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Author: [College Basketball] Topic: Missouri Tigers +8000 to win the 2012 NCAA Tournament
TRAIN69
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#1
Posted: 11/29/2011 8:32:50 PM

I'm gonna go ahead and post this for a season of hating and bashing.

Obviously, its a long shot, hence the odds. However, I'm predicting a 27-4 or 26-5 record and a 3 or 4 seed for Mizzou. I dont think they lose until Jan 21st @ Baylor, but even that is winnable. Kansas and Baylor are the only threats in the Big 12, which is way down this year. Obviously every road game in conference will be a challenge like it is for every team.

The Tigers havent played anybody, this I know. ND and Cal got smashed and Cal is supposed to contend in the Pac 12, for what thats worth. Really excited to see the line vs Nova and Illinois as those will probably be the lone lined games in December (besides ODU on the 30th).

The Pressey brothers along with Dixon, English and Denmon are pretty solid on both ends of the court and provide a nice mix of leadership (3 sr, 1 jr, 1 soph). Moore, Ratcliffe and Green have been better than I anticipated..... 

I doubt you will see these odds for Mizzou much longer, and definately not come tourney time. I'm basically asking them to reach the Sweet 16, and then I can reevaluate and see what the future holds.

Win or lose, I will be in this thread til the end of March, or hopefully early April.

 

So let me hear how dumb/crazy/retarded I am.

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#2
Posted: 11/29/2011 8:35:22 PM
homer pick huh Train

no defense = no championship
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#3
Posted: 11/29/2011 8:37:06 PM
I put in a bet on 'Bama at +6500......
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#4
Posted: 11/29/2011 8:37:26 PM
They will feel the effect of Bowers injury when they hit conference play.
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TRAIN69
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#5
Posted: 11/29/2011 8:39:52 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by troylex300:

homer pick huh Train

no defense = no championship

Yep. I just thought it had lots of value. Hell, I see ND is still +2500 and UCLA is +1800.

As far as the defense goes, only time will tell. Haith has thme playing better, more controlled defense. The guards also hit the glass pretty well.

We'll see.

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#6
Posted: 11/29/2011 8:40:09 PM
I don't have a problem playing an early season bet on a champion, especially with big odds....as long as you aren't laying a crap load on it. Why not? 80 buck return for every buck you bet. 
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#7
Posted: 11/29/2011 8:40:12 PM
I don't think this is a bad play at all.  Juicy as hell for a team that will be a tough out in a tournament.  The gap between the elite and middle of the pack is shrinking.  Opens up hedging opportunities as well.  GL train.

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#8
Posted: 11/29/2011 8:58:37 PM
Train i don't think you're dumb/crazy/retarded because this Mizz team has been very surprising. They are a good team with guards and big men. Their guards are lightning quick and don't see too many other with the ability to stay in front of them. They play defense as well which will go a long way. Look how they took California apart. 

I think they are a contender. 
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#9
Posted: 11/29/2011 9:04:50 PM

I don't think much of Frank Haith, but at +8000 I think it's worth a shot.

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#10
Posted: 11/29/2011 9:27:17 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Tone10:

I don't think much of Frank Haith, but at +8000 I think it's worth a shot.

I dont either Tone, but maybe Miami jsut didnt have the players he needed. I'm giving him a chance.

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#11
Posted: 11/29/2011 9:38:53 PM
As a miami alum and avid basketball fan, I saw many of the canes games over his tenure and I can say that he was one of if not the worst coach in the ACC! 
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#12
Posted: 11/29/2011 11:03:38 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by LawsonJames:

They will feel the effect of Bowers injury when they hit conference play.

I think his injury might have been a blessing in disguise for this team. Forced into more 4 guard sets, they are better on the offensive end, only giving up a few rebounds without Bowers. 

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#13
Posted: 11/29/2011 11:17:09 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by TRAIN69:

I'm gonna go ahead and post this for a season of hating and bashing.

Obviously, its a long shot, hence the odds. However, I'm predicting a 27-4 or 26-5 record and a 3 or 4 seed for Mizzou. I dont think they lose until Jan 21st @ Baylor, but even that is winnable. Kansas and Baylor are the only threats in the Big 12, which is way down this year. Obviously every road game in conference will be a challenge like it is for every team.

The Tigers havent played anybody, this I know. ND and Cal got smashed and Cal is supposed to contend in the Pac 12, for what thats worth. Really excited to see the line vs Nova and Illinois as those will probably be the lone lined games in December (besides ODU on the 30th).

The Pressey brothers along with Dixon, English and Denmon are pretty solid on both ends of the court and provide a nice mix of leadership (3 sr, 1 jr, 1 soph). Moore, Ratcliffe and Green have been better than I anticipated..... 

I doubt you will see these odds for Mizzou much longer, and definately not come tourney time. I'm basically asking them to reach the Sweet 16, and then I can reevaluate and see what the future holds.

Win or lose, I will be in this thread til the end of March, or hopefully early April.

