 ppg at home on the year overall, including 71.8 ppg in their last 5 at home. Overall the defensive numbers look even, but St Peters allows 71.2 ppg on the road, while Siena has allowed just 63.2 ppg at home. Big edges all around for the home team as they win this one easily.   
 

5 POINT TEASER--- Penn +7  &  Siena -2.5

 

OTHER PLAYS

2 UNIT PLAY

Penn +2 over YALE: PENNSYLVANIA is 13-3 ATS versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of <=42% after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons, while YALE is 9-25 ATS in home games after allowing 65 points or less 2 straight games since 1997. 

 

1 UNIT PLAY

Niagara/ Fairfield Under 134.5: NIAGARA is 10-1 UNDER in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons while FAIRFIELD is 17-7 UNDER when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.