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***GWarner27's 1/31 CB Picks (75-45-4 62.5% YTD)***

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Posted: #1
+27.663

Dogs: 36-22-4 +13.443
Favorites: 30-19 +9.67
Over: 4-2 +1.80
Under: 0-1 -1.10
First Half: 3-0 +3.00
Halftimes: 2-1 +0.90

November: 26-7 +18.465
December: 24-21-2 +1.40
January: 25-17-2 +7.798
February: 0-0 +0.00
March: 0-0 +0.00
April: 0-0 +0.00

Futures:
San Diego State to win NCAA Championship (+3000): 1/26

2006-07: 68-70 (49.3%) -1.979
2007-08: 153-142-4 (51.9%) -4.141
2008-09: 144-142-2 (50.3%) -7.657
2009-10: 141-136-4 (50.9%) +1.294

Dogs winning SU: 24

Meaningless 3-pt at the buzzer: 2
OT screwjobs: 2
Losses by 1 or 1/2: 6
Chase record (trying to stop): 0-1

Yesterday: 2-0
-PC and the Hall struggled to score in the first half for my under, while Miami hung around all night in Cassel for the cover. 2-2 weekend and 8-8-1 last two weeks so it's time to get on a run...
 
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Posted: #2
Monday guesses:
Georgetown 7-9
TAMU 2-4

leans:
TAMU +1.5
GU -5

locked in:
Georgetown -5 (-110) vs. Louisville
-GTown is getting really hot, while Louisville is off a double OT victory in Storrs. I think UL is all about smoke and mirrors combined with turnovers, which I doubt will happen for an experienced team at home. GU has advantages on the interior and better shooters at home compared to being on the road. I also think Austin Freeman can cement the cover with some FTs late if he needs to.
 
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Posted: #3
GW, I read your analysis regularly and wanted to say thanks!
I have GT in my parlay tonight, only I took ML.
I do think you're on the right side, i.e., more effective shooting team at home.
Good luck!!
 
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Georgetown has been on playing a lot better.  Freeman is on fire.  Gtown wins tonight.  

Texas game is probably a no play for me.  Texas is clearly the better team (I think Texas could be the best in the Big 12 and a potential final four team).  TAMU is awesome at home and will be fired up for revenge.  It's a dangerous play, I'll pass.

Canisius
 
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Posted: #7
How about Davidson?  any feelings there?  They seem to be playing better lately.
 
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Posted: #8

Quote Originally Posted by petersirie:

How about Davidson?  any feelings there?  They seem to be playing better lately.

"been playing better lately"??

they are (2-7) in there last nine games and have 1 road win the entire season..good luck with g.southern - no play for me either way, but you should really do a little homework before posting your thoughts....

 
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Quote Originally Posted by petersirie:

How about Davidson?  any feelings there?  They seem to be playing better lately.


All i can say is that they were still getting Steph Curry lines earlier this year, and I think the books are finally catching up that this isn't a great team. McKillop should have left when he had the chance, but I don't know enough about Georgia Southern to give an opinion
 
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Posted: #12
lean GT as well, down to 4.5
 
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Quote Originally Posted by ashlandarrows22:

"been playing better lately"??

they are (2-7) in there last nine games and have 1 road win the entire season..good luck with g.southern - no play for me either way, but you should really do a little homework before posting your thoughts....


i assume by playing better lately he means they're coming off a game where they beat the SoCon leader
 
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Posted: #14
Get it!!!!!!!
 
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Posted: #15
 
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Posted: #16
Everyone seems to be on Georgetown and A&M today.


 
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Posted: #17
Quote Originally Posted by TRoe15:

Everyone seems to be on Georgetown and A&M today.




i hate that it's like that cuz monday is always so short of a card, but it doesn't phase me. I expect a lot of square money to come in on the 'Horns, though...
 
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Posted: #18
Davidson beating a team like C of C is very impressive. The Southern Conference is deep this year, in my opinion, with everyone gunning for Davidson and giving them there best shot.  Out of conference win against Nebraska.