 

So let me hear how dumb/crazy/retarded I am.

id like to know who your bookie is that has it 80 to 1, nobody has it at that price anymore, it was 80 to 1 about 2 weeks ago, but you just posted this today, is your book 2 weeks behind? i did get unlv 200 to 1, marquette 100 to 1, xavier 100 to 1, but it was weeks ago, now all that garbage is 50, 50 and 40 to 1

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#14
Posted: 11/29/2011 11:17:40 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by Upsetalert:

I put in a bet on 'Bama at +6500......

you were suppose to bet bama in bcs national title 7 to 1, not in hoops lol. they wont get out of sweet 16

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#15
Posted: 11/29/2011 11:18:24 PM
i like mizzou but i dont think heith haith coach from miami fl will win a title in his first year in mizzou, i do think they the best team in the conference maybe, maybe better than kansas, also not overly impressed with baylor
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#16
Posted: 11/29/2011 11:38:03 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by pj702:

id like to know who your bookie is that has it 80 to 1, nobody has it at that price anymore, it was 80 to 1 about 2 weeks ago, but you just posted this today, is your book 2 weeks behind? i did get unlv 200 to 1, marquette 100 to 1, xavier 100 to 1, but it was weeks ago, now all that garbage is 50, 50 and 40 to 1

Currently available at sportsinteraction

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TRAIN69
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#17
Posted: 11/30/2011 2:33:59 PM
Just dropped today to +2800



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#18
Posted: 11/30/2011 3:56:40 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by pj702:

you were suppose to bet bama in bcs national title 7 to 1, not in hoops lol. they wont get out of sweet 16



Pulling for elite 8...lock down D!!!
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#19
Posted: 11/30/2011 4:12:42 PM
This Mizz team reminds me a lot of the 1997 Arizona Wildcats. They were an extremely athletic team that fed off their guard play. The talent was there, but nobody gave them a chance because they didn't have a huge presence down low. This is Mizz in a nutshell.

AZ went into the tourney as a 4 seed and of course, went on to win it all. At +8000, it's def worth a shot to see if Mizz can repeat that. In fact, I think I'm going to jump on this with you.
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TRAIN69
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#20
Posted: 12/6/2011 6:22:28 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by Kaufee:

This Mizz team reminds me a lot of the 1997 Arizona Wildcats. They were an extremely athletic team that fed off their guard play. The talent was there, but nobody gave them a chance because they didn't have a huge presence down low. This is Mizz in a nutshell.

AZ went into the tourney as a 4 seed and of course, went on to win it all. At +8000, it's def worth a shot to see if Mizz can repeat that. In fact, I think I'm going to jump on this with you.

 

Now that you mention it, I agree totally.

 

Mizzous 1st test tonight vs Nova. Lovin MU -7.5. Kinda hoping Illinois is undefeated on the 22nd for the matchup in STL. Also hoping there is a line for the William and Mary game. That will be a friggin bloodbath of epic proportions......

 

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#21
Posted: 12/6/2011 6:27:57 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by TRAIN69:

I'm gonna go ahead and post this for a season of hating and bashing.

Obviously, its a long shot, hence the odds. However, I'm predicting a 27-4 or 26-5 record and a 3 or 4 seed for Mizzou. I dont think they lose until Jan 21st @ Baylor, but even that is winnable. Kansas and Baylor are the only threats in the Big 12, which is way down this year. Obviously every road game in conference will be a challenge like it is for every team.

The Tigers havent played anybody, this I know. ND and Cal got smashed and Cal is supposed to contend in the Pac 12, for what thats worth. Really excited to see the line vs Nova and Illinois as those will probably be the lone lined games in December (besides ODU on the 30th).

The Pressey brothers along with Dixon, English and Denmon are pretty solid on both ends of the court and provide a nice mix of leadership (3 sr, 1 jr, 1 soph). Moore, Ratcliffe and Green have been better than I anticipated..... 

I doubt you will see these odds for Mizzou much longer, and definately not come tourney time. I'm basically asking them to reach the Sweet 16, and then I can reevaluate and see what the future holds.

Win or lose, I will be in this thread til the end of March, or hopefully early April.

 

So let me hear how dumb/crazy/retarded I am.





Train, i like it... don't bet futures myself personally but THESE BOYS CAN BALL... If anyone saw the EA sports invitational in KC a few weeks ago, they BLEW out a good California squad... After seeing that i knew this was gonna be a top ten team... If you look at their wins so far this year as well they seem to be blowing out everyone, even though the competition has been minor the win margins have made up for that.... hell for +8000, i might even take a stab at it!  BOL dude
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#22
Posted: 12/6/2011 6:34:31 PM
U never know worth a shot Bol to you!
Posted using a mobile device.
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TRAIN69
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#23
Posted: 12/6/2011 10:12:41 PM

Mizzou played pretty bad actually and still won by 10. Nova had some huge 3's and a 10 point run when down by 16 at one point....

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#24
Posted: 12/6/2011 10:14:13 PM
Way to be ahead of the curve train     
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#25
Posted: 12/6/2011 10:16:00 PM
I don't bet futures but I went and told my dad about how much I like your pick at +8000. I think you have a very good chance of making it to the final four and opening up some fantastic hedge opportunities. Good luck!
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