Ga Southern is one of the worst teams in Div 1.  They have lost 9 in a row many of which by DD.

My opinion, Davidson feeling good after win, destroys GA southern tonight.
 
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Quote Originally Posted by petersirie:

Davidson beating a team like C of C is very impressive. The Southern Conference is deep this year, in my opinion, with everyone gunning for Davidson and giving them there best shot.  Out of conference win against Nebraska.

Ga Southern is one of the worst teams in Div 1.  They have lost 9 in a row many of which by DD.

My opinion, Davidson feeling good after win, destroys GA southern tonight.


To be honest, no one is shooting for Davidson anymore. The ship has sailed on them for a while, no one cares about a cellar dwellar in the SoCon.

With that said, the SoCon is very good and has some serious quality in their league and specifically the South division. Charleston, Wofford and maybe even Furman could play in the postseason and I wouldn't have thought they would have 3 of those guys preseason
 
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Posted: #20
add
Texas A&M ML (+100) vs. Texas
-Saw this moving to pk and I didn't want to lose the even money because I would play this up to -2.5 in all honesty. To put it bluntly, Reed Arena is a house of horrors for my boys from Austin. We haven't won there through my four years at the school, and you can add two years onto that to make the six straight seasons we haven't won in C-Stat. This Texas team is better than it has been despite less talent, which is puzzling all in itself, but TAMU is better, too. I like the Aggies defense, which will be assisted by the home calls that will certainly come in front of a deafening, pro-farmer crowd. The Ags are a team I generally don't want to win, but this was -1.5 last year (which was a joke) and I don't think you can dog TAMU in this situation until Texas shows they can win again. The UT FT woes are well-documented, while TAMU gets a lot of points from the foul line. I think the refs will call touch fouls to keep the rivalry game in line, which will help the Ags because neither of these teams are great offensively. Texas has unbelievable 2pt and 3pt D, which the Aggies also lock down the 3pt line to a similar tune, but the Ags take care of business at the line and Texas doesn't. I think that will be the deciding factor tonight, plus the TAMU role players that go out of their minds in this game and then never show up again.
 
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Posted: #21

Quote Originally Posted by GWarner27:

+27.663

Dogs: 36-22-4 +13.443
Favorites: 30-19 +9.67
Over: 4-2 +1.80
Under: 0-1 -1.10
First Half: 3-0 +3.00
Halftimes: 2-1 +0.90

November: 26-7 +18.465
December: 24-21-2 +1.40
January: 25-17-2 +7.798
February: 0-0 +0.00
March: 0-0 +0.00
April: 0-0 +0.00

Futures:
San Diego State to win NCAA Championship (+3000): 1/26

2006-07: 68-70 (49.3%) -1.979
2007-08: 153-142-4 (51.9%) -4.141
2008-09: 144-142-2 (50.3%) -7.657
2009-10: 141-136-4 (50.9%) +1.294

Dogs winning SU: 24

Meaningless 3-pt at the buzzer: 2
OT screwjobs: 2
Losses by 1 or 1/2: 6
Chase record (trying to stop): 0-1

Yesterday: 2-0
-PC and the Hall struggled to score in the first half for my under, while Miami hung around all night in Cassel for the cover. 2-2 weekend and 8-8-1 last two weeks so it's time to get on a run...

Where is the count of last second or overtime wins?

 
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BOL  
 
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bol
 
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Posted: #24
gl.  I went to UT as well.
 
 
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Posted: #25
Quote Originally Posted by Waxi:

Where is the count of last second or overtime wins?



I won NMSU in OT recently, but feel free to check everything and you'll see i've been far more unlucky this year than I've been lucky...

Tuesday guesses:
FSU 13-15
OU 3-5
Wisc 2-4
Ole Miss 4-6
Indiana St 2-3
TTU 12-14
ILL 5-7
COL 5-7
FLA 1-2
BC 0

leans:
Ole Miss +7
Vandy +3.5
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